What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 08, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

P PolymarketPolitics & Elections

Will Person CT win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Settles Nov 08, 2028 (738d) All outcomes: Presidential Election Winner 2028

chance of YES0%

Price range (120d)

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24h volume

—

USDC traded

Open interest

$31.8M

contracts outstanding

Large orders (14d)

—

none recorded

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Not enough trading history to chart yet.

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability).

Open on Polymarket

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

JD Vance18%$27.9K

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez12%$5.0K

Gavin Newsom12%$10.5K

Marco Rubio10%$17.8K

Jon Ossoff10%$4.3K

Kamala Harris4%$43.4K

Ron DeSantis3%$18.7K

Josh Shapiro3%$447

How it settles

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Market odds are not forecasts or investment advice. See Terms §17.