AEO American Eagle Outfitters

XNYS 21.75 Delayed
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Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

AEO $21.75 —
Key stats
$21.75
52-Week Range
$14.10 – $28.46
YTD
-17.47%
IV Rank (30D)
63.54
Straddle Price
$3.31
P/C Vol Ratio
0.58
Market Cap
$3.3B
Open
$20.17
Day Range
$20.17 – $21.86
Volume
3,192,404
Prev Close
$19.92
Fair Value
MODEL: SHORT

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)4.90%
Beta vs SPY1.10
Cost of Equity (CAPM)10.97% (VRP-adj)
WACC10.98%
Volatility Risk Premium+60.1pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps
Effective Tax Rate28.1%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)+1.3%
DCF Horizon10 years explicit + fade
Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM)×1.01 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S)
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$0.3B
Return on Equity (TTM)19.1%
Book / Price52.0% — banking bias active (P/B is primary)
Debt / Equity0.03
Quality Score2/6 — normal (10y DCF)
Market-Implied Growth-1.6% (reverse-DCF on current price)
SMA 50$17.50 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$18.84
Bollinger Width / SMA2023.5% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$-0.1B
Market Cap$3B
Peers used for multiples: ANF, BKE, DXLG, GAP, LE, URBN (SIC-code peers; ETF co-membership was sector-incoherent)
60-Day Conviction
78%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Dec 8, 2026
$21.19
α -2.8% rank 14%
conviction
98%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Jan 6, 2027
$21.36
α -2.0% rank 14%
conviction
64%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Feb 4, 2027
$21.00
α -3.7% rank 14%
conviction
78%
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF $23.37 25%
DDM (Gordon) $5.24 20%
Peer P/E $20.75 11% median 10.3× · 5 peers
Peer EV/EBITDA n/a 0% median 6.7× · 6 peers
Peer P/B $23.92 2% median 2.3× · 6 peers
Peer P/S n/a 0% median 0.8× · 6 peers
Market Anchor (SMA50) $17.50 16% stability 32% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) $19.66 25% 28 strikes · skew +0.22
As of 2026-11-09 · updated
About
Industry (SIC)
RETAIL-FAMILY CLOTHING STORES (5651) · industry map
Exchange
XNYS
Market Cap
$3.3B
Employees
45,000
List Date
1994-04-29
CIK
0000919012
Next Earnings
2026-12-01 (After-Close)
EPS Forecast
$0.49 (7 est.)
Headquarters
Pittsburgh, PA
Homepage
https://www.aeo-inc.com

American Eagle Outfitters Inc is a specialty retailer. The company is engaged in the retail of apparel and accessories with company stores in the United States, Canada, Mexico, and Hong Kong. The Company leases all store premises, regional distribution facilities, some of its office space, and certain information technology and office equipment. American Eagle also has its online business. It operates in two segments: American Eagle and Aerie. The majority of its revenue comes from its primary brand, American Eagle, which offers an assortment of specialty apparel, accessories, and personal car…

Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
Month'21'22'23'24'25'26Avg
Jan14.19%-9.66%11.70%-6.47%-5.78%-11.57%-1.27%
Feb13.67%-9.33%-12.96%17.23%-15.55%-0.32%-1.21%
Mar11.60%-18.01%-4.88%6.84%-5.45%-25.78%-5.95%
Apr18.92%-5.86%-1.11%-7.40%-13.76%0.58%-1.44%
May-2.40%-22.52%-23.07%-7.30%2.53%-6.73%-9.92%
Jun9.00%-7.60%14.67%-10.13%-7.68%6.57%0.81%
Jul-8.35%5.34%15.16%13.66%5.99%-0.26%5.26%
Aug-12.10%-7.02%15.77%-1.86%20.48%-6.94%1.39%
Sep-14.14%-13.12%-4.32%14.29%26.65%7.24%2.77%
Oct-9.18%12.14%5.88%-10.55%-1.59%9.13%0.97%
Nov2.25%40.50%7.94%-1.13%23.41%10.43%*13.90%
Dec-1.97%-9.11%8.46%-16.36%24.09%--1.02%
Total15.39%-44.84%27.56%-14.78%49.68%-21.54%1.91%
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators

