Will the Republican party hold exactly 52 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?

Settles Feb 01, 2027 (93d) All outcomes: How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Polls & election odds

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chance of YES6%
Price range (120d)
5–10%
30d +17 pts · 7d +17 pts
24h volume
31.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
381.0K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
5¢ / 6¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
5.0¢ 230 6.0¢ 11,525
4.0¢ 10,944 7.0¢ 6,183
3.0¢ 6,688 8.0¢ 3,780
2.0¢ 2,849 9.0¢ 11,679
1.0¢ 11,692 10.0¢ 3,005

Mid 5.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Below 4514%43.3K
4714%18.5K
4812%80.0K
4612%20.9K
4512%41.6K
4910%62.9K
508%21.1K
516%28.8K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO94¢ 1,341$1K
NO94¢ 10,722$10K
YES7¢ 23,471$2K
NO95¢ 1,172$1K
YES6¢ 44,257$3K
NO95¢ 2,000$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.