Iran leadership change by October 31?
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
How it settles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe. An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.
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