SMA 20: $19.02
SMA 50: $17.60
SMA 200: $18.23
Current: $21.80
EMA 12: $19.93
EMA 26: $19.01
MACD: 0.9207 | Signal: 0.1893
BULLISH
ADX (14): 28.10
TREND
+DI: 37.06
−DI: 14.90

Momentum Oscillators

RSI (14): 68.75
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 76.65
Stoch %D: 78.27
Williams %R: -1.38

Volume & Volatility

BB Upper: $21.56
BB Lower: $16.49
OVERBOUGHT
OBV: 195,799,539
Vol SMA 20: 4,249,702
Vol ROC: -34.68%
ATR: $0.91
True Range: $1.94
HV 20: 57.5%
HV 30: 50.3%
HV 60: 55.2%

Data Summary

Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-11-08T00:00:00 – 2026-11-06T00:00:00
AI Analysis
Written before AEO’s Sep 9 earnings report, so it doesn’t reflect the results.

LLM Stock Analysis Report

Executive Summary

This report is based on the technical indicators, options metrics, beta analysis, market data, and recent news headlines for American Eagle Outfitters (AEO). The overall assessment is NEUTRAL with a confidence level of 6 out of 10. Key drivers include recent earnings beats, positive momentum signals, and strong institutional interest. Primary risks include high volatility, potential technical breakdowns, and bearish sentiment in the options market.

Technical Analysis

Trend Direction: Short-term: Range-bound (ADX 11.46), Medium-term: Uptrend (EMA 12 above SMA 20)

Support/Resistance Levels:

  • Resistance: $18.63 (Bollinger Bands upper)
  • Support: $16.17 (Bollinger Bands lower), $17.40 (SMA 50)

Momentum Signals:

  • RSI (14): 40.22 (neutral)
  • MACD: -0.12 / Signal: -0.18 / Histogram: 0.06 (bullish)

Volume Analysis: Volume SMA 20: 3972550.30, On-Balance Volume (OBV): 182426356.82

News & Sentiment Analysis

Recent Headlines Summary: Neutral sentiment overall, with one bullish headline and four neutral headlines.

Sentiment Assessment: Neutral (average of recent headlines)

Catalyst Identification: No clear catalysts identified in recent news headlines.

Market Narrative: Technical signals are mixed, with a range-bound short-term trend and an uptrend medium-term. News sentiment is neutral, which aligns with the technical analysis.

Risk & Volatility Assessment

Beta Interpretation: High risk (beta 1.51)

Volatility Regime: Current volatility is high (0.65) relative to historical levels.

Options Market Signals:

  • IV Rank: 30.9% (Medium)
  • Put/Call Volume Ratio: 1.81 (Bearish sentiment)
  • Open Interest: 1,389 calls vs 244 puts

Market Context & Positioning

Sector Performance: AEO is outperforming the sector (Textiles - Apparels) by 3.5%

Institutional Activity: Strong institutional interest (volume flow: 425 calls vs 771 puts)

Correlation Analysis: Correlation with SPY is low (0.30), indicating limited market influence.

Key Levels & Action Items

Critical Price Levels:

  • Resistance: $18.63
  • Support: $16.17, $17.40

Breakout/Breakdown Levels: Technical levels that could trigger significant moves are not clearly defined due to the range-bound short-term trend.

Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No clear catalysts identified in recent news headlines or market data.

Risk Management: Stop-loss levels and position sizing considerations are dependent on individual risk tolerance and market conditions.

