ESTC Elastic N.V.
XNYS
100.87
Delayed
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership. Iron condor setups Expected move IV rank history Fibonacci levels Insider trading
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $42.05 – $108.00
- YTD
- +39.01%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 62.76
- Straddle Price
- $16.20
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 0.43
- Market Cap
- $10.3B
- Open
- $98.21
- Day Range
- $97.00 – $101.16
- Volume
- 365,187
- Prev Close
- $98.21
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 5.12% |
| Beta vs SPY | 1.51 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 13.43% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 13.01% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +59.1pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | +12.9% |
| DCF Horizon | 12 years explicit + fade |
| Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM) | ×1.10 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S) |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.3B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | 29.0% |
| Book / Price | 12.4% |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 75.5% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 19.4% |
| Debt / Equity | 0.44 |
| Quality Score | 5/6 — high quality (12y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | +21.5% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $90.12 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $93.85 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 14.1% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $-0.3B |
| Market Cap | $10B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $60.68 | 23% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | $599.21 | 10% | median 160.7× · 7 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | n/a | 0% | median 182.0× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/B | $427.61 | 2% | median 35.2× · 8 peers |
| Peer P/S | $458.64 | 7% | median 24.7× · 8 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $90.12 | 36% | stability 79% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | $97.60 | 23% | 26 strikes · skew +0.15 |
- Industry (SIC)
- SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE (7372) · industry map
- Exchange
- XNYS
- Market Cap
- $10.3B
- Employees
- 3,834
- List Date
- 2018-10-05
- CIK
- 0001707753
- Next Earnings
- 2026-11-19 (After-Close)
- EPS Forecast
- $0.14 (7 est.)
- Headquarters
- San Francisco, CA
- Homepage
- https://www.elastic.co
Elastic is a software company that specializes in AI-search, observability, and security deployments. Its search division offers both traditional keyword search and vector search methods to enable more context-aware querying. The software has open-source origins but generates revenue through valuable add-ons, including simplified data orchestration and server scaling techniques.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | Avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 7.42% | -22.01% | 17.30% | 9.87% | 13.60% | -9.14% | 2.84% |
| Feb | -11.32% | -8.20% | -6.89% | 12.77% | 4.34% | -20.48% | -4.96% |
| Mar | -23.23% | 3.62% | 0.29% | -14.33% | -16.85% | -5.54% | -9.34% |
| Apr | 5.32% | -17.47% | 0.97% | 1.65% | -5.63% | -6.97% | -3.69% |
| May | 3.47% | -20.32% | 28.98% | -1.61% | -6.29% | 33.10% | 6.22% |
| Jun | 23.10% | 9.25% | -10.52% | 10.82% | 3.22% | -16.22% | 3.28% |
| Jul | 1.36% | 12.19% | 2.78% | -5.03% | -0.01% | 12.15% | 3.91% |
| Aug | 9.00% | 3.91% | -7.23% | -28.91% | 6.89% | 41.91% | 4.26% |
| Sep | -7.67% | -11.87% | 9.38% | 4.79% | -0.71% | -0.75% | -1.14% |
| Oct | 14.86% | -11.25% | -7.30% | 6.96% | 3.00% | 9.28%* | 2.59% |
| Nov | -10.57% | -2.81% | 7.89% | 35.40% | -22.26% | -- | 1.53% |
| Dec | -11.53% | -9.92% | 2.27% | -12.39% | 6.12% | -- | -5.09% |
| Total | -9.06% | -57.45% | 36.16% | 5.61% | -18.88% | 22.21% | -3.57% |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report
SYMBOL: ESTC
Executive Summary:
Overall Assessment: BULLISH (Confidence Level: 8/10)
Key Drivers:
- Bullish MACD signal
- Overbought RSI reading
- Positive news sentiment from recent headlines
Primary Risks:
- High beta value indicating moderate risk
- Volatility regime may shift towards increased uncertainty
Investment Thesis:
ESTC is likely to continue its upward trend, driven by positive momentum signals and supportive news headlines. However, the stock's high beta and moderate volatility pose risks that investors should be aware of.
