polymarket
Politics
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
James Talarico
1%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 1% ·
Low 1%
· 7d -15.4pp
· 30d -35.3pp
How this market resolves
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for James Talarico winning the 2028 US Presidential Election currently prices his victory at a 1% probability, with a YES price of 0.01. This assessment is informed by known facts about Talarico's political career and public perception, which suggest he is a long shot to win the election. The market will resolve once all three designated sources (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC) declare a winner, or on January 20, 2029, if no consensus has been reached by then. Any significant changes in Talarico's political standing, such as shifts in public opinion or major endorsements, could potentially impact the market price, driving it up or down depending on the nature of these developments.
Generated Jul 08, 2026
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