Generated
Earnings History
15 of 23 under expected move
Avg Expected Move
8.32%
Avg Actual Move
7.87%
Each row pairs the pre-earnings straddle-implied expected move with the realized close-to-close move. Sorted oldest first.
Earnings Date Timing Expected Move Actual Move Ratio Outcome
2021-03-04 After-Close 5.06% 3.07% 0.61x Within
2021-05-26 After-Close 7.17% 2.27% 0.32x Within
2021-09-02 After-Close 2.41% 0.37% 0.15x Within
2021-11-23 After-Close 3.99% 2.08% 0.52x Within
2022-03-02 After-Close 10.60% 9.33% 0.88x Within
2022-05-26 After-Close 15.19% 6.63% 0.44x Within
2022-09-07 After-Close 9.58% 8.71% 0.91x Within
2022-11-22 After-Close 4.75% 2.86% 0.60x Within
2023-03-01 After-Close 9.34% 1.20% 0.13x Within
2023-05-24 After-Close 11.52% 11.93% 1.04x Exceeded
2023-08-03 After-Close 2.29% 2.49% 1.09x Exceeded
2023-11-21 After-Close 3.49% 0.96% 0.28x Within
2024-03-07 After-Close 2.30% 3.09% 1.34x Exceeded
2024-05-29 After-Close 9.25% 7.57% 0.82x Within
2024-08-29 After-Close 2.07% 0.96% 0.46x Within
2024-12-04 After-Close 10.61% 14.26% 1.34x Exceeded
2025-03-12 After-Close 10.70% 4.10% 0.38x Within
2025-05-13 After-Close 4.32% 6.45% 1.49x Exceeded
2025-09-03 After-Close 14.50% 37.96% 2.62x Exceeded
2025-12-02 After-Close 14.16% 15.07% 1.06x Exceeded
2026-03-04 After-Close 11.94% 13.90% 1.16x Exceeded
2026-05-28 After-Close 12.03% 11.83% 0.98x Within
2026-09-09 After-Close 14.00% 13.97% 1.00x Within

Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →

AEO Options Activity & IV Rank

AEO IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →

Volatility Metrics

Current IV: 66.7%
7-DTE IV: 59.4%
Expected Move: $3.31
7-DTE Move: $1.15
Days to Exp: 32 (2026-12-11)

Options Flow · All expiries

Call Volume: 4,057
Put Volume: 2,349
P/C Volume: 0.579
BULLISH
Call OI: 61,646
Put OI: 49,538
P/C OI: 0.804
Total OI: 111,184

ATM Options Pricing

ATM Call: $1.48
ATM Put: $1.83
Call %: 6.8%
Put %: 8.4%

Chain Summary

Chain Volume: 6,406
Chain OI: 111,184
Last Updated: 11/9/2026
Spread Scanner

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Calendars: the long leg is valued at the short leg’s expiration (Black-Scholes at its current IV) across the range of prices the short leg’s IV implies, giving the best-case profit (R/R = that over the debit) and P(profit).

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Scanning bull put, bear call, iron condor and calendar spreads…

Dealer Positioning
HIGH γ vs HISTORY

Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 94th percentile of this name's own daily history, near the high end of its range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.

Gamma percentile
94%
vs own history
GEX tilt
+0.66
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
-0.18
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
+0.00
δ-decay vs time

Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.

Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.

Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.

This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.

· 72 ATM contracts, 31k total OI
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d 42%
+7.0 pts EXTREME
ATM 52.9% / Wing 60.0%
30 DTE / 10d 82%
+12.6 pts EXTREME
ATM 63.9% / Wing 76.5%

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Loading the implied volatility surface…

Volatility Smile

Loading the implied volatility smile…

IV Rank (7 DTE)22.6LowNov 9
IV Rank (30 DTE)63.5MediumNov 9
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$3.31Nov 9
Beta Analysis

Risk Metrics

Beta: 1.2936
Alpha: 22.35%
Correlation: 0.3340
R-Squared: 11.2%
Stock Volatility: 53.4%
Market Volatility: 13.8%

Analysis Details

Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
Notable investors who own AEO
4 of 37 tracked investors
InvestorValueShare of their portfolioRankQ/Q sharesSource
Citadel Hedge fund
Ken Griffin
$67.0M
0.04%
#549 of 6285+608.8%13F
Millennium Management Hedge fund
Izzy Englander
$24.2M
0.02%
#1016 of 3716-0.7%13F
Bridgewater Associates Hedge fund
Ray Dalio
$7.3M
0.03%
#393 of 997-35.3%13F
Rockefeller Capital Management Family office
Rockefeller family
$528K
0.00%
#2055 of 4729+18.1%13F

Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions

AEO Institutional Ownership (13F)

Filings for 2026-06-30 · 136 already for 2026-09-30
Diluted shares outstanding: 173,250,500 (as of 2026-05-02)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

354 filers169,230,759 shares$2.93B value97.68% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 26,664,659 $458.63M 15.67% 15.39% 2026-06-30
2 Vanguard Portfolio Management LLC 11,753,476 $202.16M 6.91% 6.78% 2026-06-30
3 Dimensional Fund Advisors LP Custodian 10,520,195 $187.05M 6.39% 6.07% 2026-09-30
4 State Street Corp 6,859,537 $117.98M 4.03% 3.96% 2026-06-30
5 Vanguard Capital Management LLC 6,844,781 $117.73M 4.02% 3.95% 2026-06-30
6 D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian 6,615,074 $113.78M 3.89% 3.82% 2026-06-30
7 American Century Companies, Inc. 6,382,147 $109.77M 3.75% 3.68% 2026-06-30
8 Arrowstreet Capital, Limited Partnership 5,861,572 $100.82M 3.44% 3.38% 2026-06-30
9 Geode Capital Management, LLC Custodian 4,019,488 $71.48M 2.44% 2.32% 2026-09-30
10 UBS Group AG Custodian 4,116,423 $70.80M 2.42% 2.38% 2026-06-30
11 Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian 3,895,460 $67.00M 2.29% 2.25% 2026-06-30
12 Allianz Asset Management GmbH 3,664,748 $63.03M 2.15% 2.12% 2026-06-30
13 LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT 3,036,141 $53.98M 1.84% 1.75% 2026-09-30
14 Morgan Stanley Custodian 2,276,560 $39.16M 1.34% 1.31% 2026-06-30
15 Fisher Asset Management, LLC 2,131,557 $37.90M 1.29% 1.23% 2026-09-30
16 Nykredit A/S 2,099,461 $37.33M 1.27% 1.21% 2026-09-30
17 Woodline Partners LP 1,961,468 $33.74M 1.15% 1.13% 2026-06-30
18 Northern Trust Corp Custodian 1,939,234 $33.35M 1.14% 1.12% 2026-06-30
19 Charles Schwab Investment Management, Inc. 1,932,555 $33.24M 1.14% 1.12% 2026-06-30
20 Boston Partners 1,811,818 $30.96M 1.06% 1.05% 2026-06-30
21 Goldman Sachs Group Inc Custodian 1,697,338 $29.19M 1.00% 0.98% 2026-06-30
22 Bank of New York Mellon Corp Custodian 1,578,944 $28.07M 0.96% 0.91% 2026-09-30
23 Principal Financial Group, Inc. 1,573,136 $27.97M 0.96% 0.91% 2026-09-30
24 FMR LLC Custodian 1,575,529 $27.10M 0.93% 0.91% 2026-06-30
25 Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian 1,534,334 $26.39M 0.90% 0.89% 2026-06-30
20 filers$64.98M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian $14.61M 22.48% 2026-06-30
2 IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian $13.36M 20.56% 2026-09-30
3 Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian $7.55M 11.62% 2026-06-30
4 Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian $5.71M 8.78% 2026-06-30
5 Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian $5.12M 7.88% 2026-09-30
6 J. Goldman & Co LP $3.44M 5.29% 2026-06-30
7 Walleye Trading LLC $2.78M 4.29% 2026-06-30
8 Interval Partners, LP $2.13M 3.28% 2026-06-30
9 Caption Management, LLC $2.13M 3.28% 2026-06-30
10 GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian $1.39M 2.14% 2026-06-30
11 Alphadyne Asset Management LP $1.21M 1.87% 2026-06-30
12 Squarepoint Ops LLC $987.28K 1.52% 2026-06-30
13 Sender Co & Partners, Inc. $774.00K 1.19% 2026-06-30
14 Millennium Management LLC Custodian $767.12K 1.18% 2026-06-30
15 Walleye Capital LLC $708.64K 1.09% 2026-06-30
16 Barclays PLC Custodian $684.53K 1.05% 2026-09-30
17 UBS Group AG Custodian $602.00K 0.93% 2026-06-30
18 CAPITAL FUND MANAGEMENT S.A. $426.56K 0.66% 2026-06-30
19 PEAK6 LLC $392.16K 0.60% 2026-06-30
20 TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL $209.84K 0.32% 2026-06-30
14 filers$71.24M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian $17.03M 23.90% 2026-06-30
2 Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian $16.11M 22.61% 2026-06-30
3 IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian $9.71M 13.63% 2026-09-30
4 Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian $9.45M 13.27% 2026-06-30
5 Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian $6.89M 9.67% 2026-09-30
6 GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian $4.06M 5.70% 2026-06-30
7 Walleye Trading LLC $3.03M 4.25% 2026-06-30
8 UBS Group AG Custodian $2.06M 2.90% 2026-06-30
9 Alphadyne Asset Management LP $966.64K 1.36% 2026-06-30
10 Barclays PLC Custodian $684.53K 0.96% 2026-09-30
11 Walleye Capital LLC $543.52K 0.76% 2026-06-30
12 SIG BROKERAGE, LP $270.04K 0.38% 2026-06-30
13 CAPITAL FUND MANAGEMENT S.A. $213.28K 0.30% 2026-06-30
14 Squarepoint Ops LLC $209.84K 0.29% 2026-06-30

