The Motley FoolT3·10mo ago
MSTU T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF
ETF 30.10 DelayedETF quote, holdings, sector allocation, technicals, and options analytics. Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
MSTU
$30.10
—
Key stats
$30.10
- 52-Week Range
- $14.60 – $401.00
- YTD
- -66.06%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 21.65
- Straddle Price
- $9.95
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.31
- Open
- $31.62
- Day Range
- $30.10 – $32.40
- Volume
- 2,861,255
- Prev Close
- $30.56
About
T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF (MSTU) ETF
No description available.
- Exchange
- BATS
- Inception
- 2024-09-17
- Has Options
- Yes
Fund profile
holdings as of May 31, 2026SEC filingthrough May 2026flows, SEC filings
Resets to 2x its benchmark's return each day. Over longer periods the result compounds and can differ sharply from 2x the benchmark, especially when it is volatile. Decay analysis
- Expense ratio
- 1.05% prospectus, filed Dec 29, 2025
- Assets
- $525M SEC filing, May 31, 2026
- Trailing yield
- 0.94%
- Average daily volume
- $207M 30 sessions
- Holdings
- 8 top 10 are 7.5%
- Listed
- Sep 17, 2024 Cboe BZX
Cost38
Liquidity100
Scale58
Diversificationn/a
Moves with. Bitcoin (68% of its variance, beta 2.86); US large-cap stocks (4% of its variance, beta 1.00). These factors explain 73% of its daily moves over the last year.
Stated objective. The Fund seeks daily investment results, before fees and expenses, of 200% of the daily performance of MSTR. The Fund does not seek to achieve its stated investment objective for a period of time different than a trading day. (from the fund's prospectus)
All 8 holdingsFlow historyOverlap toolAll Single-Stock Leveraged ETFs
Fund flows
through May 2026SEC filings- May 2026
- −$5.3M latest reported month
- Latest 3 months
- +$146M +27.9% of assets
- Latest 12 months
- +$684M +130.2% of assets
View as a table
| Month | Net flow |
|---|---|
| May 2026 | −$5.3M |
| Apr 2026 | +$42M |
| Mar 2026 | +$110M |
| Feb 2026 | +$33M |
| Jan 2026 | +$82M |
| Dec 2025 | +$49M |
| Nov 2025 | +$165M |
| Oct 2025 | +$240M |
| Sep 2025 | +$230M |
| Aug 2025 | +$157M |
| Jul 2025 | −$271M |
| Jun 2025 | −$148M |
Net creations and redemptions from the fund's SEC filings, which become public about 60 days after each quarter. Every month since 21 months ago
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| AMDLGraniteShares 2x Long AMD Daily ETF | — | 1.07% | $1.7B | +176.4% | compare |
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The largest other funds in the Single-Stock Leveraged category.
Under the hood
fiscal year to Aug 31, 2025SEC census- Authorized participants
- 6 active of 6 with agreements; top 3 did 89%
- Created · redeemed
- $3.6B · $2.5B over the fiscal year
- Redemptions in kind
- 0% creations 0% in kind
- Creation unit
- 10,000 shares
- Securities lending
- not authorized
- Diversification status
- Non-diversified may concentrate in fewer issuers
From the fund's annual census filing with the SEC. In-kind redemptions are what let an ETF shed appreciated securities without realising gains.
ETF Profile
holdings as of 2026-05-31
Holdings
8
AUM
$-24,568,326
Provider
Nport
Inception
2024-09-17
Exchange
BATS
Data As Of
2026-05-31
Expense Ratio
1.05%
Dividend Yield
0.94%
Distribution
—
Recent distributions
| Ex-Date | Pay Date | Amount | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | 2026-08-26 | $0.2880 | SC |
Asset Allocation
Top Holdings
top 8 of 8 holdings
| Symbol | Name | Weight % | Asset Class | Country |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | STRATEGY INC | 6.00% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| — | STRATEGY INC | 0.79% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| — | STRATEGY INC | 0.68% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| — | The Laddered T-Bill ETF | 0.00% | Other | US |
| — | STRATEGY INC | -0.39% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| — | STRATEGY INC | -0.91% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| — | STRATEGY INC | -3.86% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| — | STRATEGY INC | -6.99% | Derivative (equity) | US |
Chart
Seasonality
| Month | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -- | 12.90% | -14.77% | -0.93% |
| Feb | -- | -49.64% | -25.23% | -37.44% |
| Mar | -- | 14.71% | -22.30% | -3.79% |
| Apr | -- | 35.52% | 70.49% | 53.00% |
| May | -- | -10.44% | -23.18% | -16.81% |
| Jun | -- | 13.82% | -70.06% | -28.12% |
| Jul | -- | 10.66% | -4.86% | 2.90% |
| Aug | -- | -21.42% | 80.28% | 29.43% |
| Sep | 57.15% | -15.15% | 38.63% | 26.88% |
| Oct | 105.71% | -40.70% | -30.76%* | 11.42% |
| Nov | 135.33% | -58.45% | -- | 38.44% |
| Dec | -48.92% | -25.80% | -- | -37.36% |
| Total | 288.60% | -87.85% | -68.03% | 44.24% |
* Only 3 year(s) of data available.
Technical Indicators
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
Trend Indicators
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
Volume & Volatility
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $40.37
SMA 50: $33.19
SMA 200: $47.74
Current: $30.10
EMA 12: $36.63
EMA 26: $36.95
MACD: -0.3222 | Signal: -1.8261
BULLISH
ADX (14): 26.13
TREND
+DI: 17.96
−DI: 24.75
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 39.92
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 17.62
Stoch %D: 19.01
Williams %R: -95.38
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $49.66
BB Lower: $31.07
OVERSOLD
OBV: -42,594,629
Vol SMA 20: 4,805,893
Vol ROC: -25.14%
ATR: $4.72
True Range: $2.30
HV 20: 115.8%
HV 30: 153.7%
HV 60: 163.1%
Data Summary
Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-10-21T00:00:00 – 2026-10-19T00:00:00
AI Analysis
LLM Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (Confidence Level: 6/10)
Key Drivers and Primary Risks:
- Technical indicators suggest a weak trend with potential for a correction.
