Will the Republican party hold exactly 51 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?

Settles Feb 01, 2027 (93d) All outcomes: How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Polls & election odds

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chance of YES6%
Price range (120d)
5–13%
30d -12 pts · 7d +0 pts
24h volume
28.8K
$1 contracts
Open interest
329.3K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
6¢ / 7¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
6.0¢ 5,961 7.0¢ 31,830
5.0¢ 4,927 8.0¢ 27,469
4.0¢ 6,190 9.0¢ 5,000
3.0¢ 3,521 10.0¢ 5,300
2.0¢ 1,944 12.0¢ 1,000

Mid 6.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Below 4514%43.3K
4714%18.5K
4812%80.0K
4612%20.9K
4512%41.6K
4910%62.9K
508%21.1K
526%31.3K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO94¢ 2,348$2K
NO93¢ 17,908$17K
YES8¢ 20,551$2K
YES8¢ 25,191$2K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.