Will the Republican party hold fewer than 45 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?
chance of YES14%
Price range (120d)
2–14%
24h volume
43.3K
Open interest
409.6K
Bid / ask
14¢ / 15¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14.0¢ | 150 | 15.0¢ | 27,372 |
| 13.0¢ | 5,660 | 16.0¢ | 6,284 |
| 12.0¢ | 16,205 | 17.0¢ | 150 |
| 11.0¢ | 45,001 | 18.0¢ | 800 |
| 10.0¢ | 58 | 19.0¢ | 0 |
Mid 14.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 86¢ | 3,000 | $3K | |
| NO | 86¢ | 8,584 | $7K | |
| NO | 88¢ | 2,253 | $2K | |
| YES | 12¢ | 15,721 | $2K | |
| NO | 89¢ | 2,000 | $2K | |
| YES | 14¢ | 34,537 | $5K | |
| NO | 91¢ | 6,081 | $6K | |
| YES | 10¢ | 17,506 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.