AEO Insider Trading (Form 4)

Latest: 2026-10-30
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2026-10-30 James H Keefer JR SVP, Controller & CAO Grant (A) +127 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-30 David M. Sable Director Grant (A) +307 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-30 Jennifer M. Foyle Global Brand President-aerie Grant (A) +855 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-30 Ravi Thanawala EVP and CFO Grant (A) +719 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-30 Janice E Page Director Grant (A) +24 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-30 Marisa Baldwin EVP - CHRO Grant (A) +180 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-30 Noel Joseph Spiegel Director Grant (A) +1,136 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-30 Jay L Schottenstein Exec Chairman & CEO Grant (A) +1,664 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-30 Beth M Henke EVP & Chief Legal Officer Grant (A) +150 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-30 Cary D McMillan Director Grant (A) +1,183 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-30 Deborah A Henretta Director Grant (A) +613 RSU — EDGAR
2026-10-07 Cary D McMillan Director Sell (S) −3,617 $18.20 -$65.8K EDGAR
2026-10-05 Janice E Page Director Award (A) +3,617 — EDGAR
2026-10-05 Cary D McMillan Director Award (A) +3,617 — EDGAR
2026-10-05 Noel Joseph Spiegel Director Mixed
Grant +3,617 · Sell −3,617
— $17.68 -$63.9K EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.

AEO Insider Holdings

3 insiders · @ $21.80
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 Janice E Page Director 104,620 $2.28M $0 4 2026-10-30
2 David M. Sable Director 57,098 $1.24M -$99.6K 5 2026-10-30
3 Beth M Henke EVP & Chief Legal Officer 22,974 $500.8K $0 3 2026-10-30
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.

