BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc.
XNAS
57.91
Delayed
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $28.46 – $74.60
- YTD
- +40.93%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 74.14
- Straddle Price
- $7.10
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 7.09
- Market Cap
- $1.2B
- Open
- $57.24
- Day Range
- $56.50 – $58.79
- Volume
- 369,042
- Prev Close
- $56.51
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 5.13% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.18 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 11.61% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 11.33% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +41.3pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -2.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.0B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 10.3% |
| Book / Price | 29.3% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 74.7% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 3.3% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.17 |
| Quality Score | 3/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | +18.8% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $61.33 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $59.37 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 15.7% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $0.0B |
| Market Cap | $1B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $16.71 | 22% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | $41.33 | 7% | median 20.9× · 10 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $78.85 | 7% | median 14.2× · 10 peers |
| Peer P/B | $123.16 | 7% | median 7.4× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/S | $143.81 | 7% | median 2.3× · 10 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $61.33 | 32% | stability 72% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $55.57 | 19% | 17 strikes · skew -0.52 |
- Industry (SIC)
- RETAIL-EATING PLACES (5812) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $1.2B
- Employees
- 22,000
- List Date
- 1996-10-09
- CIK
- 0001013488
- Next Earnings
- 2026-11-05 (After-Close)
- EPS Forecast
- $0.14 (3 est.)
- Headquarters
- Huntington Beach, CA
- Homepage
- https://www.bjsrestaurants.com
BJ's Restaurants Inc is involved in the business of owning and operating restaurants. The company operates in a single operating segment that is full-service company-owned restaurants. It has geographic presence only in the United States of America.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 24.94% | -14.08% | 17.58% | -1.90% | 0.81% | 1.78% | 4.85% |
| Feb | 19.24% | 1.84% | 2.14% | -2.91% | 3.08% | -11.59% | 1.97% |
| Mar | -0.22% | -4.75% | -9.47% | 1.97% | -7.20% | -4.12% | -3.97% |
| Apr | 2.47% | 0.25% | 12.52% | -10.12% | -6.83% | 7.74% | 1.01% |
| May | -9.24% | -9.88% | -7.54% | 9.19% | 33.20% | 25.90% | 6.94% |
| Jun | -9.44% | -16.90% | 5.23% | -1.25% | -2.00% | 30.00% | 0.94% |
| Jul | -17.10% | 6.25% | 16.13% | -10.97% | -22.73% | 11.12% | -2.88% |
| Aug | 3.89% | 8.85% | -19.60% | -0.50% | -1.79% | -6.88% | -2.67% |
| Sep | -2.34% | -7.34% | -20.56% | 9.19% | -7.93% | -7.22% | -6.03% |
| Oct | -25.12% | 40.50% | 10.81% | 12.56% | 11.09% | -2.26%* | 7.93% |
| Nov | -13.15% | 2.92% | 14.15% | 13.09% | 12.93% | -- | 5.99% |
| Dec | 17.56% | -18.61% | 16.69% | -5.88% | 5.86% | -- | 3.12% |
| Total | -19.49% | -21.08% | 30.31% | 9.08% | 8.83% | 42.76% | 8.40% |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
BJRI (BJ's Restaurants, Inc.) - Comprehensive Stock Analysis
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL with Confidence Level: 6/10
BJ's Restaurants presents a conflicted technical and sentiment picture. While news sentiment is overwhelmingly positive (5 of 6 recent headlines bullish), technical indicators show weakness that contradicts the bullish narrative. The stock is trapped in a range-bound regime with bearish momentum signals despite positive fundamental momentum. Recent price action suggests profit-taking after a strong run, creating a pause rather than a reversal.
