Will the Republican party hold exactly 48 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?
chance of YES12%
-3.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
10–22%
24h volume
80.0K
Open interest
305.6K
Bid / ask
12¢ / 13¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12.0¢ | 35,678 | 13.0¢ | 2,867 |
| 11.0¢ | 15,370 | 14.0¢ | 18 |
| 10.0¢ | 2,053 | 15.0¢ | 4,676 |
| 9.0¢ | 400 | 16.0¢ | 1,768 |
| 8.0¢ | 59 | 17.0¢ | 2,725 |
Mid 12.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 13¢ | 40,000 | $5K | |
| NO | 88¢ | 13,327 | $12K | |
| NO | 87¢ | 4,087 | $4K | |
| NO | 86¢ | 1,310 | $1K | |
| NO | 85¢ | 3,417 | $3K | |
| NO | 86¢ | 6,758 | $6K | |
| NO | 85¢ | 5,099 | $4K | |
| YES | 16¢ | 20,000 | $3K | |
| YES | 15¢ | 13,300 | $2K | |
| NO | 85¢ | 6,704 | $6K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.