Will the Republican party hold exactly 49 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?
chance of YES10%
Price range (120d)
9–15%
24h volume
62.9K
Open interest
164.7K
Bid / ask
9¢ / 10¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0¢ | 8,483 | 10.0¢ | 50,163 |
| 8.0¢ | 10,182 | 11.0¢ | 22,322 |
| 7.0¢ | 2,000 | 12.0¢ | 2,022 |
| 6.0¢ | 4,583 | 13.0¢ | 5,454 |
| 5.0¢ | 1,201 | 14.0¢ | 2,506 |
Mid 9.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 10¢ | 46,095 | $5K | |
| NO | 91¢ | 3,307 | $3K | |
| NO | 90¢ | 6,470 | $6K | |
| YES | 11¢ | 9,841 | $1K | |
| NO | 91¢ | 1,258 | $1K | |
| YES | 11¢ | 10,000 | $1K | |
| NO | 88¢ | 1,902 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.