AEO Board & Officers

As of SEC filings through Oct 30, 2026

Directors 7

Officers 6

Changes in the last 10 years (17)
Aug 3, 2026Ravi Thanawala became EVP and CFO
Jul 1, 2026The company announced the departure of Michael A. Mathias as EVP and CFO in an SEC filing
Jun 29, 2025Beth M Henke became EVP & Chief Legal Officer
Apr 3, 2025The company announced the departure of Stephanie L. Pugliese from the board in an SEC filing
Aug 1, 2024Stephanie L. Pugliese became a director
Dec 20, 2021The company announced the departure of Thomas R Ketteler from the board in an SEC filing
Sep 13, 2021Marisa Baldwin became EVP - CHRO
Jul 27, 2021James H Keefer JR listed as SVP, Controller & CAO (previously VP, Controller & CAO) in SEC filings
Oct 1, 2020Steven A Davis became a director
Apr 20, 2020Michael A. Mathias became EVP and CFO
Feb 14, 2019Deborah A Henretta became a director
Jun 6, 2018Stacy Siegal became EVP and General Counsel
Jun 6, 2018Andrew J. McLean became EVP & Chief Commercial Officer
Mar 19, 2018Sujatha Chandrasekaran became a director
Oct 24, 2017Scott M. Hurd reported in an SEC filing no longer being SVP & Chief Accounting Officer
Oct 20, 2017James H Keefer JR became VP, Controller & CAO
Mar 10, 2017Scott M. Hurd listed as SVP & Chief Accounting Officer (previously SVP, CAO & Interim CFO) in SEC filings
Not reported recently (8)
  • Michael R Rempell · Last reported as EVP, Chief Operations Officer in an SEC filing dated Dec 12, 2023
  • Andrew J. McLean · Last reported as EVP & Chief Commercial Officer in an SEC filing dated Jul 26, 2022
  • Steven A Davis · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Jul 6, 2022
  • Stacy Siegal · Last reported as EVP and General Counsel in an SEC filing dated Jun 8, 2022
  • Charles F Kessler · Last reported as Global Brand President-AE in an SEC filing dated Apr 23, 2021
  • Robert L Madore · Last reported as EVP & CFO in an SEC filing dated Mar 5, 2020
  • Peter Z Horvath · Last reported as Chief Global Cmrcl & Admin Off in an SEC filing dated Jul 25, 2017
  • Michael G Jesselson · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Apr 25, 2017
Compiled from SEC filings by the company and its directors and officers. Dates are as stated in those filings. Where no filing says when someone left, we show the last filing that listed them.

AEO Proposed Insider Sales (Form 144)

Latest: 2026-10-06
Last 30d: 0 filings  ·  Last 90d: 2 filings · $130K notice value · 2 unique filers

What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.

How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.

10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.

"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. An amended notice (Form 144/A) replaces the original it amends, and cancelled notices are dropped, so neither is double-counted above. A filed value that is clearly inconsistent with the share count at the stock's price (a filer typo) shows as a dash and is left out of the totals.

Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.

