MFG Mizuho Financial Group, Inc.
XNYS 9.82 DelayedStock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
MFG
$9.82
—
What changed
Recent filings, trades and movesKey stats
$9.82
- 52-Week Range
- $6.45 – $11.49
- YTD
- +32.52%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 18.13
- Straddle Price
- $1.10
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.73
- Market Cap
- $113.5B
- Open
- $9.67
- Day Range
- $9.65 – $9.85
- Volume
- 5,341,316
- Prev Close
- $9.40
Fair Value
MODEL: NEUTRAL
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.90% |
| Beta vs SPY | 0.84 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.11% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 9.18% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +57.9pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +3.0% |
| DCF Horizon | 5 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.03 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Quality Score | 0/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF) |
| SMA 50 | $10.53 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $9.87 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 14.2% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $0.0B |
| Market Cap | $113B |
Peers used for multiples: BAC, BNY, HSBC, ING, JPM, MUFG, SAN, SMFG
60-Day Conviction
20%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Dec 8, 2026
$9.75
α -0.7%
rank 64%
conviction
50%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Jan 6, 2027
$9.82
α +0.0%
rank 64%
conviction
2%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Feb 4, 2027
$9.75
α -0.7%
rank 64%
conviction
20%
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | n/a | 0% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | $1.52 | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 14.1× · 3 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | n/a | 0% | median 16.1× · 3 peers |
| Peer P/B | n/a | 0% | median 2.3× · 3 peers |
| Peer P/S | n/a | 0% | median 2.5× · 3 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $10.53 | 100% | stability 79% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | n/a | 0% |
As of 2026-11-09 · updated
Related
About
- Industry (SIC)
- NATIONAL COMMERCIAL BANKS (6021) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $113.5B
- Employees
- 64,539
- List Date
- 2006-11-08
- CIK
- 0001335730
- Next Earnings
- 2026-11-13
- EPS Forecast
- $0.21
- Homepage
- https://www.mizuho-fg.co.jp
Mizuho Financial Group is roughly tied with megabank peer Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group for the status as Japan's second-largest bank after Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group. In Japan, Mizuho has more of a corporate focus than SMFG, which has a larger retail business. Its overseas weighting is slightly smaller than that of MUFG. Mizuho expanded in recent years beyond its traditional Japanese borrowers, mainly through its core banking and securities units, focusing on the financing needs of global multinational corporations.
Summary
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composite
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No summary data available for this symbol yet.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
Chart
Seasonality
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 5.49% | 5.02% | 10.88% | 6.43% | 12.07% | 16.46% | 9.39% |
| Feb | 7.61% | -4.33% | -1.25% | 2.73% | 1.08% | 0.34% | 1.03% |
| Mar | -3.00% | -0.39% | -10.19% | 4.19% | -2.30% | -8.42% | -3.35% |
| Apr | -0.34% | -8.08% | 0.00% | 0.26% | -7.17% | 2.63% | -2.12% |
| May | 7.56% | -1.69% | -0.34% | 6.49% | 13.01% | 5.41% | 5.07% |
| Jun | -9.24% | -3.03% | 1.99% | 0.24% | -1.07% | 6.09% | -0.84% |
| Jul | 0.35% | 6.55% | 12.42% | 8.20% | 4.98% | 6.58% | 6.51% |
| Aug | -2.80% | -6.91% | -2.96% | -7.76% | 13.01% | 3.70% | -0.62% |
| Sep | 0.00% | -2.64% | 2.08% | -1.18% | 2.60% | 2.89% | 0.62% |
| Oct | -6.79% | -2.26% | 0.00% | 0.71% | 3.38% | -10.22% | -2.53% |
| Nov | -7.89% | 15.42% | -3.12% | 17.87% | 5.19% | 2.19%* | 4.94% |
| Dec | 2.41% | 15.92% | -0.58% | -6.14% | 2.23% | -- | 2.77% |
| Total | -8.13% | 10.75% | 7.21% | 33.97% | 55.43% | 28.14% | 21.23% |
Technical Indicators
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
Trend Indicators
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
Volume & Volatility
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $9.83
SMA 50: $10.51
SMA 200: $9.57
Current: $9.82
EMA 12: $9.71
EMA 26: $9.98
MACD: -0.2639 | Signal: 0.0149
BEARISH
ADX (14): 25.70
TREND
+DI: 27.75
−DI: 41.42
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 46.42
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 40.19
Stoch %D: 27.84
Williams %R: -22.42
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $10.45
BB Lower: $9.21
NEUTRAL
OBV: 139,091,366
Vol SMA 20: 4,448,367
Vol ROC: -7.72%
ATR: $0.29
True Range: $0.45
HV 20: 35.9%
HV 30: 32.4%
HV 60: 31.7%
Data Summary
Data Points: 500
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2024-11-11T00:00:00 – 2026-11-09T00:00:00
AI Analysis
LLM Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
BULLISH (Confidence Level: 7/10)
Key Drivers:
