Will the Republican party hold exactly 46 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?
chance of YES12%
Price range (120d)
4–12%
24h volume
20.9K
Open interest
261.6K
Bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.0¢ | 10,618 | 12.0¢ | 7,614 |
| 10.0¢ | 65,961 | 13.0¢ | 4,678 |
| 9.0¢ | 19,898 | 14.0¢ | 2,940 |
| 8.0¢ | 7,115 | 15.0¢ | 447 |
| 7.0¢ | 1,570 | 16.0¢ | 1 |
Mid 11.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 89¢ | 1,964 | $2K | |
| YES | 12¢ | 10,000 | $1K | |
| YES | 10¢ | 23,057 | $2K | |
| YES | 9¢ | 35,973 | $3K | |
| YES | 10¢ | 15,489 | $2K | |
| YES | 9¢ | 12,032 | $1K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.