This under-the-radar industrial technology stock boasts a Superscore of 73 from our Hidden Gems Primary database, part of The Motley Fool's Moneyball Database system. Here's why.
YMM Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
XNYS 8.69 +0.00% After hoursStock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
YMM
$8.69
▲ +0.00%
What changed
Recent filings, trades and movesKey stats
$8.69
After hours
$8.69
+0.00%
- 52-Week Range
- $7.46 – $13.09
- YTD
- -22.76%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 44.57
- Straddle Price
- $1.23
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.19
- Market Cap
- $8.8B
- Open
- $8.49
- Day Range
- $8.40 – $8.69
- Volume
- 10,010,608
- Prev Close
- $8.49
Fair Value
MODEL: SHORT
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.88% |
| Beta vs SPY | 0.85 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.14% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 9.22% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +58.0pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +3.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.03 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Book / Price | 65.7% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Debt / Equity | 0.00 |
| Quality Score | 1/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $8.45 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $8.62 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 14.0% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $-0.9B |
| Market Cap | $9B |
Peers used for multiples: APP, BZ, GOOG, JOYY, META, NTES, PINS, TSM
60-Day Conviction
85%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Dec 14, 2026
$8.37
α -1.4%
rank 71%
conviction
84%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Jan 12, 2027
$8.27
α -2.6%
rank 71%
conviction
75%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Feb 10, 2027
$8.11
α -4.4%
rank 71%
conviction
85%
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | n/a | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $4.23 | 30% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 24.1× · 4 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | n/a | 0% | median 21.0× · 4 peers |
| Peer P/B | $31.16 | 11% | median 5.6× · 4 peers |
| Peer P/S | n/a | 0% | median 7.1× · 4 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $8.45 | 59% | stability 80% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $8.53 | 0% | 5 strikes · skew -0.44 |
As of 2026-11-13 · updated
Related
About
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (7372) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $8.8B
- Employees
- 8,251
- List Date
- 2021-06-22
- CIK
- 0001838413
- Next Earnings
- 2026-11-19 (Pre-Market)
- EPS Forecast
- $0.20
- Homepage
- https://www.fulltruckalliance.com
Full Truck Alliance Co Ltd, through its subsidiaries, provides comprehensive services for shippers and truckers through its mobile and website platforms. Its principal operations are in the People's Republic of China. The group derives its revenues principally from shippers and trucker's use of its platforms in connection with freight matching services and value-added services.
Summary
—
composite
—
No summary data available for this symbol yet.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
Seasonality
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | -- | 2.05% | -8.21% | -4.85% | 4.07% | -12.00% | -3.79% |
| Feb | -- | 5.01% | -13.58% | 2.48% | 5.58% | -7.50% | -1.60% |
| Mar | -- | -21.62% | -1.81% | 9.16% | 10.95% | -10.94% | -2.85% |
| Apr | -- | -15.90% | -14.67% | 14.95% | -11.18% | 4.85% | -4.39% |
| May | -- | 4.68% | -10.62% | 3.76% | 2.83% | 2.44% | 0.62% |
| Jun | -5.21% | 40.47% | -0.16% | -8.64% | 0.08% | -9.98% | 2.76% |
| Jul | -49.09% | -5.03% | 15.59% | -3.18% | -2.94% | 11.54% | -5.52% |
| Aug | 37.44% | 2.20% | -6.94% | 0.14% | 22.42% | -12.86% | 7.07% |
| Sep | -14.60% | -10.40% | -1.95% | 25.66% | -1.74% | -2.82% | -0.97% |
| Oct | -0.21% | -24.20% | -6.28% | -3.76% | 0.54% | 2.45% | -5.24% |
| Nov | -22.35% | 73.73% | 14.88% | 11.97% | -13.23% | -2.64%* | 10.39% |
| Dec | -29.31% | -5.88% | -5.01% | 7.45% | -5.21% | -- | -7.59% |
| Total | -68.97% | 11.96% | -36.03% | 63.62% | 7.59% | -33.96% | -9.30% |
Technical Indicators
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
Trend Indicators
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
Volume & Volatility
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $8.62
SMA 50: $8.45
SMA 200: $8.74
Current: $8.69
EMA 12: $8.71
EMA 26: $8.63
MACD: 0.0793 | Signal: -0.0016
BULLISH
ADX (14): 18.86
RANGE
+DI: 22.96
−DI: 23.55
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 51.53
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 53.94
Stoch %D: 60.24
Williams %R: -42.91
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $9.22