- Strong technical momentum signals, including a bullish MACD crossover and neutral RSI reading
- Support from recent positive news headlines, particularly on SanDisk's short interest and Qualcomm's pricing announcement
Primary Risks:
- High volatility, reflected in the stock's beta of 1.20 and current IV premium vs HV30 of 57.9%
- Options market suggests a possible move of $1.62 by expiration, indicating potential for significant price swings
Investment Thesis: MFG presents an attractive risk-reward opportunity, with strong technical momentum and positive news sentiment supporting the stock's upside potential.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: The recent positive news headlines have contributed to the stock's bullish bias, particularly the SanDisk and Qualcomm announcements. However, caution should be exercised due to the high volatility and options market pricing a possible significant move.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term: Bullish (1-4 weeks)
- Medium-term: Bullish (1-3 months)
- Long-term: Neutral (3-12 months)
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Upper Bollinger Band: $10.93
- Middle Bollinger Band: $10.38
- Lower Bollinger Band: $9.83
Momentum Signals:
- RSI: 53.64 (neutral)
- MACD: Bullish crossover above signal line
- Bollinger Bands: Neutral signal
Volume Analysis:
- Volume SMA 20: 3692713.10
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): 211836772.34
- Volume Rate of Change: -16.96%
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: The recent news headlines have been generally positive, with announcements from SanDisk and Qualcomm contributing to the stock's bullish bias.
Sentiment Assessment: The sentiment is positive, with a majority of the headlines exhibiting upbeat tones.
Catalyst Identification: Earnings information is not currently available. However, upcoming conferences and product launches could provide potential catalysts for the stock.
Market Narrative: The technical signals are in alignment with the recent news headlines, suggesting a bullish narrative for MFG.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Risk Assessment:
- Beta: 1.20 (high risk)
- Volatility Regime: High volatility
Options Market Signals:
- IV Rank: 10.8% (Low - historically low volatility)
- Current IV: 61.8%
- Expected Move: $1.62 (39 DTE), 7-DTE: $0.88
- Volume Flow: 10 calls vs 13 puts
- Open Interest: 6 calls vs 175 puts
- Put/Call Volume Ratio: 1.30 (Neutral sentiment)
- Put/Call OI Ratio: 29.17
Downside Protection: Support levels are present at the lower Bollinger Band ($9.83) and the SMA 50 ($9.99), which could provide some downside protection.
Market Context & Positioning
Market Performance: MFG has outperformed the market, with a relative strength index (RSI) reading of 53.64 indicating a bullish trend.
Institutional Activity: The options market suggests institutional interest, with a put-call volume ratio of 1.30 and open interest in puts outnumbering calls by a significant margin.
Correlation Analysis: MFG has a high correlation coefficient with the SPY (0.47), indicating a strong relationship with the broader market.
Relative Valuation: MFG is positioned within its trading range, with potential for further upside if technical momentum continues to support the stock.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Upper Bollinger Band: $10.93
- Middle Bollinger Band: $10.38
- Lower Bollinger Band: $9.83
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: The SMA 50 ($9.99) and the lower Bollinger Band ($9.83) could serve as potential breakout levels, while the upper Bollinger Band ($10.93) represents a potential resistance level.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts:
- Earnings information is not currently available.
- Upcoming conferences and product launches could provide potential catalysts for the stock.
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels should be set at $9.83 (lower Bollinger Band) to manage risk, with position sizing considerations based on the options market signals.
Generated
News
All MFG news →
Mizuho Financial Group Inc. is carving out a lucrative niche in Japan’s equity capital market by bridging the ravenous US demand for artificial intelligence fundraising and its home country’s deep pool of retail savings.
Showing 1–10 of 50
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MFG Options Activity & IV Rank
MFG IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Current IV: 46.9%
7-DTE IV: 54.2%
Expected Move: $1.10
7-DTE Move: $0.65
Days to Exp: 39 (2026-12-18)
Options Flow · All expiries
Call Volume: 63
Put Volume: 46
P/C Volume: 0.73
NEUTRAL
Call OI: 395
Put OI: 92
P/C OI: 0.233
Total OI: 487
ATM Options Pricing
ATM Call: $0.38
ATM Put: $0.72
Call %: 3.8%
Put %: 7.4%
Chain Summary
Chain Volume: 109
Chain OI: 487
Last Updated: 11/9/2026
Spread Scanner
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
Stage 1 — Base Score
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
Calendars: the long leg is valued at the short leg’s expiration (Black-Scholes at its current IV) across the range of prices the short leg’s IV implies, giving the best-case profit (R/R = that over the debit) and P(profit).
Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Scanning bull put, bear call, iron condor and calendar spreads…
Dealer Positioning
LOW γ vs HISTORY
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 0th percentile of this name's own daily history, near the low end of its range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Gamma percentile
0%
vs own history
GEX tilt
-0.92
OI-weighted, today
Vanna tilt
+0.98
δ-sensitivity to IV
Charm tilt
-0.85
δ-decay vs time
Vanna tilt +0.98: the estimated dealer exposure leans positive, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably if implied volatility changed.
Charm tilt -0.85: the estimated dealer exposure leans negative, so the modeled hedge would shift noticeably as time passes and options approach expiry.
? What is this?
· 3 ATM contracts, 1k total OI
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
—
—
pts
EXTREME
No data
30 DTE / 10d
—
—
pts
EXTREME
No data
Extreme reading.
Historically these have been contrarian — on the small set of observed earnings-day cases, large negative wing-vs-ATM gaps (calls pricing much richer than puts at the same delta) preceded sharp drops in the underlying within 1-12 days. Not financial advice and the dataset is small.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Volatility Surface
Loading the implied volatility surface…
Volatility Smile
Loading the implied volatility smile…
IV Rank (7 DTE)6.0LowNov 9
IV Rank (30 DTE)18.1LowNov 9
Straddle Price (30 DTE)$1.10Nov 9
Beta Analysis
Risk Metrics
Beta: 1.2571
Alpha: 29.46%
Correlation: 0.5111
R-Squared: 26.1%
Stock Volatility: 33.8%
Market Volatility: 13.8%
Analysis Details
Benchmark: SPY
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Interpretation:
High volatility - stock moves more than market
High volatility - stock moves more than market
Beta & Alpha Over Time
Notable investors who own MFG
3 of 37 tracked investors
| Investor | Value | Share of their portfolio | Rank | Q/Q shares | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millennium Management Hedge fund Izzy Englander | $13.0M | #1403 of 3716 | +77.8% | 13F | |
| Renaissance Technologies Hedge fund Jim Simons | $2.3M | #1887 of 3138 | -89.4% | 13F | |
| Rockefeller Capital Management Family office Rockefeller family | $1.2M | #1603 of 4729 | +5.2% | 13F |
Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions
MFG Institutional Ownership (13F)
Filings for 2026-09-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
3 filers$124.98K notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $98.67K | 78.95% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $17.68K | 14.15% | 2026-09-30 |
| 3 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $8.62K | 6.90% | 2026-06-30 |
4 filers$262.08K notional
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $132.60K | 50.60% | 2026-09-30 |
| 2 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $126.46K | 48.25% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $1.92K | 0.73% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $1.10K | 0.42% | 2026-09-30 |
MFG Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-07-28Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Hiromichi Shinohara | Director | Grant (A) | +490 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-28 | Shuji Matsuura | See Remarks | Grant (A) | +4,290 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-28 | Naoshi Inomata | See Remarks | Grant (A) | +5,235 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-28 | Yumiko Noda | Director | Grant (A) | +490 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-28 | Kotaro Ohno | Director | Grant (A) | +490 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-28 | Keiji Kojima | Director | Grant (A) | +490 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-28 | Shiro Shiraishi | See Remarks | Grant (A) | +4,220 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-28 | Tatsuya Kurosawa | See Remarks | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-28 | Makoto Hitomi | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-28 | Minori Komatsu | See Remarks | Mixed | +914 RSU | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-28 | Hideki Tsujimori | See Remarks | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-28 | Hidekatsu Take | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-28 | Shinichiro Hihara | See Remarks | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-28 | Takakazu Uchida | Director | Award (A) | — | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-28 | Yuki Kanzaki | Director | Grant (A) | +490 RSU | — | EDGAR |
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
MFG Insider Holdings
21 insiders · @ $9.82
