Will the Republican party hold exactly 47 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?

Settles Feb 01, 2027 (93d) All outcomes: How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Polls & election odds

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chance of YES14% +1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
9–16%
30d -12 pts · 7d +0 pts
24h volume
18.5K
$1 contracts
Open interest
290.0K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
13¢ / 14¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
13.0¢ 30,822 14.0¢ 8,065
12.0¢ 26,812 15.0¢ 1,600
11.0¢ 9,983 16.0¢ 2,572
10.0¢ 2,059 17.0¢ 2,150
9.0¢ 100 18.0¢ 2,000

Mid 13.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Below 4514%43.3K
4812%80.0K
4612%20.9K
4512%41.6K
4910%62.9K
508%21.1K
516%28.8K
526%31.3K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO87¢ 3,924$3K
YES13¢ 18,126$2K
NO87¢ 1,975$2K
YES14¢ 20,000$3K
YES29¢ 66,994$19K
NO87¢ 6,000$5K
YES13¢ 26,284$3K
NO88¢ 1,398$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.