Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The prediction market on Amir Ohana being the next Prime Minister of Israel is currently priced at 0.00, indicating a perceived probability of zero. This assessment is informed by the fact that there are no known facts or indicators suggesting Ohana's likelihood of becoming the next Prime Minister. The current price does not reflect any significant events or developments that would impact the market's perception of Ohana's chances. A change in this price would likely require new information about Ohana's political standing, alliances, or policy positions that could influence the election outcome.