Key Drivers:
- Positive restaurant sector momentum and sales growth narrative
- Momentum stock status driving institutional interest
- Value stock positioning attracting long-term investors
Primary Risks:
- Bearish MACD crossover (-0.80 histogram) signaling momentum deterioration
- Price trading below critical moving averages (below SMA 20 and SMA 50)
- Extreme IV premium (70.1% above realized volatility) suggesting options market pricing in significant move—potentially unsustainable
Investment Thesis: BJ's Restaurants has attracted significant positive sentiment as a top momentum and value play in a strengthening restaurant sector, but technical deterioration and elevated options pricing suggest the recent rally has priced in much of the good news. A near-term consolidation or pullback is more probable than continuation until technical signals realign with bullish fundamentals.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction
| Timeframe | Direction | Confidence | Rationale | |-----------|-----------|-----------|-----------| | Short-term (1-4 weeks) | DOWNTREND | Medium | Price $59.87 trades below SMA 20 ($60.38) and SMA 50 ($63.23); ADX 14.81 indicates weak directional trend (range-bound) | | Medium-term (1-3 months) | UPTREND | Medium | Price above SMA 200 ($49.55); approximately +20.8% above 200-day MA supports longer-term bullish structure | | Long-term (3-12 months) | UPTREND | Medium-High | Strong positioning above 200-day moving average with positive alpha (0.62) |
Interpretation: BJ's is in a correction phase within a longer-term uptrend. The stock has rallied significantly (referenced: Cracker Barrel comparison of 90% in 6 months suggests sector-wide strength), and current consolidation represents healthy pullback in an uptrend rather than trend reversal.
Support & Resistance Levels
| Level | Price | Type | Significance | |-------|-------|------|---------------| | Immediate Support | $57.97 | Bollinger Lower Band | Strong technical floor; 3.2% downside | | Critical Support | $56.00-$58.00 | Bollinger/Technical | 6.4% downside; watch for breakdown | | Mid-Range Support | $49.55 | SMA 200 | Major technical support; -17.2% downside | | Immediate Resistance | $62.79 | Bollinger Upper Band | Technical ceiling; 4.9% upside | | Key Resistance | $63.23 | SMA 50 | Psychological level; -5.5% downside from upper band | | Upper Resistance | $65.00+ | Technical Pattern | Extension target if momentum resumes |
Momentum Signals
RSI (14): 46.01 — NEUTRAL
- Reading in the neutral zone (30-70 band) indicates no overbought or oversold conditions
- Not extreme, suggesting room for movement in either direction
- Slight bearish bias as reading sits below 50 midpoint
MACD: -0.68 / Signal: 0.12 / Histogram: -0.80 — BEARISH SIGNAL
- Critical finding: MACD (-0.68) trades below signal line (0.12), indicating bearish crossover
- Histogram of -0.80 shows negative divergence and momentum deterioration
- This is the most significant technical red flag in the dataset
- Suggests momentum peaked recently; sellers gaining control
Stochastic Oscillator:
- %K: 41.54 / %D: 50.10 — Both readings below 50 indicate downward momentum
- No oversold condition yet (<20 would trigger), but trending toward weakness
- Suggests selling pressure without extreme conditions
Williams %R: -53.98 — NEUTRAL
- Reading in the neutral zone (-50 to -100 represents weak to neutral conditions)
- Supports neutral momentum assessment but with slight bearish lean
Bollinger Bands: Neutral Zone
- Width: 7.99 (moderate band expansion)
- Price at $59.87 sits below middle band ($60.38) and upper band ($62.79)
- Not touching lower band ($57.97), so no oversold squeeze setup yet
- Pattern suggests consolidation rather than reversal, with potential for mean reversion back toward $60.38-$61.00 range
Volume Analysis
Volume Metrics:
- SMA 20 Volume: 420,867.70 shares/day
- Volume Rate of Change: +8.41% — Volume slightly elevated vs recent average
