Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

The prediction market for Ivanka Trump winning the 2028 US Presidential Election currently shows a YES price of 0.00, indicating a perceived probability of zero percent. This assessment is based on known facts about Ivanka Trump's political career and her lack of experience in electoral politics. The current price does not reflect any significant changes or developments that would alter the market's perception of her chances. To see an increase in the YES price, events such as Ivanka Trump announcing a presidential bid, gaining significant support from prominent politicians or organizations, or making notable policy statements could contribute to a shift upwards. Conversely, a decrease in the YES price might be driven by factors like her declining public approval ratings, lack of momentum in her campaign, or strong opposition from established political figures.