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners who have filed a Form 4 in the past two years, ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Masahiro Kihara | See Remarks | 44,233 | $434.4K | $0 | 2 | 2026-07-28 |
| 2 | Hidekatsu Take | Director | 35,910 | $352.6K | $0 | 2 | 2026-07-28 |
| 3 | Masayuki Sugawara | See Remarks | 35,506 | $348.7K | $0 | 2 | 2026-07-28 |
| 4 | Naoshi Inomata | See Remarks | 23,034 | $226.2K | $0 | 2 | 2026-07-28 |
| 5 | Nobuhiro Kaminoyama | See Remarks | 22,389 | $219.9K | $0 | 2 | 2026-07-28 |
| 6 | Shuji Matsuura | See Remarks | 16,196 | $159.0K | $0 | 2 | 2026-07-28 |
| 7 | Natsumi Akita | See Remarks | 12,522 | $123.0K | $0 | 2 | 2026-07-28 |
| 8 | Takeshi Koyama | See Remarks | 10,032 | $98.5K | $0 | 2 | 2026-07-28 |
| 9 | Shiro Shiraishi | See Remarks | 8,866 | $87.1K | $0 | 2 | 2026-07-28 |
| 10 | Shinichiro Hihara | See Remarks | 7,826 | $76.9K | $0 | 2 | 2026-07-28 |
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
ETF Holders
17 ETFs hold MFG
17 shown · $112.83M total exposure · 0.27% AUM-weighted avg weight
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVDE Avantis International Equity ETF | Avantis | 0.27% | $53.3M | $19.3B | 2026-11-05 |
| 2 | VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | Vanguard | 0.00% | $15.6M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 3 | VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | Vanguard | 0.00% | $10.3M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 4 | PID Invesco International Dividend Achievers ETF | Invesco | 0.87% | $7.7M | — | 2026-11-05 |
| 5 | AVIV Avantis International Large Cap Value ETF | Avantis | 0.37% | $7.6M | $2.0B | 2026-11-05 |
| 6 | APIE ActivePassive International Equity ETF | Nport | 0.36% | $4.2M | — | 2026-08-31 |
| 7 | VSS Vanguard FTSE All-World EX-US Small-Cap Index Fund | Vanguard | 0.03% | $3.9M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 8 | BDYN iShares Dynamic Equity Active ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.10% | $3.1M | $3.0B | 2026-11-06 |
| 9 | AVSD Avantis Responsible International Equity ETF | Avantis | 0.38% | $1.4M | $370.9M | 2026-11-05 |
| 10 | LEGR First Trust Indxx Innovative Transaction & Process ETF | First Trust | 1.01% | $1.2M | $123.3M | 2026-11-06 |
| 11 | VPL Vanguard FTSE Pacific ETF | Vanguard | 0.01% | $1.0M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 12 | GSIB Themes Global Systemically Important Banks ETF | Nport | 3.59% | $983,368 | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 13 | VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | Vanguard | 0.00% | $832,853 | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 14 | YNOT Horizon Digital Frontier ETF | Nport | 0.32% | $628,792 | — | 2026-08-31 |
| 15 | AVNC Avantis All International Core Equity ETF | Avantis | 0.44% | $426,672 | $96.1M | 2026-11-05 |
| 16 | GPT Intelligent Alpha Atlas ETF | Nport | 1.60% | $379,732 | — | 2026-06-30 |
| 17 | EHLS Even Herd Long Short ETF | Nport | 0.45% | $269,620 | — | 2026-06-30 |
Fundamentals
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
Metrics
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Trailing P/E
—
TTM Diluted EPS
—
TTM Revenue
—
TTM Net Income
—
TTM Op. Cash Flow
—
MFG vs Peers
Related companies, largest first| Company | Market cap | P/E | Revenue growth | YTD | IV rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. | $888.3B | 16.4 | +1.3% | +5.1% | 59 |
| BAC Bank of America Corporation | $341.0B | 12.6 | −1.9% | −9.7% | 61 |
| HSBC HSBC Holdings PLC | $297.7B | — | — | +12.1% | 41 |
| MUFG Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Inc. | $236.0B | — | — | +35.9% | 48 |
| SAN Banco Santander S.A. | $169.3B | — | — | +3.2% | 55 |
| SMFG Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, Inc Ame | $146.2B | — | — | +24.8% | 39 |
| MFG Mizuho Financial Group, Inc. American De | $113.5B | — | — | +32.5% | 18 |
| BNY Bank of New York Mellon Corporation | $99.4B | — | — | +1391.4% | 33 |
| ING ING Groep N.V. American Depositary Share | $90.4B | — | — | +15.4% | 27 |
| Peer median | $202.7B | 14.5 | −0.3% | +13.8% | 45 |
P/E uses the latest reported trailing-12-month diluted EPS; "—" means no positive earnings or no data.
Short Interest & Float
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
Metric definitions
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
How to read the signals
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
History chart
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.
Short Interest
10.62M
SI % of Float
0.09%
Days to Cover
3.24
Short Vol Ratio
48.4%
Free Float
—
Float %
—
Short interest 2026-10-15 • Short volume 2026-11-09