- On-Balance Volume: 18,436,526.80 — Positive but not extreme
Interpretation:
- Volume elevation (+8.41%) suggests institutional participation but not panic
- OBV reading indicates consistent buying, though not at climax levels
- No evidence of institutional capitulation or heavy accumulation
- Volume pattern supports consolidation thesis rather than breakout or breakdown
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary (Last 10 Articles)
| Date | Headline | Sentiment | Theme | |------|----------|-----------|-------| | 2026-10-08 | Cracker Barrel Soars 90% in 6 Months | NEUTRAL | Sector comparison; provides context | | 2026-10-02 | BJRI is Top-Ranked Momentum Stock | POSITIVE | Momentum/performance recognition | | 2026-10-01 | Retail-Wholesale Stocks Lagging BJRI | POSITIVE | Outperformance narrative | | 2026-10-01 | 4 Restaurant Stocks Poised to Thrive | POSITIVE | Industry tailwinds endorsement | | 2026-10-01 | 4 Stocks to Boost Portfolio (Sales Surge) | POSITIVE | Sales growth catalyst | | 2026-10-01 | BJRI Top Value Stock Long-Term | POSITIVE | Value proposition |
Sentiment Assessment: 83% POSITIVE (5 of 6 bullish headlines)
Catalyst Identification
Near-term (1-7 days):
- None identified in headline data
- Technical consolidation phase expected
Immediate (1-4 weeks):
- Earnings Report: October 29, 2026 (19 days from latest headline date)
- This is the critical near-term catalyst
- Expected move pricing: $9.35 by 42 DTE = potential range $50.52-$69.22
- 7-DTE expected move of $3.35 suggests market expects tighter range into earnings
Medium-term (1-3 months):
- Restaurant sector momentum continuation
- Sales growth thesis validation
- Valuation re-rating potential if earnings beat
Market Narrative vs. Technical Signals
Divergence Alert: SIGNIFICANT CONFLICT
| Signal Type | Assessment | Status | |-------------|-----------|--------| | News Sentiment | Overwhelmingly bullish | Positive | | Technical Trend | Bearish momentum, price below key MAs | Negative | | Options Pricing | Expecting $9.35 move; IV heavily elevated | Neutral-Bullish | | Earnings Timing | 19 days away; major catalyst | Pending |
Interpretation: The disconnect between bullish fundamental sentiment and bearish technical momentum is notable. This suggests:
- Recent rally has exhausted short-term momentum — BJRI likely experienced strong buying that drove it above SMA 50 earlier, but profit-taking has set in
- Options market is pricing significant move — The 70.1% IV premium vs. historical volatility indicates traders expect outsized move relative to realized volatility
- Earnings event is the likely catalyst — News sentiment (momentum/value stock, restaurant sector strength) may be front-running positive earnings expectations set for Oct 29
Alignment: Bull
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-01-22 | After-Close | 11.39% | 0.07% | 0.01x | Within |
| 2021-04-22 | After-Close | 13.49% | 5.66% | 0.42x | Within |
| 2021-07-29 | After-Close | 12.81% | 3.72% | 0.29x | Within |
| 2021-10-21 | After-Close | 12.81% | 2.31% | 0.18x | Within |
| 2022-02-17 | After-Close | 9.17% | 4.28% | 0.47x | Within |
| 2022-04-21 | After-Close | 14.08% | 0.38% | 0.03x | Within |
| 2022-07-21 | After-Close | 14.81% | 1.42% | 0.10x | Within |
| 2022-10-20 | After-Close | 12.39% | 4.54% | 0.37x | Within |
| 2023-02-16 | After-Close | 6.22% | 2.66% | 0.43x | Within |
| 2023-04-27 | After-Close | 4.78% | 12.60% | 2.64x | Exceeded |
| 2023-07-27 | After-Close | 10.59% | 9.36% | 0.88x | Within |
| 2023-10-26 | After-Close | 14.21% | 8.66% | 0.61x | Within |
| 2024-02-15 | After-Close | 7.70% | 2.79% | 0.36x | Within |
| 2024-05-02 | After-Close | 9.62% | 5.86% | 0.61x | Within |
| 2024-07-25 | After-Close | 12.08% | 15.39% | 1.27x | Exceeded |
| 2024-10-31 | After-Close | 12.67% | 8.36% | 0.66x | Within |
| 2025-02-20 | After-Close | 17.28% | 6.46% | 0.37x | Within |
| 2025-05-01 | After-Close | 12.77% | 13.20% | 1.03x | Exceeded |