Recent News Sentiment Impact:
The recent news headlines highlight ESTC's growing presence in the observability tools and platforms market, which could drive adoption and growth. The neutral sentiment from the Google Cloud Security news may not have a significant impact on the stock's short-term price action.
Technical Analysis:
Trend Direction:
- Short-term (1-4 weeks): Bullish
- Medium-term (1-3 months): Bullish
- Long-term (3-12 months): Bullish
Support/Resistance Levels:
- Upper Bollinger Band: $89.47 (resistance)
- Middle Bollinger Band: $70.90 (support)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Overbought (>70), potentially leading to a pullback
- MACD signal: Bullish, indicating upward momentum
- Bollinger Bands position: Neutral, suggesting a consolidation phase
Volume Analysis:
- Volume SMA 20: 2120609.85 (indicating moderate institutional interest)
- On-Balance Volume (OBV): 12449532.72 (suggesting continued buying pressure)
News & Sentiment Analysis:
Recent Headlines Summary:
- Positive news sentiment from observability tools and platforms market size exceeding $9.07 billion by 2035
- Neutral sentiment from Google Cloud Security news
Sentiment Assessment:
Aggregate news sentiment is positive, driven by the market size growth forecast.
Catalyst Identification:
Upcoming catalysts include earnings releases and product launches that could drive ESTC's growth trajectory.
Market Narrative:
The recent news headlines align with ESTC's technical signals, suggesting a continued upward trend.
Risk & Volatility Assessment:
Beta Interpretation:
ESTC has a moderate risk profile, with a beta value of 0.89 compared to the S&P 500.
Volatility Regime:
ESTC is currently experiencing a relatively low volatility regime, which could shift towards increased uncertainty if market conditions change.
Options Market Signals:
- IV rank: Medium (38.0%)
- Put/call ratio: Bearish sentiment
- Unusual activity: High volume flow in calls and puts
Downside Protection:
Support levels include the middle Bollinger Band ($70.90) and the 50-day SMA ($64.27).
Market Context & Positioning:
Sector Performance:
ESTC is outperforming its sector, with a relative strength index above 1.
Institutional Activity:
Moderate institutional interest is evident from the volume SMA 20 reading.
Correlation Analysis:
ESTC has a moderate correlation with the market (R-squared interpretation).
Relative Valuation:
ESTC is positioned within a trading range, with potential support at $70.90 and resistance at $89.47.
Key Levels & Action Items:
Critical Price Levels:
- Support: $70.90 (middle Bollinger Band)
- Resistance: $89.47 (upper Bollinger Band)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels:
- Breakout level: $90.00
- Breakdown level: $65.00
Time-Sensitive Catalysts:
Earnings releases and product launches that could drive ESTC's growth trajectory.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss levels should be set below the middle Bollinger Band ($70.90) to mitigate potential losses. Position sizing considerations include adjusting exposure based on market volatility and news sentiment.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-24 | After-Close | 13.81% | 16.04% | 1.16x | Exceeded |
| 2021-06-02 | After-Close | 11.52% | 10.02% | 0.87x | Within |
| 2021-08-25 | After-Close | 11.65% | 3.03% | 0.26x | Within |
| 2021-12-01 | After-Close | 14.30% | 14.99% | 1.05x | Exceeded |
| 2022-03-03 | After-Close | 18.95% | 1.36% | 0.07x | Within |
| 2022-06-01 | After-Close | 16.95% | 18.86% | 1.11x | Exceeded |
| 2022-08-25 | After-Close | 14.85% | 2.38% | 0.16x | Within |
| 2022-11-30 | After-Close | 16.42% | 6.57% | 0.40x | Within |
| 2023-03-02 | After-Close | 13.90% | 9.45% | 0.68x | Within |
| 2023-06-01 | After-Close | 12.84% | 0.88% | 0.07x | Within |
| 2023-08-31 | After-Close | 11.55% | 20.02% | 1.73x | Exceeded |
| 2023-11-30 | After-Close | 13.94% | 37.13% | 2.66x | Exceeded |
