Will the Republican party hold exactly 45 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?
chance of YES12%
+2.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
3–12%
24h volume
41.6K
Open interest
298.9K
Bid / ask
11¢ / 12¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11.0¢ | 8,562 | 12.0¢ | 21,102 |
| 10.0¢ | 34,132 | 13.0¢ | 3,178 |
| 9.0¢ | 5,124 | 14.0¢ | 1,800 |
| 8.0¢ | 10,256 | 15.0¢ | 1 |
| 7.0¢ | 10,417 | 16.0¢ | 182 |
Mid 11.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| YES | 10¢ | 24,911 | $2K | |
| YES | 11¢ | 42,448 | $5K | |
| NO | 93¢ | 2,720 | $3K | |
| YES | 8¢ | 31,917 | $3K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.