| 2025-07-31 | After-Close | 14.82% | 3.56% | 0.24x | Within |
| 2025-10-30 | After-Close | 12.64% | 18.37% | 1.45x | Exceeded |
| 2026-02-25 | After-Close | 12.17% | 2.08% | 0.17x | Within |
| 2026-05-05 | After-Close | 12.34% | 4.62% | 0.37x | Within |
| 2026-07-30 | After-Close | 11.58% | 8.96% | 0.77x | Within |
Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →
BJRI Options Activity & IV Rank
BJRI IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Options Flow
ATM Options Pricing
Chain Summary
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 4th percentile of this name's own daily history, near the low end of its range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
Risk Metrics
Analysis Details
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
BJRI Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $1.12M | 54.93% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $522.32K | 25.67% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $394.78K | 19.40% | 2026-06-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $485.88K | 100.00% | 2026-06-30 |
BJRI Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-10-16| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-16 | James D White | Director | Award (A) | +2,326 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-16 | Lyle Tick | CEO & President | Tax (F) | −1,488 | $60.22 | -$89.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-16 | Christopher W Brandt | Director | Award (A) | +2,326 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-03 | C Bradford Richmond | Director | Buy (P) | +500 | $59.50 | $29.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-02 | C Bradford Richmond | Director | Buy (P) | +500 | $61.05 | $30.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-31 | C Bradford Richmond | Director | Buy (P) | +753 | $63.25 | $47.6K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-12 | Noah A. Elbogen | Director | Sell (S) | −7,535 | $70.14 | -$528.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-07 | Gregory S Lynds | EVP & Chief Dev. Officer | Sell (S) | −21,704 | $68.81 | -$1.49M | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-07 | Kendra D Miller | EVP & General Counsel | Mixed | −2,978 | $60.40 | -$417.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-07 | C Bradford Richmond | Director | Gift (G) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-07 | Kendra D Miller | EVP & General Counsel | Mixed | −2,978 | $60.40 | -$417.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-07 | Gregory S Lynds | EVP & Chief Dev. Officer | Sell (S) | −21,704 | $68.81 | -$1.49M | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-07 | C Bradford Richmond | Director | Gift (G) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-08-05 | Gregory S Lynds | EVP & Chief Dev. Officer | Mixed | — | $54.01 | -$682.4K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-29 | Lyle Tick | CEO & President | Mixed | +4,245 | $68.95 | -$228.4K | EDGAR |
BJRI Insider Holdings
29 insiders · @ $57.91| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pleasant Lake Partners LLC | 10%+ Owner | 2,303,131 | $133.37M | -$1.71M | 1 | 2024-10-31 |
| 2 | PLP Funds Master Fund LP | 10%+ Owner | 2,231,396 | $129.22M | -$3.54M | 1 | 2025-04-28 |
| 3 | Pozzo James Dal | Director | 1,708,611 | $98.95M | -$5.40M | 39 | 2026-06-22 |
| 4 | Noah A. Elbogen | Director | 71,655 | $4.15M | -$1.23M | 26 | 2026-08-12 |
| 5 | Lea Anne Ottinger | Director | 42,493 | $2.46M | -$26.43M | 35 | 2026-06-22 |
| 6 | C Bradford Richmond | Director | 39,455 | $2.28M | $292.1K | 17 | 2026-09-03 |
| 7 | Lyle Tick | CEO & President | 35,087 | $2.03M | $0 | 8 | 2026-10-16 |
| 8 | Kendra D Miller | EVP & General Counsel | 28,599 | $1.66M | -$5.03M | 52 | 2026-08-07 |
| 9 | Janet Sherlock | Director | 26,199 | $1.52M | $14.8K | 12 | 2026-06-22 |
| 10 | Gregory S Lynds | EVP & Chief Dev. Officer | 25,280 | $1.46M | -$13.13M | 70 | 2026-08-07 |
BJRI Board & Officers