| 2024-02-29 | After-Close | 19.43% | 12.56% | 0.65x | Within |
| 2024-05-30 | After-Close | 19.10% | 11.67% | 0.61x | Within |
| 2024-08-29 | After-Close | 15.05% | 26.49% | 1.76x | Exceeded |
| 2024-11-21 | After-Close | 27.09% | 14.77% | 0.55x | Within |
| 2025-02-27 | After-Close | 22.39% | 14.89% | 0.67x | Within |
| 2025-05-29 | After-Close | 17.11% | 12.13% | 0.71x | Within |
| 2025-08-28 | After-Close | 18.68% | 3.11% | 0.17x | Within |
| 2025-11-20 | After-Close | 17.85% | 14.67% | 0.82x | Within |
| 2026-02-26 | After-Close | 19.89% | 15.44% | 0.78x | Within |
| 2026-05-28 | After-Close | 21.70% | 12.31% | 0.57x | Within |
| 2026-08-27 | After-Close | 19.70% | 19.31% | 0.98x | Within |
Earnings calendar: this week’s reports with expected vs actual moves →
ESTC Options Activity & IV Rank
ESTC IV rank history, 52-week IV rank and IV percentile →
Volatility Metrics
Options Flow
ATM Options Pricing
Chain Summary
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
Estimated net dealer gamma is at the 69th percentile of this name's own daily history, within its typical range. This describes current positioning; it is not a forecast or a trading signal.
Net dealer gamma is an estimate of the aggregate gamma held by options market makers across this name's option chain, weighted by open interest. Dealer positions aren't public, so it uses a standard simplifying assumption: dealers are treated as long the calls and short the puts that are open. Actual dealer books can differ.
Gamma percentile ranks today's estimate against this name's own daily history, from 0% (the lowest reading on record) to 100% (the highest). Raw gamma scales with how much open interest a chain carries, so it isn't comparable across names; the percentile is. The badge marks the bottom 20% as low and the top 20% as high.
Tilts run from −1 to +1 and show how lopsided the estimated dealer exposure is. GEX tilt compares call gamma with put gamma. Vanna tilt describes how the hedge would shift if implied volatility changed, and charm tilt how it would shift with the passage of time.
This card describes estimated positioning and where it sits historically. It is not a forecast of price direction or volatility and not a trading signal. Market-wide view: Dealer positioning screener.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
Risk Metrics
Analysis Details
Data Points: 251
Period: 252 trading days
Above average volatility - stock moves with market amplification
| Investor | Value | Share of their portfolio | Rank | Q/Q shares | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Millennium Management Hedge fund Izzy Englander | $79.1M | #416 of 3716 | -23.5% | 13F | |
| Point72 Hedge fund Steve Cohen | $36.8M | #415 of 1945 | -42.4% | 13F | |
| Citadel Hedge fund Ken Griffin | $3.1M | #2487 of 6285 | +65.6% | 13F | |
| Bridgewater Associates Hedge fund Ray Dalio | $1.3M | #799 of 997 | +163.5% | 13F | |
| Rockefeller Capital Management Family office Rockefeller family | $499K | #2090 of 4729 | +2.3% | 13F |
Hedge funds, activists, holding companies and family offices we track, from their latest 13F (quarter-end value) and Form 4 filings in the last 3 years. Family offices · all institutions
ESTC Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-09-30Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SOROS FUND MANAGEMENT LLC | $56.89M | 22.33% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $40.09M | 15.74% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Verition Fund Management LLC | $34.21M | 13.43% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Walleye Trading LLC | $27.34M | 10.73% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $17.15M | 6.73% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | Millennium Management LLC Custodian | $16.80M | 6.59% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Allianz Asset Management GmbH | $13.29M | 5.21% | 2026-06-30 |
| 8 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $9.87M | 3.87% | 2026-06-30 |
