CeriBell, Inc. Common Stock(CBLL)

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.

CBLL iron condor setups CBLL expected move CBLL IV rank history

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

Snapshot
$18.47
52-Week Range
$10.85 – $24.33
YTD
-13.29%
IV Rank (30D)
20.5
Straddle Price
$3.58
P/C Vol Ratio
18.00
Market Cap
$0.7B
Fair Value
+15.6% vs price
Confidence: 13% Alpha Score: 0.29

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 0.5% and dividend payments are stable.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)4.53%
Beta vs SPY1.00
Cost of Equity (CAPM)10.03% (VRP-adj)
WACC9.83%
Volatility Risk Premium+83.7pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps
Effective Tax Rate21.0%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)+25.0%
DCF Horizon10 years explicit + fade
Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM)×1.10 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S)
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$-0.1B
Return on Equity (TTM)-42.9%
Book / Price21.1%
Gross Margin (TTM)87.7%
FCF Margin (TTM)-52.8%
Debt / Equity0.14
Quality Score3/6 — normal (10y DCF)
SMA 50$19.04 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$17.95
Bollinger Width / SMA20101.5% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$-0.0B
Market Cap$1B
Peers used for multiples: ABBV, AMGN, GILD, ISRG, JNJ, LLY, MRK, UNH
Blended Fair Value
$21.35
Current Price
$18.47
Deviation
+15.6%
Forward-Return Rank LONG gated
?
Horizon Expected α z Pred Blended z Rank % Active?
21d -0.2% ⚠ +0.85 +0.58 60.8% —
42d -1.2% ⚠ +0.77 +0.54 55.9% —
63d -3.5% ⚠ +0.23 +0.27 42.4% —
Expected α = forward-return point estimate vs SPY (e.g., +7.5% means the predictor expects this stock to outperform SPY by 7.5% over that horizon). For SHORT direction the model uses a different ranking metric (conviction-weighted deviation, not the LGBM prediction); Expected α is shown for reference. ⚠ flags rows where Expected α disagrees with the FV direction — two independent signals are in conflict; conviction is low even if rank looks extreme.
Forward-Return Rank. A proprietary ensemble of a machine-learning forward-return model and a conviction-weighted fundamental score, ranked cross-sectionally each day across the S&P 500 (and broader universes on the screener). Each stock is scored at three horizons (21/42/63 trading days). "Active" = top/bottom 5% AND all risk filters pass. Backtested mean alpha vs SPY on active picks: 21d LONG +13.4%, 63d +34.9% (S&P 500, walk-forward). Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Value vs momentum conflict ⚠. The "FV direction" (long/short) comes from the fundamentals-based engine — price vs intrinsic value. The "Expected α" comes from a separate machine-learning predictor trained on ~12 features (sector, options-implied move, beta, institutional flow, etc.). Sometimes the two disagree: a stock is overvalued by fundamentals but the predictor expects it to keep outperforming (sector or momentum tailwinds). When all 3 horizons disagree, treat the direction signal as low-conviction — neither model is strongly recommending a position.
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF n/a 0%
DDM (Gordon) n/a 0%
Peer P/E n/a 0% median 31.8× · 8 peers
Peer EV/EBITDA n/a 0% median 17.9× · 8 peers
Peer P/B $27.03 50% median 7.1× · 7 peers
Peer P/S $15.66 50% median 5.5× · 8 peers
Market Anchor (SMA50) $19.04 0% stability 0% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) n/a 0%
As of 2026-06-12 · updated 2026-06-12 20:59:55.687000
Info
Industry (SIC)
ELECTROMEDICAL & ELECTROTHERAPEUTIC APPARATUS (3845)
Exchange
XNAS
Market Cap
$0.7B

CeriBell Inc is a medical technology company focused on transforming the diagnosis and management of patients with serious neurological conditions. The company has developed the Ceribell System, a novel, point-of-care electroencephalography (EEG) platform designed to address the unmet needs of patients in the acute care setting. By combining proprietary, portable, and rapidly deployable hardware with sophisticated artificial intelligence (AI)-powered algorithms, the Ceribell System enables rapid diagnosis and continuous monitoring of patients with neurological conditions. Its products are Poin…