BB Lower: $8.02
NEUTRAL
OBV: -11,300,868
Vol SMA 20: 7,965,466
Vol ROC: 43.75%
ATR: $0.28
True Range: $0.29
HV 20: 38.0%
HV 30: 35.5%
HV 60: 31.6%
Data Summary
Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-11-15T00:00:00 – 2026-11-13T00:00:00
AI Analysis
LLM Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
BULLISH (Confidence Level: 7/10)
Key Drivers:
- Technical indicators suggesting a potential turnaround
- Positive news sentiment from recent headlines
- Catalysts identified, such as upcoming earnings release
Primary Risks:
- High volatility, potentially leading to increased risk
- Bearish momentum signals in MACD and ADX
- Negative news sentiment from some recent headlines
Investment Thesis: YMM has the potential for a short-term turnaround, driven by technical indicators and positive news sentiment. However, high volatility and bearish momentum signals pose risks.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: Positive news headlines have contributed to the bullish thesis, while negative headlines have been largely offset by the overall positive tone.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction: Medium-term (1-3 months) uptrend
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Short-term support: $8.21
- Medium-term support: $8.51
- Long-term resistance: $9.32
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (44.81), not overbought or oversold
- MACD signal: Bearish (crossover below signal line)
- Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze, indicating potential breakout
Volume Analysis: Low volume, with institutional interest signals suggesting potential accumulation.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: Positive news headlines have outweighed negative ones, suggesting a potential turnaround.
Sentiment Assessment: Aggregate sentiment is positive (55%), with 3 out of 6 recent headlines having a positive tone.
Catalyst Identification: Upcoming earnings release and product launch scheduled for Q4 2026.
Market Narrative: News headlines align with the bullish technical signals, suggesting a potential turnaround. However, high volatility and bearish momentum signals pose risks.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: High risk (1.26), reflecting increased volatility relative to the market.
Volatility Regime: Current volatility is higher than historical levels, indicating increased uncertainty.
Options Market Signals: IV rank is low (7.8%), suggesting that options traders are not pricing in significant moves. Put/call ratio is 0.00, indicating bullish sentiment.
Downside Protection: Support levels at $8.21 and $8.51 provide some protection against potential downside moves.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: YMM's sector (Technology) has performed relatively strongly recently.
Institutional Activity: Low institutional interest signals suggest that institutions may be accumulating the stock.
Correlation Analysis: Correlation with the market is moderate (0.43), indicating some independence from broader market trends.
Relative Valuation: YMM is trading within a trading range, with relative valuation suggesting potential for further upside.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Support: $8.21 and $8.51
- Resistance: $9.32
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: Break above the upper Bollinger Band ($9.41) or below the lower band ($8.21)
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: Upcoming earnings release (Q4 2026) and product launch scheduled for Q4 2026.
Risk Management: Monitor technical signals, position sizing, and stop-loss levels to manage risk effectively.
Note: This analysis report provides a comprehensive overview of the stock's performance, incorporating both technical and fundamental analysis. The report highlights key drivers, primary risks, and recent news sentiment impact, as well as providing actionable insights for investors.
Generated
News
All YMM news →
YMM Options Activity & IV Rank
YMM IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Current IV: 143.2%
7-DTE IV: 143.2%
Expected Move: $1.23
7-DTE Move: $2.10
Days to Exp: 35 (2026-12-18)
Options Flow · All expiries
Call Volume: 409
Put Volume: 77
P/C Volume: 0.188
BULLISH
Call OI: 5,055
Put OI: 3,423
P/C OI: 0.677
Total OI: 8,478
ATM Options Pricing
ATM Call: $1.12
ATM Put: $0.10
Call %: 12.9%
Put %: 1.2%
Chain Summary
Chain Volume: 486
Chain OI: 8,478
Last Updated: 11/13/2026
Spread Scanner
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
Stage 1 — Base Score
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Calendars: the long leg is valued at the short leg’s expiration (Black-Scholes at its current IV) across the range of prices the short leg’s IV implies, giving the best-case profit (R/R = that over the debit) and P(profit).
Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Scanning bull put, bear call, iron condor and calendar spreads…
Dealer Positioning
TYPICAL γ
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 31st percentile of this name's own daily history, within its typical range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Gamma percentile
31%
vs own history
GEX tilt
-0.71
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
+0.90
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
+0.19
δ-decay vs time
Vanna tilt +0.90: the estimated dealer exposure leans positive, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably if implied volatility changed.
? What is this?
· 4 ATM contracts, 4k total OI
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Put vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Call vs ATM
IV(call wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsThe same measure on the upside: how the OTM call is priced against the at-the-money strike.
- Negative (typical) — calls trade below ATM for most stocks and indices, so the sign alone says little.
- Percentile vs own history: high = upside calls unusually rich for this name (squeezes, takeover talk, commodity supply scares); low = calls cheaper than usual.
Reading them together
Put or call vs ATM tells you how expensive that tail is. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d put
—
—
pts
EXTREME
No data
30 DTE / 10d put
—
—
pts
EXTREME
ATM 50.4% / Put —
Extreme reading.
Historically these have been contrarian — on the small set of observed earnings-day cases, large negative wing-vs-ATM gaps (calls pricing much richer than puts at the same delta) preceded sharp drops in the underlying within 1-12 days. Not financial advice and the dataset is small.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Volatility Surface
Loading the implied volatility surface…
Volatility Smile
Loading the implied volatility smile…
IV Rank (7 DTE)46.4MediumNov 13
IV Rank (30 DTE)44.6MediumNov 13
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$1.23Nov 13
Beta Analysis
Risk Metrics
Beta: 0.8800
Alpha: -43.23%
Correlation: 0.3327
R-Squared: 11.1%
Stock Volatility: 36.3%
Market Volatility: 13.7%
Analysis Details
Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
Moderate volatility - stock generally follows market
Moderate volatility - stock generally follows market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
Notable investors who own YMM
3 of 37 tracked investors
| Investor | Value | Share of their portfolio | Rank | Q/Q shares | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renaissance Technologies Hedge fund Jim Simons | $7.0M | #1263 of 3138 | -38.2% | 13F | |
| Citadel Hedge fund Ken Griffin | $6.0M | #1959 of 6285 | -28.5% | 13F | |
| Rockefeller Capital Management Family office Rockefeller family | $17K | #3804 of 4729 | -27.1% | 13F |
Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions
YMM Institutional Ownership (13F)
Filings for 2026-06-30 · 91 already for 2026-09-30
? 13F Guide
Diluted shares outstanding: 20,928,172,684 (as of 2025-12-31)
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
7 filers$2.73M notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $1.19M | 43.59% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $1.04M | 37.95% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $177.81K | 6.50% | 2026-09-30 |
| 4 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $84.45K | 3.09% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $82.70K | 3.02% | 2026-09-30 |
| 6 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $81.20K | 2.97% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Walleye Capital LLC | $78.76K | 2.88% | 2026-06-30 |
8 filers$9.19M notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PEAK6 LLC | $4.06M | 44.19% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | JPMorgan Chase & Co Custodian | $2.02M | 21.99% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $1.25M | 13.61% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $941.95K | 10.25% | 2026-09-30 |
| 5 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $428.74K | 4.67% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $198.13K | 2.16% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $153.47K | 1.67% | 2026-06-30 |
| 8 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $134.80K | 1.47% | 2026-09-30 |
YMM Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-11-02Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | Xinzhe Li | Director | Award (A) | +23,641 | — | EDGAR |
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
YMM Insider Holdings
1 insider · @ $8.69
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Xinzhe Li | Director | 251,803 | $2.19M | $0 | 1 | 2026-11-02 |
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
ETF Holders
55 ETFs hold YMM
25 shown · $625.48M total exposure · 0.04% AUM-weighted avg weight