As of SEC filings through Oct 16, 2026Directors 9
- Pozzo James Dal · on file since 2006
- Lea Anne Ottinger · since Aug 16, 2010
- Noah A. Elbogen · on file since Aug 2016
- Janet Sherlock · on file since Jan 2019
- Bina Chaurasia · since Nov 6, 2020
- Julius Robinson · since Jan 28, 2022
- C Bradford Richmond · since Feb 28, 2024
- Christopher W Brandt · since Sep 2, 2026
- James D White · since Sep 2, 2026
Officers 15
- Lyle Tick · CEO & President · listed since Jun 2025
- Alex Puchner · Sr. Vice President Brewing Ops · on file since Apr 2006
- Allison Van Ashley · Sr. Vice President Accounting · since May 11, 2026
- Monika Saxena · EVP & Brand President · since Jun 3, 2026
- Joshua Todd Wilson · EVP & Chief Financial Officer · since Dec 15, 2025
- Jennifer Anne Jaffe · EVP & Chief People Officer · since May 12, 2025
- Thomas Michael Kowalski · Chief Supply Chain Officer · since May 27, 2025
- Brian S Krakower · EVP & Chief Info. Officer · listed since Dec 2025
- Gregory S Lynds · EVP & Chief Dev. Officer · listed since Jan 2026
- Birju Prakash Amin · EVP & Chief Technology Officer · since Jul 8, 2026
- Kendra D Miller · EVP & General Counsel · listed since Jan 2023
- Christopher P Pinsak · Senior VP Operations · listed since Nov 2022
- Heidi Rogers · Sr VP-Marketing · since Dec 14, 2022
- Jacob Guild · Sr VP & CAO · listed since Jan 2023
- William J Atkins · Interim Prin. Fin. Officer · since Jul 24, 2025
Changes in the last 10 years (73)
| Sep 2, 2026 | James D White became a director |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Christopher W Brandt became a director |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Birju Prakash Amin became EVP & Chief Technology Officer |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Monika Saxena became EVP & Brand President |
| May 11, 2026 | Allison Van Ashley became Sr. Vice President Accounting |
| Jan 15, 2026 | Gregory S Lynds listed as EVP & Chief Dev. Officer (previously Exec VP -Chief Dev.Officer) in SEC filings |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Joshua Todd Wilson became EVP & Chief Financial Officer |
| Dec 15, 2025 | Brian S Krakower listed as EVP & Chief Info. Officer (previously Chief Information Officer) in SEC filings |
| Jul 24, 2025 | William J Atkins became Interim Prin. Fin. Officer |
| Jun 20, 2025 | C Bradford Richmond no longer listed as Interim CEO in SEC filings |
| Jun 12, 2025 | The company announced the departure of Greg Trojan from the board in an SEC filing |
| Jun 12, 2025 | The company announced the departure of Greg Trojan from the board in an SEC filing |
| Jun 12, 2025 | The company announced the departure of Greg Trojan as President/CEO in an SEC filing |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Lyle Tick listed as CEO & President (previously Pres. & Chief Concept Officer) in SEC filings |
| May 27, 2025 | Thomas Michael Kowalski became Chief Supply Chain Officer |
| May 12, 2025 | Jennifer Anne Jaffe became EVP & Chief People Officer |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Pleasant Lake Partners LLC reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Pleasant Lake Partners LLC first listed as a 10% owner in an SEC filing |
| Apr 28, 2025 | PLP Funds Master Fund LP reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Apr 28, 2025 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC first listed as a 10% owner in an SEC filing |
| Apr 23, 2025 | PLP Funds Master Fund LP became a 10% owner |
| Jan 14, 2025 | The company announced the departure of Putnam Shin as Chief Growth & Innovation in an SEC filing |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Pleasant Lake Partners LLC reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Pleasant Lake Onshore Feeder Fund LP reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 31, 2024 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Amy B Krallman listed as EVP & Chief People Officer (previously EVY & Chief People Officer) in SEC filings |