Price History
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan -1.94% 2
Feb -4.13% 2
Mar -8.31% 2
Apr -4.98% 2
May -2.17% 2
Jun +4.80% 2
Jul -22.58% 1
Aug +2.25% 1
Sep -1.54% 1
Oct +0.79% 2
Nov +28.06% 2
Dec +11.35% 2
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $18.05
SMA 50: $19.04
SMA 200: $17.37
Current: $18.47
EMA 12: $18.26
EMA 26: $18.43
MACD: -0.1722 | Signal: 0.0970
BEARISH
ADX (14): 12.80
RANGE
+DI: 21.39
−DI: 22.42
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 50.19
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 60.87
Stoch %D: 62.46
Williams %R: -32.96
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $19.55
BB Lower: $16.55
NEUTRAL
OBV: 6,689,515
Vol SMA 20: 287,084
Vol ROC: 16.79%
ATR: $0.84
True Range: $0.58
HV 20: 48.5%
HV 30: 74.0%
HV 60: 60.7%
Data Summary
Data Points: 418
Last Updated: 2026-06-13T13:41:17.200000
Date Range: 2024-10-11T00:00:00 – 2026-06-12T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.

Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.

News
Earnings History
4 of 4 under expected move
Each row pairs the pre-earnings straddle-implied expected move with the realized close-to-close move. Sorted oldest first.
Earnings Date Timing Expected Move Actual Move Ratio Outcome
2025-05-08 After-Close 12.21% 5.29% 0.43x Within
2025-08-05 After-Close 21.11% 15.70% 0.74x Within
2025-11-04 After-Close 25.44% 3.33% 0.13x Within
2026-02-24 After-Close 16.17% 6.29% 0.39x Within
Options Activity
IV Rank (30D)
20.5
IV Rank (7D)
100
Avg IV
112.3%
Straddle (30D)
$3.58
Straddle (7D)
$1.90
P/C Volume
18.00
Spread Scanner GPU
Full Algorithm Docs ↗

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
14 DTE / 10d —
— pts
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d —
— pts
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
1.48
Correlation (SPY)
33.1%
R²
0.11
Ann. Volatility
55.1%
SPY Volatility
12.3%

High volatility - stock moves more than market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-03-31
Diluted shares outstanding: 36,826,452 (as of 2026-03-31)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

