Will the Republican party hold exactly 53 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?
chance of YES4%
-1.0pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
3–8%
24h volume
64.1K
Open interest
440.9K
Bid / ask
3¢ / 4¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0¢ | 12,376 | 4.0¢ | 12,383 |
| 2.0¢ | 27,148 | 5.0¢ | 21,589 |
| 1.0¢ | 1,850 | 6.0¢ | 6,276 |
| 7.0¢ | 27,200 | ||
| 8.0¢ | 3,016 |
Mid 3.5¢ · spread 1.0¢
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 97¢ | 1,563 | $2K | |
| NO | 95¢ | 2,133 | $2K | |
| NO | 95¢ | 1,182 | $1K | |
| YES | 7¢ | 40,793 | $3K | |
| NO | 96¢ | 6,560 | $6K | |
| NO | 96¢ | 5,109 | $5K | |
| NO | 96¢ | 2,000 | $2K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.