Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The prediction market on whether Moshe Feiglin will be the next Prime Minister of Israel is currently pricing his likelihood at 0%, indicating a perceived zero probability of him holding the office after the next election. This assessment is informed by the fact that Feiglin has not been actively involved in Israeli politics in recent years and does not appear to have a strong chance of winning the premiership. The market will resolve once the next Prime Minister is officially appointed and sworn in, with any interim or caretaker Prime Ministers not counting towards resolution. A change in Feiglin's political fortunes, such as a significant increase in his public profile or a shift in voter sentiment, could potentially drive up the price of this prediction market. Conversely, continued lack of activity or low public support for Feiglin would likely keep the price at its current level.