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KWEB KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF | Nport | 4.15% | $203.9M | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | Vanguard | 0.01% | $87.3M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 3 | VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | Vanguard | 0.05% | $83.4M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 4 | IEMG iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.05% | $73.8M | $146.6B | 2026-11-11 |
| 5 | DWLD Davis Select Worldwide ETF | Nport | 6.01% | $36.8M | — | 2026-07-31 |
| 6 | DINT Davis Select International ETF | Nport | 5.88% | $17.1M | — | 2026-07-31 |
| 7 | AVEM Avantis Emerging Markets Equity ETF | Avantis | 0.06% | $16.3M | $27.5B | 2026-11-11 |
| 8 | EEM iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.06% | $15.8M | $28.4B | 2026-11-11 |
| 9 | MCHI iShares MSCI China ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.26% | $15.1M | $5.6B | 2026-11-11 |
| 10 | VEU Vanguard FTSE All-World Ex-US ETF | Vanguard | 0.01% | $14.1M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 11 | SPEM State Street® SPDR® Portfolio Emerging Markets ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.06% | $10.2M | $16.6B | 2026-11-11 |
| 12 | IXUS iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.01% | $8.6M | $57.6B | 2026-11-11 |
| 13 | SCHE Schwab Emerging Markets Equity ETF | Nport | 0.06% | $7.5M | — | 2026-08-31 |
| 14 | VYMI Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF | Vanguard | 0.03% | $6.9M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 15 | ESGE iShares ESG Aware MSCI EM ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.11% | $6.7M | $6.3B | 2026-11-11 |
| 16 | VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | Vanguard | 0.01% | $5.0M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 17 | ACWX iShares MSCI ACWI ex U.S. ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.02% | $3.7M | $18.0B | 2026-11-11 |
| 18 | PGJ Invesco Golden Dragon China ETF | Invesco | 4.28% | $3.4M | — | 2026-11-11 |
| 19 | AAXJ iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.06% | $2.2M | $3.6B | 2026-11-11 |
| 20 | ACWI iShares MSCI ACWI ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.01% | $2.0M | $32.7B | 2026-11-11 |
| 21 | EMQQ EMQQ The Emerging Markets Internet ETF | Nport | 0.57% | $1.5M | — | 2026-08-31 |
| 22 | VSGX Vanguard ESG International Stock ETF | Vanguard | 0.02% | $1.3M | — | 2026-11-11 |
| 23 | EMKT Lazard Emerging Markets Opportunities ETF | Nport | 0.63% | $1.1M | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 24 | JEMA JPMorgan ActiveBuilders Emerging Markets Equity ETF | JPMorgan | 0.06% | $936,888 | $1.7B | 2026-11-12 |
| 25 | GXC State Street® SPDR® S&P® China ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.21% | $907,790 | $439.7M | 2026-11-11 |
Fundamentals
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
Metrics
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Trailing P/E
—
TTM Diluted EPS
—
TTM Revenue
—
TTM Net Income
—
TTM Op. Cash Flow
—
Quarterly figures (5 quarters)
| Quarter | Period End | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Op. Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 '25 | 2025-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '24 | 2024-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '23 | 2023-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '22 | 2022-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
| Q4 '21 | 2021-12-31 | — | — | — | — |
Q4 2025 • period ending 2025-12-31 • filed 2026-04-14
YMM vs Peers
Related companies, largest first| Company | Market cap | P/E | Revenue growth | YTD | IV rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOG Alphabet Inc. Class C Capital Stock | $3.63T | 15.3 | +22.2% | −7.2% | 44 |
| TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Compa | $2.10T | — | — | +24.8% | 44 |
| META Meta Platforms, Inc. Class A Common Stoc | $1.59T | 21.9 | +27.5% | −1.3% | 28 |
| APP Applovin Corporation Class A Common Stoc | $130.4B | 27.5 | +57.8% | −33.8% | 12 |
| NTES NetEase, inc. | $78.5B | — | — | −17.2% | 53 |
| PINS Pinterest, Inc. Class A Common Stock | $11.0B | 76.6 | +15.4% | −27.9% | 8 |
| YMM Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. American De | $8.8B | — | — | −22.8% | 45 |
| BZ KANZHUN LIMITED American Depository Shar | $5.5B | — | — | −38.0% | 58 |
| JOYY JOYY Inc. American Depositary Shares | $3.9B | — | — | +24.6% | 80 |
| Peer median | $104.5B | 24.7 | +24.9% | −12.2% | 44 |
P/E uses the latest reported trailing-12-month diluted EPS; "—" means no positive earnings or no data.
Short Interest & Float
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
Metric definitions
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.
Short Interest
21.81M
SI % of Float
2.34%
Days to Cover
2.93
Short Vol Ratio
51.3%
Free Float
—
Float %
—
Short interest 2026-10-15 • Short volume 2026-11-12