polymarket
Politics
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
2%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 2% ·
Low 1%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d 0.0pp
How this market resolves
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.
This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market currently assigns a 2% probability to Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson winning the 2028 US Presidential Election, as reflected in the YES price of 0.02. This assessment is informed by known facts such as The Rock's lack of political experience and his current status as an entertainer rather than a politician. The market will resolve once all three designated sources (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC) declare a winner, or on January 20, 2029, if the race remains undecided at that time. Any significant changes to these circumstances, such as The Rock's entry into politics or a shift in public opinion, could potentially impact the market price, driving it up or down accordingly.
Generated Jun 22, 2026
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