| 9 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $7.75M | 3.04% | 2026-06-30 |
| 10 | PEAK6 LLC | $5.70M | 2.24% | 2026-06-30 |
| 11 | Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian | $5.67M | 2.22% | 2025-09-30 |
| 12 | TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL | $4.87M | 1.91% | 2026-06-30 |
| 13 | Cubist Systematic Strategies, LLC | $3.37M | 1.32% | 2025-09-30 |
| 14 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $2.86M | 1.12% | 2026-06-30 |
| 15 | Jefferies Financial Group Inc. | $2.84M | 1.11% | 2026-06-30 |
| 16 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $1.68M | 0.66% | 2026-06-30 |
| 17 | Goldman Sachs Group Inc Custodian | $1.60M | 0.63% | 2026-06-30 |
| 18 | Caption Management, LLC | $1.14M | 0.45% | 2026-06-30 |
| 19 | NOMURA HOLDINGS INC | $718.45K | 0.28% | 2026-06-30 |
| 20 | Walleye Capital LLC | $530.29K | 0.21% | 2026-06-30 |
| 21 | SIG BROKERAGE, LP | $399.14K | 0.16% | 2026-06-30 |
| 22 | OSAIC HOLDINGS, INC. Custodian | $170 | <0.01% | 2026-06-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Susquehanna International Group, LLP Custodian | $10.32M | 19.32% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | Parallax Volatility Advisers, L.P. | $8.84M | 16.54% | 2026-06-30 |
| 3 | Citadel Advisors LLC Custodian | $7.42M | 13.89% | 2026-06-30 |
| 4 | Millennium Management LLC Custodian | $5.87M | 10.99% | 2026-06-30 |
| 5 | IMC-Chicago, LLC Custodian | $5.29M | 9.89% | 2026-06-30 |
| 6 | Jane Street Group, LLC Custodian | $4.77M | 8.93% | 2026-06-30 |
| 7 | Cubist Systematic Strategies, LLC | $2.56M | 4.79% | 2025-09-30 |
| 8 | Wolverine Trading, LLC Custodian | $2.18M | 4.07% | 2025-09-30 |
| 9 | Simplex Trading, LLC Custodian | $2.05M | 3.84% | 2026-06-30 |
| 10 | Walleye Trading LLC | $1.23M | 2.29% | 2026-06-30 |
| 11 | TUDOR INVESTMENT CORP ET AL | $1.06M | 1.99% | 2026-06-30 |
| 12 | GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian | $798.28K | 1.49% | 2026-06-30 |
| 13 | Walleye Capital LLC | $473.27K | 0.89% | 2026-06-30 |
| 14 | D. E. Shaw & Co., Inc. Custodian | $285.10K | 0.53% | 2026-06-30 |
| 15 | Twin Tree Management, LP | $273.70K | 0.51% | 2026-06-30 |
| 16 | PEAK6 LLC | $11.40K | 0.02% | 2026-06-30 |
ESTC Insider Trading (Form 4)
Latest: 2026-10-19| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Shelley B Leibowitz | Director | Award (A) | +2,519 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-19 | Alison Gleeson | Director | Award (A) | +2,519 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-19 | Julia Liuson | Director | Award (A) | +2,519 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-19 | Chetan Puttagunta | Director | Award (A) | +2,519 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-19 | Paul R. Auvil III | Director | Award (A) | +2,519 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-10-13 | Steven Schuurman | Director | Sell (S) | −2,000,000 | $94.15 | -$188.30M | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-06 | Steven Schuurman | Director | Sell (S) | −1,500,000 | $90.13 | -$135.19M | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-06 | Mark Eugene Dodds | Chief Revenue Officer | Sell (S) | −10,000 | $92.58 | -$925.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-01 | Ashutosh Kulkarni | Chief Executive Officer | Gift (G) | −2,778 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-09-15 | Shay Banon | Chief Technology Officer | Sell (S) | −84,207 | $84.64 | -$7.13M | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-11 | Shay Banon | Chief Technology Officer | Sell (S) | −161,787 | $86.76 | -$14.04M | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-10 | Carolyn Herzog | Chief Legal Officer | Sell (S) | −5,485 | $87.78 | -$481.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-10 | Mark Eugene Dodds | Chief Revenue Officer | Sell (S) | −9,673 | $87.78 | -$849.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-10 | Ashutosh Kulkarni | Chief Executive Officer | Sell (S) | −29,227 | $87.78 | -$2.57M | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-10 | Navam Welihinda | Chief Financial Officer | Sell (S) | −8,961 | $87.78 | -$786.6K | EDGAR |
