polymarket
Politics
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Jared Polis
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 1% ·
Low 0%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d -66.7pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.
Any replacement of the democratic nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market on Jared Polis winning the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination indicates a low probability of this outcome, with a current YES price of 0.01, implying a 1% chance. This assessment is informed by known facts about Polis's political career and his potential as a candidate. The market will resolve to "Yes" if Polis wins the nomination and accepts it, and otherwise will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, which may influence the current price. Any changes in the likelihood of Polis winning the nomination would likely impact the YES price, with an increase in probability causing the price to rise and a decrease causing it to fall.
Generated Jul 01, 2026
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.