Top 90-day filers: MCMILLAN CARY D (1, $66K) · Spiegel Noel Joseph (1, $64K)
Filed Filer Role Shares Notice Value Planned Sale Broker Plan Link
2026-10-06 MCMILLAN CARY D Director 3,617 $65.8K 2026-10-06 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2026-10-02 Spiegel Noel Joseph Director 3,617 $63.9K 2026-10-02 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2026-07-17 Sable David M. Director 5,779 $99.6K 2026-07-17 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2026-07-07 MCMILLAN CARY D Director 2,892 $48.5K 2026-07-07 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2026-07-07 Spiegel Noel Joseph Director 2,892 $48.5K 2026-07-07 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2026-04-06 MCMILLAN CARY D Director 2,887 $49.7K 2026-04-06 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2026-04-06 Spiegel Noel Joseph Director 2,887 $50.0K 2026-04-06 Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC — EDGAR
2026-01-22 SCHOTTENSTEIN JAY L Officer, Director 10,616 $278.4K 2026-01-22 Raymond James & Associates — EDGAR
2026-01-22 SCHOTTENSTEIN JAY L Officer, Director 3,540 $92.8K 2026-01-22 Raymond James & Associates — EDGAR
2026-01-22 SCHOTTENSTEIN JAY L Officer, Director 3,540 $92.8K 2026-01-22 Raymond James & Associates — EDGAR
Notice value is the aggregate market value the filer states they intend to sell — not a confirmed transaction. Compare to Insider Activity (Form 4) to see which planned sales actually executed. Market-wide feed: Planned sales (Form 144).
Recent SEC Filings
Latest: 2026-09-10
Current reports — material events the company must disclose within 4 business days (earnings releases, M&A, executive changes, etc.).
Filing Date Event Link
2026-09-09 Earnings results EDGAR
2026-07-01 Director or officer change · Regulation FD disclosure EDGAR
2026-06-29 Director or officer change · Shareholder vote results EDGAR
2026-06-10 Material agreement · New debt obligation EDGAR
Annual report — audited financial statements, MD&A, risk factors. Filed 60–90 days after fiscal year-end.
Filing Date Accession Link
Quarterly report — unaudited financials and MD&A. Filed 40–45 days after each of the first three fiscal quarters.
Filing Date Accession Link
2026-09-10 0001193125-26-387856 EDGAR
2026-06-03 0001193125-26-255712 EDGAR
ETF Holders
121 ETFs hold AEO
25 shown · $969.79M total exposure · 0.19% AUM-weighted avg weight
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
1 IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.18% $183.8M $103.8B 2026-11-06
2 AVUV Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF Avantis 0.41% $129.7M $31.6B 2026-11-05
3 VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF Vanguard 0.00% $85.4M — 2026-09-30
4 IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.11% $82.4M $76.6B 2026-11-06
5 VB Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap ETF Vanguard 0.03% $60.4M — 2026-09-30
6 DFSV Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF Dimensional 0.22% $59.2M — 2026-11-05
7 DFAT Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF Dimensional 0.18% $56.1M — 2026-11-05
8 VBR Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETF Vanguard 0.06% $39.3M — 2026-09-30
9 VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF Vanguard 0.03% $30.5M — 2026-09-30
10 IWN iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.22% $30.2M $13.9B 2026-11-06
11 DFAS Dimensional US Small Cap ETF Dimensional 0.09% $29.5M — 2026-11-05
12 SPSM State Street® SPDR® Portfolio S&P 600™ Small Cap ETF SPDR (State Street) 0.18% $28.5M $15.7B 2026-11-05
13 VTWO Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF Vanguard 0.09% $16.4M — 2026-09-30
14 IJS iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.19% $14.6M $7.5B 2026-11-06
15 FESM Fidelity Enhanced Small Cap Core ETF Fidelity 0.21% $14.2M $6.6B 2026-11-05
16 DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF Dimensional 0.02% $14.1M — 2026-11-05
17 SCHA Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF Nport 0.05% $12.3M — 2026-08-31
18 IJT iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth ETF iShares (BlackRock) 0.16% $11.5M $7.3B 2026-11-06
19 BSVO EA Bridgeway Omni Small-Cap Value ETF Nport 0.47% $11.3M — 2026-06-30
20 VYM Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF Vanguard 0.01% $11.2M — 2026-09-30
21 DFMC Dimensional US Micro Cap ETF Dimensional 0.15% $11.2M — 2026-11-05
22 XRT State Street® SPDR® S&P® Retail ETF SPDR (State Street) 1.58% $10.1M $642.3M 2026-11-05
23 SLYV State Street® SPDR® S&P 600™ Small Cap Value ETF SPDR (State Street) 0.20% $9.7M $4.9B 2026-11-05
24 VIOO Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 ETF Vanguard 0.16% $9.6M — 2026-09-30
25 PSC Principal U.S. Small-Cap ETF Nport 0.38% $8.8M — 2026-06-30
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

Trailing P/E
—
TTM Diluted EPS
—
TTM Revenue
—
TTM Net Income
—
TTM Op. Cash Flow
—
Quarterly figures (12 quarters)
QuarterPeriod EndRevenueNet IncomeDiluted EPSOp. Cash Flow
Q2 '272026-08-01$1.38B$134.08M$0.79$181.55M
Q1 '272026-05-02$1.20B$23.52M$0.14$-65.22M
Q4 '262026-01-31$1.81B$87.91M$0.50$415.89M
Q3 '262025-11-01$1.36B$91.34M$0.53$67.15M
Q2 '262025-08-02$1.28B$77.63M$0.45$27.81M
Q1 '262025-05-03$1.09B$-64.90M$-0.36$-54.67M
Q4 '252025-02-01$1.60B$104.35M$0.54$383.75M
Q3 '252024-11-02$1.29B$80.02M$0.41$52.91M
Q2 '252024-08-03$1.29B$77.26M$0.39$78.25M
Q1 '252024-05-04$1.14B$67.75M$0.34$-38.11M
Q4 '242024-02-03$1.68B$6.32M$0.03$296.37M
Q3 '242023-10-28$1.30B$96.70M$0.49$136.45M
Q2 2027 • period ending 2026-08-01 • filed 2026-09-10
Valuation