ESTC Insider Holdings
16 insiders · @ $100.86| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shay Banon | Chief Technology Officer | 5,465,541 | $551.28M | -$572.77M | 50 | 2026-09-15 |
| 2 | Steven Schuurman | Director | 2,504,600 | $252.63M | -$1.11B | 7 | 2026-10-13 |
| 3 | Ashutosh Kulkarni | Chief Executive Officer | 596,747 | $60.19M | -$32.27M | 34 | 2026-10-01 |
| 4 | Ken Exner | Chief Product Officer | 306,069 | $30.87M | -$6.72M | 17 | 2026-06-10 |
| 5 | Mark Eugene Dodds | Chief Revenue Officer | 278,538 | $28.09M | -$7.28M | 16 | 2026-10-06 |
| 6 | Janesh Moorjani | CFO & COO | 231,523 | $23.35M | -$66.67M | 34 | 2024-12-11 |
| 7 | Navam Welihinda | Chief Financial Officer | 200,293 | $20.20M | -$2.76M | 9 | 2026-09-10 |
| 8 | Carolyn Herzog | Chief Legal Officer | 112,954 | $11.39M | -$11.30M | 23 | 2026-09-10 |
| 9 | Eric Theodore Prengel | Interim CFO | 62,844 | $6.34M | $0 | 1 | 2024-12-17 |
| 10 | Jane E Bone | GVP & CAO | 47,697 | $4.81M | -$1.08M | 8 | 2026-09-10 |
ESTC Board & Officers
As of SEC filings through Oct 19, 2026Directors 9
- Chetan Puttagunta · since Oct 4, 2018
- Shay Banon · since Oct 4, 2018
- Steven Schuurman · since Oct 4, 2018
- Caryn Marooney · since Apr 25, 2019
- Alison Gleeson · since Jan 10, 2020
- Shelley B Leibowitz · since Oct 1, 2021
- Ashutosh Kulkarni · listed since Mar 2022
- Paul R. Auvil III · since Oct 5, 2023
- Julia Liuson · since Oct 15, 2026
Officers 7
- Ashutosh Kulkarni · Chief Executive Officer · listed since Mar 2022
- Navam Welihinda · Chief Financial Officer · since Feb 28, 2025
- Carolyn Herzog · Chief Legal Officer · since May 2, 2022
- Ken Exner · Chief Product Officer · since Aug 29, 2022
- Shay Banon · Chief Technology Officer · listed since Dec 2022
- Mark Eugene Dodds · Chief Revenue Officer · since Dec 7, 2023
- Jane E Bone · Gvp & CAO · since Jun 9, 2025
Changes in the last 10 years (79)
| Oct 15, 2026 | Julia Liuson became a director |
| Aug 22, 2025 | The company announced the departure of Sohaib Abbasi from the board in an SEC filing |
| Jun 10, 2025 | Navam Welihinda no longer listed as a director in SEC filings |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Jane E Bone became Gvp & CAO |
| Mar 12, 2025 | Navam Welihinda first listed as a director in an SEC filing |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Navam Welihinda became Chief Financial Officer |
| Feb 25, 2025 | The company announced the departure of Eric Theodore Prengel as Interim CFO in an SEC filing |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Eric Theodore Prengel became Interim CFO |
| Nov 18, 2024 | The company announced the departure of Janesh Moorjani as CFO & COO in an SEC filing |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Steven Schuurman no longer listed as a 10% owner in SEC filings |
| Dec 7, 2023 | Mark Eugene Dodds became Chief Revenue Officer |
| Oct 5, 2023 | Paul R. Auvil III became a director |
| Dec 12, 2022 | Shay Banon listed as Chief Technology Officer (previously CEO and Chairman) in SEC filings |
| Sep 13, 2022 | Janesh Moorjani listed as CFO & COO (previously Chief Financial Officer) in SEC filings |
| Aug 29, 2022 | Ken Exner became Chief Product Officer |
| Jul 13, 2022 | Sohaib Abbasi became a director |
| May 2, 2022 | Carolyn Herzog became Chief Legal Officer |
| Mar 10, 2022 | Ashutosh Kulkarni listed as Chief Executive Officer (previously Chief Product Officer) in SEC filings |
| Mar 10, 2022 | Ashutosh Kulkarni first listed as a director in an SEC filing |
| Jan 12, 2022 | The company announced the departure of Paul Andrew Appleby as President, Worldwide Field Ops in an SEC filing |
| Oct 1, 2021 | Shelley B Leibowitz became a director |