- Volatility is high, reflecting the stock's sensitivity to market changes.
- Earnings data is not available, which could impact investor sentiment.
Investment Thesis: MSTU's recent price action is driven by short-term momentum and volatility. The stock's beta is extremely high, indicating significant risk. While there are no clear fundamental catalysts, technical signals suggest a potential correction or consolidation phase.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: The negative news headline from The Motley Fool may have contributed to the recent pullback in price. However, other neutral headlines do not seem to have had a significant impact.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term (1-4 weeks): Weak trend with potential for correction
- Medium-term (1-3 months): Consolidation or sideways movement possible
- Long-term (3-12 months): Bullish momentum still present, but correction likely
Support/Resistance Levels: Key levels to monitor:
- SMA 20: $6.42 (support)
- EMA 12: $7.20 (resistance)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (66.10), indicating no clear buy or sell signal
- MACD signal: Bullish, suggesting continued momentum
- Bollinger Bands position: Neutral, with price near the middle band
Volume Analysis: Volume trends and institutional interest signals:
- Volume SMA 20: 37754451.07 (neutral)
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): -120415758.00 (bearish)
- Volume Rate of Change: 1.09% (bullish)
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Two neutral headlines and one negative headline from The Motley Fool.
Sentiment Assessment: Neutral sentiment with a slight bearish bias due to the negative news headline.
Catalyst Identification: No clear catalysts identified, but upcoming earnings data may impact investor sentiment.
Market Narrative: Technical signals suggest a potential correction or consolidation phase, while recent news headlines are neutral.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: High-risk stock with beta 5.14 (vs SPY).
Volatility Regime: Current volatility is high relative to historical levels.
Options Market Signals:
- IV Rank: Low (8.8%)
- Current IV: 175.6%
- Expected Move: $2.81 (32 DTE), 7-DTE: $1.25
- Volume Flow: Bullish
- Open Interest: Neutral
Downside Protection: Support levels and risk management considerations:
- SMA 20: $6.42 (support)
- EMA 12: $7.20 (resistance)
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: MSTU's sector performance is neutral.
Institutional Activity: Institutional interest is neutral, with no clear buying or selling pressure.
Correlation Analysis: High correlation with the market (0.47).
Relative Valuation: Position within trading range, with potential for a correction or consolidation phase.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- SMA 20: $6.42 (support)
- EMA 12: $7.20 (resistance)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels:
- Upper: $9.28 (breakout level)
- Lower: $3.55 (breakdown level)
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No clear catalysts identified.
Risk Management: Monitor technical levels and consider adjusting stop-loss levels and position sizing based on market conditions.
Generated
News
All MSTU news →
BenzingaT3·20mo ago
BenzingaT3·21mo ago
BenzingaT3·22mo ago
MSTU Options Activity & IV Rank
MSTU IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Current IV: 142.8%
7-DTE IV: 152.2%
Expected Move: $9.95
7-DTE Move: $3.89
Days to Exp: 32 (2026-11-20)
Options Flow
Call Volume: 316
Put Volume: 98
P/C Volume: 0.31
BULLISH
Call OI: 3,606
Put OI: 1,278
P/C OI: 0.354
Total OI: 4,884
ATM Options Pricing
ATM Call: $5.12
ATM Put: $4.83
Call %: 17.0%
Put %: 16.0%
Chain Summary
Chain Volume: 8,467
Chain OI: 200,256
Last Updated: 10/19/2026
Spread Scanner GPU
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Dealer Positioning
TYPICAL γ
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 35th percentile of this name's own daily history, within its typical range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Gamma percentile
35%
vs own history
GEX tilt
+0.05
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
+0.23
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
-0.26
δ-decay vs time
? What is this?
· 54 ATM contracts, 7k total OI
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
100%
+35.5
pts
EXTREME
ATM 147.4% / Wing 182.9%
30 DTE / 10d
—
—
pts
EXTREME
No data
Extreme reading.
Historically these have been contrarian — on the small set of observed earnings-day cases, large negative wing-vs-ATM gaps (calls pricing much richer than puts at the same delta) preceded sharp drops in the underlying within 1-12 days. Not financial advice and the dataset is small.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Volatility Surface
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Volatility Smile
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
IV Rank (7 DTE)33.1MediumOct 19
IV Rank (30 DTE)21.6LowOct 19
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$9.95Oct 19
Beta Analysis
Risk Metrics
Beta: 6.3085
Alpha: -216.83%
Correlation: 0.4953
R-Squared: 24.5%
Stock Volatility: 162.1%
Market Volatility: 12.7%
Analysis Details
Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
High volatility - stock moves more than market
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
MSTU Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
3 filers$6.37M notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $5.15M | 80.94% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $657.33K | 10.32% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $556.03K | 8.73% | 2026-06-30 |
3 filers$6.12M notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $2.64M | 43.14% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $2.23M | 36.43% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $1.25M | 20.43% | 2026-06-30 |
Short Interest & Float
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
Metric definitions
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.
Short Interest
2.71M
SI % of Float
—
Days to Cover
1.00
Short Vol Ratio
57.6%
Free Float
—
Float %
—
Short interest 2026-09-30 • Short volume 2026-10-19
Constituent Performance
Click any bar to view the full quote for that stock.
Constituents
| Symbol | Name | Weight % | Price | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month |
|---|