Ratios derived from TTM financials and the current market price, sampled daily. History chart shows how expensive the stock is today relative to its own recent past.

Price Multiples
  • P/E — price / TTM earnings. Rough market rule: 10–15 value, 15–25 market, >30 growth/premium. Negative when earnings are negative.
  • P/B — price / book value. Useful for financials and asset-heavy names; meaningless for asset-light software.
  • P/S — price / TTM revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage growth).
  • EV/EBITDA — capital-structure-neutral. <10 cheap, 10–15 reasonable, >20 rich. Good for comparing across leverage profiles.
  • EV/Sales — like P/S but accounts for debt + cash. Compare within sector.
Profitability & Yields
  • ROE — return on equity. >15% strong, >25% exceptional. Caution: high leverage inflates ROE.
  • ROA — return on assets. Leverage-neutral; >5% solid, >10% exceptional.
  • Div Yield — annual dividend / price. Compare to 10Y Treasury; sustained yield >6% often signals distress.
  • FCF Yield — free cash flow / market cap. >5% is attractive; negative means burning cash.
Balance Sheet
  • Debt/Equity — leverage. <1 conservative, >2 aggressive. Sector-dependent (utilities naturally high, tech low).
  • Current Ratio — short-term liquidity. >1.5 comfortable, <1 raises short-term solvency flags.
Reading the history chart
  • Compare current level to the 3-year band: near the high end = relatively expensive; near the low = relatively cheap.
  • Multiples expanding while earnings are flat = sentiment-driven rally.
  • Multiples compressing while earnings grow = value coming from fundamentals.
P/E
13.46
P/B
2.30
P/S
0.67
EV/EBITDA
5.84
EV/Sales
0.67
ROE
17.1%
ROA
6.9%
Div Yield
2.47%
FCF Yield
11.79%
Debt/Equity
0.05
Current Ratio
—
Market Cap
$3.78B
as of 2026-11-09

AEO vs Peers

Related companies, largest first
Company Market cap P/E Revenue growth YTD IV rank
RACE Ferrari N.V. $72.9B — — +13.0% 11
NKE Nike, Inc. $57.3B 19.3 −1.2% −36.6% 47
ULTA Ulta Beauty, Inc. Common Stock $27.6B 24.5 +11.2% +8.4% 79
DECK Deckers Outdoor Corp $11.6B 12.1 +6.3% −14.6% 38
DDS Dillard's, Inc. Class A Common Stock $9.4B 14.8 +0.2% +1.8% —
VSXY Victorias Secret & Co. $8.6B 26.8 — +44.8% 55
CROX Crocs, Inc. $6.9B 12.0 +0.7% +85.6% 16
BBWI Bath & Body Works, Inc. $4.3B 5.7 −2.2% +5.8% 71
AEO American Eagle Outfitters $3.3B 13.5 +7.2% −17.3% 64
Peer median $10.5B 14.8 +0.4% +7.1% 47

P/E uses the latest reported trailing-12-month diluted EPS; "—" means no positive earnings or no data.

Short Interest & Float

Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.

Metric definitions
  • Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
  • SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
  • Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
  • Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
  • Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
  • Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
  • SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
  • 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
  • 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
  • >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
  • Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
  • Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
  • A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.

Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.

Short Interest
16.20M
SI % of Float
10.39%
Days to Cover
3.42
Short Vol Ratio
55.1%
Free Float
155.88M
Float %
93.0%
Short interest 2026-10-15 • Short volume 2026-11-06 • Float 2026-08-07