| Jan 4, 2021 | Ashutosh Kulkarni became Chief Product Officer |
| Dec 15, 2020 | Shay Banon no longer listed as a 10% owner in SEC filings |
| Aug 24, 2020 | Paul Andrew Appleby became President, Worldwide Field Ops |
| Jan 10, 2020 | Alison Gleeson became a director |
| Jun 14, 2019 | Steven M Spurlock reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Jun 14, 2019 | Peter H Fenton no longer listed as a 10% owner in SEC filings |
| Jun 14, 2019 | Mitchell Lasky reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Jun 14, 2019 | Matt Cohler reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Jun 14, 2019 | Kevin Harvey reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Jun 14, 2019 | J William Gurley reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Jun 14, 2019 | Eric Vishria reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Jun 14, 2019 | Bruce Dunlevie reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Jun 14, 2019 | Benchmark Founders' Fund VII-B, L.P. reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Jun 14, 2019 | Benchmark Founders' Fund VII, L.P. reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Jun 14, 2019 | Benchmark Capital Partners VII, L.P. reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Jun 14, 2019 | Benchmark Capital Partners VII - Annex, L.P. reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Jun 14, 2019 | Benchmark Capital Management Co. VII, L.L.C. reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Apr 25, 2019 | Caryn Marooney became a director |
| Oct 10, 2018 | Scott D Sandell reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 10, 2018 | Ravi Viswanathan reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 10, 2018 | Peter J Barris reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 10, 2018 | Hexavest Sarl reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 10, 2018 | Forest Baskett reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 10, 2018 | David M Mott reported in an SEC filing no longer being a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | W.H. Baird Garrett became SVP and General Counsel |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Steven Schuurman became a director |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Steven Schuurman became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Steven M Spurlock became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Shay Banon became a director |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Shay Banon became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Shay Banon became CEO and Chairman |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Scott D Sandell became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Ravi Viswanathan became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Peter J Barris became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Peter H Fenton became a director |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Peter H Fenton became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Mitchell Lasky became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Michelangelo Volpi became a director |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Matt Cohler became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Kevin Kluge became SVP of Engineering |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Kevin Harvey became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Jonathan Chadwick became a director |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Janesh Moorjani became Chief Financial Officer |
