Will the Republican party hold exactly 50 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?
chance of YES8%
-1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
9–17%
24h volume
21.1K
Open interest
242.2K
Bid / ask
9¢ / 10¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0¢ | 9,685 | 10.0¢ | 37,806 |
| 8.0¢ | 290 | 11.0¢ | 1,505 |
| 7.0¢ | 137 | 12.0¢ | 8,103 |
| 6.0¢ | 1,336 | 13.0¢ | 3,172 |
| 5.0¢ | 400 | 14.0¢ | 2,501 |
Mid 9.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 92¢ | 1,962 | $2K | |
| NO | 90¢ | 1,583 | $1K | |
| YES | 12¢ | 16,845 | $2K | |
| YES | 12¢ | 9,812 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.