Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The prediction market on Yoaz Hendel being the next Prime Minister of Israel is currently pricing him at 0% probability, indicating that traders do not believe he has a significant chance of holding the office after the next election. This assessment is informed by the fact that Hendel is not a well-known figure in Israeli politics and does not have a strong track record of leadership or political experience. The current price would likely remain unchanged unless new information emerges about Hendel's potential candidacy or his ability to form a governing coalition, which could potentially increase his chances of becoming Prime Minister. Conversely, if other candidates with stronger political credentials announce their intentions to run, the market price for Hendel could decrease further.