| Oct 4, 2018 | J William Gurley became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Hexavest Sarl became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Forest Baskett became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Eric Vishria became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | David M Mott became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Chetan Puttagunta became a director |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Bv Ixii became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Bv Cmxi became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Bruce Dunlevie became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Benchmark Founders' Fund VII-B, L.P. became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Benchmark Founders' Fund VII, L.P. became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Benchmark Capital Partners VII, L.P. became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Benchmark Capital Partners VII - Annex, L.P. became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Benchmark Capital Management Co. VII, L.L.C. became a 10% owner |
| Oct 4, 2018 | Aaron Katz became Chief Revenue Officer |
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Not reported recently (8)
- Jonathan Chadwick · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Oct 4, 2023
- W.H. Baird Garrett · Last reported as SVP and General Counsel in an SEC filing dated Dec 10, 2021
- Peter H Fenton · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Sep 29, 2021
- Bv Cmxi · Last reported as a 10% owner in an SEC filing dated Sep 9, 2021
- Kevin Kluge · Last reported as SVP of Engineering in an SEC filing dated Aug 14, 2020
- Bv Ixii · Last reported as a 10% owner in an SEC filing dated Jun 24, 2020
- Aaron Katz · Last reported as Chief Revenue Officer in an SEC filing dated Feb 5, 2020
- Michelangelo Volpi · Last reported as a director in an SEC filing dated Jan 15, 2020
ESTC Proposed Insider Sales (Form 144)
Latest: 2026-10-13What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. An amended notice (Form 144/A) replaces the original it amends, and cancelled notices are dropped, so neither is double-counted above. A filed value that is clearly inconsistent with the share count at the stock's price (a filer typo) shows as a dash and is left out of the totals.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-13 | CMXI B.V. | Director | 2,000,000 | $191.04M | 2026-10-12 | Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-02 | CMXI B.V. | Director | 1,500,000 | $140.91M | 2026-10-02 | Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-02 | MARK DODDS | Officer | 10,000 | $925.8K | 2026-10-02 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-10-01 | KENNETH WILLIAM EXNER | Former Officer | 54,131 | $4.99M | 2026-10-01 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-14 | SHAY-SHALOM BANON | Officer | 84,207 | $7.13M | 2026-09-14 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-10 | SHAY-SHALOM BANON | Officer | 6,201 | $528.2K | 2026-09-10 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-09 | SHAY-SHALOM BANON | Officer | 149,009 | $12.93M | 2026-09-09 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-09 | Banon Shay | CTO & Director | 6,577 | $577.3K | 2026-09-09 | E*Trade Financial Corporation | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-09 | Bone Jane | GVP & CAO | 1,542 | $135.4K | 2026-09-09 | E*Trade Financial Corporation | — | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-09 | Dodds Mark Eugene | Chief Revenue Officer | 9,673 | $849.1K | 2026-09-09 | E*Trade Financial Corporation | — | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | 0001707753-26-000008 | EDGAR |
| 2026-02-26 | 0001707753-26-000003 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-20 | 0001707753-25-000053 | EDGAR |
| 2025-10-15 | 0001707753-25-000050 | EDGAR |
| 2025-10-09 | 0001707753-25-000046 | EDGAR |
| 2025-09-30 | 0001707753-25-000043 | EDGAR |
| 2025-08-28 | 0001707753-25-000034 | EDGAR |
| 2025-05-29 | 0001707753-25-000015 | EDGAR |
| 2025-02-27 | 0001707753-25-000008 | EDGAR |
| 2024-11-21 | 0001707753-24-000044 | EDGAR |
| Filing Date | Accession | Link |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-27 | 0001707753-26-000006 | EDGAR |