| Sep 9, 2024 | Lyle Tick became Pres. & Chief Concept Officer |
| Aug 30, 2024 | C Bradford Richmond first listed as Interim CEO in an SEC filing |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Pleasant Lake Partners LLC first listed as a 10% owner in an SEC filing |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Pleasant Lake Onshore Feeder Fund LP first listed as a 10% owner in an SEC filing |
| Aug 19, 2024 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC first listed as a 10% owner in an SEC filing |
| Jun 18, 2024 | The company announced the departure of Peter A Bassi from the board in an SEC filing |
| Jun 18, 2024 | The company announced the departure of Larry D Bouts from the board in an SEC filing |
| Jun 18, 2024 | The company announced the departure of Gerald W Deitchle from the board in an SEC filing |
| Jun 18, 2024 | The company announced the departure of Gerald W Deitchle from the board in an SEC filing |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Pleasant Lake Partners LLC reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Pleasant Lake Onshore Feeder Fund LP reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Mar 6, 2024 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Feb 28, 2024 | C Bradford Richmond became a director |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Pleasant Lake Partners LLC became a 10% owner |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Pleasant Lake Onshore Feeder Fund LP became a 10% owner |
| Feb 16, 2024 | Fund 1 Investments, LLC became a 10% owner |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Kendra D Miller listed as EVP & General Counsel (previously Sr. VP & General Counsel) in SEC filings |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Jacob Guild listed as Sr VP & CAO (previously SVP & Chief Accounting Officer) in SEC filings |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Gregory Levin first listed as a director in an SEC filing |
| Jan 18, 2023 | Greg Trojan first listed as a director in an SEC filing |
| Dec 14, 2022 | Heidi Rogers became Sr VP-Marketing |
| Dec 12, 2022 | Putnam Shin became Chief Growth & Innovation |
| Nov 17, 2022 | Christopher P Pinsak listed as Senior VP Operations (previously Sr. Regional VP, Operations) in SEC filings |
| Oct 3, 2022 | Amy B Krallman became EVY & Chief People Officer |
| Feb 23, 2022 | The company announced the departure of Patrick Walsh from the board in an SEC filing |
| Feb 15, 2022 | The company announced the departure of Lon Ledwith as Executive VP, Operations in an SEC filing |
| Jan 28, 2022 | Julius Robinson became a director |
| Sep 3, 2021 | Gregory Levin listed as CEO and President (previously President and CFO) in SEC filings |
| Sep 1, 2021 | Thomas Houdek became CFO |
| Nov 6, 2020 | Bina Chaurasia became a director |
| May 18, 2020 | Keith Pascal became a director |
| Jan 15, 2020 | Jacob Guild became SVP & Chief Accounting Officer |
| Jan 28, 2019 | Janet Sherlock first on file as a director |
| Jan 16, 2018 | Gregory Levin listed as President and CFO (previously Exec VP and CFO) in SEC filings |
| Nov 30, 2016 | Luxor Wavefront, LP reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Nov 30, 2016 | Luxor Capital Partners, LP reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Nov 30, 2016 | Luxor Capital Partners Offshore Ltd reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Nov 30, 2016 | Luxor Capital Group, LP reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Nov 30, 2016 | Lcg Holdings LLC reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Nov 30, 2016 | Jeffrey H Fowler became Chief Supply Chain Officer |
| Nov 22, 2016 | Lon Ledwith listed as Executive VP, Operations (previously Interim Chief Ops Officer) in SEC filings |
| Nov 10, 2016 | Luxor Wavefront, LP first listed as a 10% owner in an SEC filing |
| Nov 10, 2016 | Luxor Capital Partners, LP first listed as a 10% owner in an SEC filing |
