Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

The prediction market for Gretchen Whitmer's chances of winning the 2028 US Presidential Election indicates a low probability of her victory, with a current YES price of 0.01 (1%). This suggests that most participants in the market believe she is unlikely to win the election. The current price is informed by known facts such as Whitmer's political experience and reputation, as well as the broader political landscape leading up to the election. Any significant changes in these factors or new information that could impact her campaign would likely cause the YES price to move down. Conversely, if Whitmer were to gain momentum in her campaign or if other candidates' fortunes were to decline, the YES price might increase. The market will resolve once all three designated sources (Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC) call the race for the same candidate, with a potential secondary resolution date based on inauguration day if necessary.