123 filers29,725,004 shares$546.27M value80.72% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 FMR LLC Custodian 4,850,431 $88.91M 16.28% 13.17% 2026-03-31
2 TPG GP A, LLC 3,967,422 $72.72M 13.31% 10.77% 2026-03-31
3 Red Tree Management, LLC 2,205,661 $40.43M 7.40% 5.99% 2026-03-31
4 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 1,813,155 $33.24M 6.08% 4.92% 2026-03-31
5 VANGUARD GROUP INC Custodian 1,507,909 $33.07M 6.05% 4.09% 2025-12-31
6 KCM Capital Inc 1,400,000 $25.66M 4.70% 3.80% 2026-03-31
7 Bank of New York Mellon Corp Custodian 1,160,767 $21.28M 3.90% 3.15% 2026-03-31
8 FEDERATED HERMES, INC. 939,464 $17.22M 3.15% 2.55% 2026-03-31
9 FRANKLIN RESOURCES INC Custodian 809,514 $14.84M 2.72% 2.20% 2026-03-31
10 ADAGE CAPITAL PARTNERS GP, L.L.C. 756,751 $13.87M 2.54% 2.05% 2026-03-31
11 TimesSquare Capital Management, LLC 716,468 $13.13M 2.40% 1.95% 2026-03-31
12 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC Custodian 611,977 $11.22M 2.05% 1.66% 2026-03-31
13 MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC Custodian 552,021 $10.12M 1.85% 1.50% 2026-03-31
14 Yu Fan 549,448 $10.07M 1.84% 1.49% 2026-03-31
15 STATE STREET CORP 525,432 $9.63M 1.76% 1.43% 2026-03-31
16 ROYCE & ASSOCIATES LP 515,720 $9.45M 1.73% 1.40% 2026-03-31
17 MASSACHUSETTS FINANCIAL SERVICES CO /MA/ 508,490 $9.32M 1.71% 1.38% 2026-03-31
18 SILVERCREST ASSET MANAGEMENT GROUP LLC 489,742 $8.98M 1.64% 1.33% 2026-03-31
19 ABG-WTT Global Life Science Capital Partners GP Ltd 441,820 $8.10M 1.48% 1.20% 2026-03-31
20 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC Custodian 411,031 $7.53M 1.38% 1.12% 2026-03-31
21 Redmile Group, LLC 386,786 $7.09M 1.30% 1.05% 2026-03-31
22 PEREGRINE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC 348,219 $6.38M 1.17% 0.95% 2026-03-31
23 TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP 326,032 $5.98M 1.09% 0.89% 2026-03-31
24 BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ Custodian 319,837 $5.86M 1.07% 0.87% 2026-03-31
25 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian 288,114 $5.28M 0.97% 0.78% 2026-03-31
1 filers$1.83K notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian $1.83K 100.00% 2026-03-31
1 filers$351.94K notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian $351.94K 100.00% 2026-03-31
Insider Activity
Latest: 2026-06-10
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2026-06-10 Xingjuan Chao President and CEO Mixed −14,000 $13.01 -$597.4K EDGAR
2026-06-04 WILLIAM W BURKE Director Award (A) +7,838 — EDGAR
2026-06-04 Bakker Juliet Tammenoms Director Award (A) +7,838 — EDGAR
2026-06-04 REBECCA B ROBERTSON Director Award (A) +7,838 — EDGAR
2026-06-04 Erica J. Rogers Director Award (A) +7,838 — EDGAR
2026-06-04 Josef Parvizi Director Award (A) +7,838 — EDGAR
2026-06-04 Joseph Michael Taylor Director Award (A) +7,838 — EDGAR
2026-05-26 Scott Blumberg Chief Financial Officer Sell (S) −1,387 $18.00 -$25.0K EDGAR
2026-05-26 Raymond Woo Chief Technology Officer Sell (S) −1,966 $18.00 -$35.4K EDGAR
2026-05-26 Xingjuan Chao President and CEO Sell (S) −6,030 $18.00 -$108.5K EDGAR
2026-05-26 David Foehr Senior VP, Finance and PAO Sell (S) −1,849 $18.37 -$34.0K EDGAR
2026-05-26 Joseph S. Manni Chief Revenue Officer Sell (S) −1,378 $18.00 -$24.8K EDGAR
2026-05-07 Xingjuan Chao President and CEO Mixed −14,000 $14.09 -$666.5K EDGAR
2026-05-04 Raymond Woo Chief Technology Officer Mixed — $12.41 -$178.4K EDGAR
2026-04-08 Xingjuan Chao President and CEO Mixed −14,000 $13.05 -$600.1K EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
Insider Holdings
12 insiders · @ $18.47
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 JON WINKELRIED 10%+ Owner 3,587,154 $66.25M $25.86M 1 2024-10-17
2 Bakker Juliet Tammenoms Director 2,498,394 $46.15M $4.03M 3 2026-06-04
3 Xingjuan Chao President and CEO 1,185,405 $21.89M -$8.82M 22 2026-06-10
4 Josef Parvizi Director 931,195 $17.20M -$2.12M 8 2026-06-04
5 Raymond Woo Chief Technology Officer 195,682 $3.61M -$1.59M 14 2026-05-26
6 Scott Blumberg Chief Financial Officer 147,683 $2.73M -$797.0K 7 2026-05-26
7 Joseph Michael Taylor Director 67,073 $1.24M -$82.7K 4 2026-06-04
8 Joseph S. Manni Chief Revenue Officer 56,291 $1.04M -$40.0K 6 2026-05-26
9 David Foehr Senior VP, Finance and PAO 38,613 $713.2K -$477.4K 10 2026-05-26
10 Erica J. Rogers Director 33,054 $610.5K $0 2 2026-06-04
11 REBECCA B ROBERTSON Director 26,587 $491.1K -$997.6K 10 2026-06-04
12 WILLIAM W BURKE Director 25,229 $466.0K -$720.7K 4 2026-06-04
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

P/B Ratio4.9
P/S Ratio7.2
EV/EBITDA-10.4
TTM Revenue$0.1B
TTM Net Income$-0.1B
TTM EPS$-1.63
ROE-42.9%
Debt/Equity0.14