| Nov 10, 2016 | Luxor Capital Partners Offshore Ltd first listed as a 10% owner in an SEC filing |
| Nov 10, 2016 | Luxor Capital Group, LP first listed as a 10% owner in an SEC filing |
| Nov 10, 2016 | Lcg Holdings LLC first listed as a 10% owner in an SEC filing |
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Not reported recently (7)
- Thomas Houdek · Last reported as CFO in an SEC filing dated Sep 12, 2025
- Amy B Krallman · Last reported as EVP & Chief People Officer in an SEC filing dated Jan 16, 2025
- Gregory Levin · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Jun 18, 2024
- Keith Pascal · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Jan 18, 2023
- Kevin E. Mayer · Last reported as ExecVP/Chief Marketing Officer in an SEC filing dated Feb 11, 2022
- Wesley A. Nichols · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Jan 16, 2018
- Jeffrey H Fowler · Last reported as Chief Supply Chain Officer in an SEC filing dated Dec 13, 2016
BJRI Proposed Insider Sales (Form 144)
Latest: 2026-08-10What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. An amended notice (Form 144/A) replaces the original it amends, and cancelled notices are dropped, so neither is double-counted above. A filed value that is clearly inconsistent with the share count at the stock's price (a filer typo) shows as a dash and is left out of the totals.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Elbogen Noah A. | Director | 7,535 | $525.4K | 2026-08-10 | Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-07 | BRIAN KRAKOWER | Officer | 6,778 | $473.8K | 2026-08-07 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-07 | KENDRA D MILLER | Officer | 2,978 | $207.9K | 2026-08-07 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-06 | KENDRA D MILLER | Officer | 10,217 | $708.1K | 2026-08-06 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-06 | GREGORY LYNDS | Officer | 21,704 | $1.49M | 2026-08-06 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-03 | GREGORY LYNDS | Officer | 25,350 | $1.71M | 2026-08-03 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-18 | BRIAN KRAKOWER | Officer | 7,341 | $405.0K | 2026-06-18 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-18 | KENDRA D MILLER | Officer | 19,261 | $1.07M | 2026-06-18 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-18 | GREGORY LYNDS | Officer | 6,201 | $346.4K | 2026-06-18 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-06-18 | NOAH A ELBOGEN | Director | 4,652 | $251.2K | 2026-06-18 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJR iShares Core S&P Small-Cap ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.07% | $71.6M | $104.0B | 2026-10-23 |
| 2 | AVUV Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF | Avantis | 0.18% | $57.7M | $32.2B | 2026-10-23 |
| 3 | VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.00% | $38.7M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 4 | IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.04% | $27.6M | $74.6B | 2026-10-23 |
| 5 | VB Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap ETF | Vanguard | 0.02% | $27.4M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 6 | DFAT Dimensional US Targeted Value ETF | Dimensional | 0.05% | $14.2M | — | 2026-10-23 |
| 7 | VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.01% | $13.7M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 8 | SPSM State Street® SPDR® Portfolio S&P 600™ Small Cap ETF | SPDR (State Street) | 0.07% | $10.9M | $15.8B | 2026-10-23 |
| 9 | DFAS Dimensional US Small Cap ETF | Dimensional | 0.03% | $9.6M | — | 2026-10-23 |
| 10 | VBR Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap Value ETF | Vanguard | 0.01% | $8.9M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 11 | PEJ Invesco Leisure and Entertainment ETF | Invesco | 2.47% | $8.7M | — | 2026-10-24 |
| 12 | FYC First Trust Small Cap Growth AlphaDEX® Fund | First Trust | 0.64% | $8.4M | $1.3B | 2026-10-23 |
