Will the Republican party hold exactly 54 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?

Settles Feb 01, 2027 (93d) All outcomes: How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Polls & election odds

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chance of YES2%
Price range (120d)
2–5%
30d +0 pts · 7d +0 pts
24h volume
15.6K
$1 contracts
Open interest
495.7K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
2¢ / 3¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
2.0¢ 27,203 3.0¢ 15,006
1.0¢ 10,242 4.0¢ 7,905
5.0¢ 20,997
6.0¢ 2,239
7.0¢ 428

Mid 2.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Below 4514%43.3K
4714%18.5K
4812%80.0K
4612%20.9K
4512%41.6K
4910%62.9K
508%21.1K
516%28.8K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO98¢ 2,342$2K
NO98¢ 1,038$1K
NO99¢ 8,188$8K
NO97¢ 1,299$1K
NO99¢ 2,028$2K
NO98¢ 1,520$1K
NO98¢ 5,000$5K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.