Will the Republican party hold exactly 56 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?

Settles Feb 01, 2027 (93d) All outcomes: How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms? Polls & election odds

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chance of YES2%
Price range (120d)
1–4%
30d -33 pts · 7d +100 pts
24h volume
27.3K
$1 contracts
Open interest
408.7K
contracts outstanding
Bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
spread 1.0¢

Odds and volume

daily, 120 days

Line: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.

Order book

top 5
BidSizeAskSize
1.0¢ 25,106 2.0¢ 31,075
3.0¢ 3,102
4.0¢ 2,000
5.0¢ 4,873
6.0¢ 2,038

Mid 1.5¢ · spread 1.0¢

Open on Kalshi

We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.

Other outcomes in this event

Below 4514%43.3K
4714%18.5K
4812%80.0K
4612%20.9K
4512%41.6K
4910%62.9K
508%21.1K
516%28.8K

Recent large orders

≥ $1K · 14 days
WhenSidePriceContractsSize
NO99¢ 1,600$2K
NO99¢ 1,138$1K
NO99¢ 1,353$1K

Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.