| 13 | DFSV Dimensional US Small Cap Value ETF | Dimensional | 0.03% | $7.7M | — | 2026-10-23 |
| 14 | XSMO Invesco S&P SmallCap Momentum ETF | Invesco | 0.28% | $7.6M | — | 2026-10-24 |
| 15 | VBK Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap Growth ETF | Vanguard | 0.02% | $7.6M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 16 | IWO iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.05% | $7.0M | $13.7B | 2026-10-23 |
| 17 | VTWO Vanguard Russell 2000 ETF | Vanguard | 0.04% | $6.4M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 18 | BSVO EA Bridgeway Omni Small-Cap Value ETF | Nport | 0.25% | $5.9M | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 19 | DFAC Dimensional US Core Equity 2 ETF | Dimensional | 0.01% | $5.6M | — | 2026-10-23 |
| 20 | DFMC Dimensional US Micro Cap ETF | Dimensional | 0.07% | $5.6M | — | 2026-10-23 |
| 21 | IJS iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.07% | $5.4M | $7.7B | 2026-10-23 |
| 22 | IJT iShares S&P Small-Cap 600 Growth ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.07% | $5.0M | $7.6B | 2026-10-23 |
| 23 | SCHA Schwab U.S. Small-Cap ETF | Nport | 0.02% | $4.8M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 24 | FNDA Schwab Fundamental U.S. Small Company ETF | Nport | 0.05% | $4.4M | — | 2026-05-31 |
| 25 | VIOO Vanguard S&P Small-Cap 600 ETF | Vanguard | 0.07% | $4.3M | — | 2026-09-30 |
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Quarterly figures (12 quarters)
| Quarter | Period End | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Op. Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 '26 | 2026-03-31 | $358.12M | $9.03M | $0.41 | $42.98M |
| Q4 '25 | 2025-12-30 | $355.40M | $12.64M | $0.58 | $18.55M |
| Q3 '25 | 2025-09-30 | $330.16M | $465.00K | $0.02 | $25.06M |
| Q2 '25 | 2025-07-01 | $365.60M | $22.21M | $0.97 | $62.28M |
| Q1 '25 | 2025-04-01 | $347.97M | $13.49M | $0.58 | $4.62M |
| Q4 '24 | 2024-12-31 | $344.34M | $-5.27M | $-0.22 | $31.63M |
| Q3 '24 | 2024-10-01 | $325.70M | $-2.93M | $-0.13 | $27.31M |
| Q2 '24 | 2024-07-02 | $349.93M | $17.16M | $0.72 | $20.20M |
| Q1 '24 | 2024-04-02 | $337.33M | $7.72M | $0.32 | $22.33M |
| Q4 '23 | 2024-01-02 | $323.63M | $8.05M | $0.34 | $32.23M |
| Q3 '23 | 2023-10-03 | $318.64M | $-3.80M | $-0.16 | $32.01M |
| Q2 '23 | 2023-07-04 | $349.67M | $11.93M | $0.50 | $9.70M |
Ratios derived from TTM financials and the current market price, sampled daily. History chart shows how expensive the stock is today relative to its own recent past.
- P/E — price / TTM earnings. Rough market rule: 10–15 value, 15–25 market, >30 growth/premium. Negative when earnings are negative.
- P/B — price / book value. Useful for financials and asset-heavy names; meaningless for asset-light software.
- P/S — price / TTM revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage growth).
- EV/EBITDA — capital-structure-neutral. <10 cheap, 10–15 reasonable, >20 rich. Good for comparing across leverage profiles.
- EV/Sales — like P/S but accounts for debt + cash. Compare within sector.
- ROE — return on equity. >15% strong, >25% exceptional. Caution: high leverage inflates ROE.
- ROA — return on assets. Leverage-neutral; >5% solid, >10% exceptional.
- Div Yield — annual dividend / price. Compare to 10Y Treasury; sustained yield >6% often signals distress.
- FCF Yield — free cash flow / market cap. >5% is attractive; negative means burning cash.
- Debt/Equity — leverage. <1 conservative, >2 aggressive. Sector-dependent (utilities naturally high, tech low).
- Current Ratio — short-term liquidity. >1.5 comfortable, <1 raises short-term solvency flags.
- Compare current level to the 3-year band: near the high end = relatively expensive; near the low = relatively cheap.
- Multiples expanding while earnings are flat = sentiment-driven rally.
- Multiples compressing while earnings grow = value coming from fundamentals.
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.