| 2025-11-24 | 0001707753-25-000056 | EDGAR |
| 2025-08-29 | 0001707753-25-000040 | EDGAR |
| 2025-02-28 | 0001707753-25-000010 | EDGAR |
| 2024-11-25 | 0001707753-24-000047 | EDGAR |
| 2024-08-30 | 0001707753-24-000038 | EDGAR |
| 2024-03-01 | 0001707753-24-000006 | EDGAR |
| 2023-12-01 | 0001707753-23-000058 | EDGAR |
| 2023-09-01 | 0001707753-23-000048 | EDGAR |
| 2023-03-03 | 0001707753-23-000008 | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIBR First Trust Nasdaq Cybersecurity ETF | First Trust | 1.50% | $267.3M | $17.8B | 2026-10-21 |
| 2 | VTI Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.01% | $262.1M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 3 | VB Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap ETF | Vanguard | 0.10% | $184.3M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 4 | BAI iShares A.I. Innovation and Tech Active ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.97% | $128.6M | $12.5B | 2026-10-21 |
| 5 | VGT Vanguard Information Technology ETF | Vanguard | 0.07% | $123.9M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 6 | VBK Vanguard Morningstar Small-Cap Growth ETF | Vanguard | 0.23% | $102.7M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 7 | VXF Vanguard Extended Market ETF | Vanguard | 0.10% | $94.5M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 8 | IGV iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.31% | $44.0M | $14.4B | 2026-10-21 |
| 9 | DFAS Dimensional US Small Cap ETF | Dimensional | 0.12% | $41.8M | — | 2026-10-21 |
| 10 | JTEK JPMorgan U.S. Tech Leaders ETF | JPMorgan | 0.89% | $40.0M | $4.5B | 2026-10-22 |
| 11 | IWR iShares Russell Mid-Cap ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.07% | $37.5M | $57.2B | 2026-10-21 |
| 12 | FXL First Trust Technology AlphaDEX® Fund | First Trust | 1.30% | $36.3M | $2.8B | 2026-10-21 |
| 13 | IWP iShares Russell Mid-Cap Growth ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.13% | $25.9M | $18.7B | 2026-10-21 |
| 14 | FMDE Fidelity Enhanced Mid Cap Core ETF | Fidelity | 0.27% | $22.9M | $8.6B | 2026-10-21 |
| 15 | SKYY First Trust Cloud Computing ETF | First Trust | 0.58% | $20.3M | $3.5B | 2026-10-21 |
| 16 | FTEC Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF | Fidelity | 0.08% | $17.2M | $21.7B | 2026-10-21 |
| 17 | IWF iShares Russell 1000 Growth ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.01% | $16.9M | $122.6B | 2026-10-21 |
| 18 | ITOT iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.01% | $11.8M | $96.2B | 2026-10-21 |
| 19 | IYW iShares U.S. Technology ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.04% | $11.1M | $24.2B | 2026-10-21 |
| 20 | SMLF iShares U.S. Small-Cap Equity Factor ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.25% | $10.6M | $4.2B | 2026-10-21 |
| 21 | IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.01% | $9.8M | $84.8B | 2026-10-21 |
| 22 | THNQ ROBO Global Artificial Intelligence ETF | Nport | 1.73% | $7.2M | — | 2026-07-31 |
| 23 | VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | Vanguard | 0.01% | $7.1M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 24 | VONG Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF | Vanguard | 0.01% | $7.0M | — | 2026-09-30 |
| 25 | IWS iShares Russell Mid-Cap Value ETF | iShares (BlackRock) | 0.04% | $6.8M | $15.7B | 2026-10-21 |
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
Quarterly figures (12 quarters)
| Quarter | Period End | Revenue | Net Income | Diluted EPS | Op. Cash Flow |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 '27 | 2026-07-31 | $478.11M | $-16.73M | $-0.16 | $132.00M |
| Q4 '26 | 2026-04-30 | $450.68M | $435.90M | $4.07 | $152.71M |
| Q3 '26 | 2026-01-31 | $449.88M | $7.75M | $0.07 | $42.74M |
| Q2 '26 | 2025-10-31 | $423.48M | $-51.28M | $-0.48 | $26.61M |
| Q1 '26 | 2025-07-31 | $415.29M | $-24.60M | $-0.23 | $104.83M |
| Q4 '25 | 2025-04-30 | $388.43M | $-16.38M | $-0.15 | $86.98M |
| Q3 '25 | 2025-01-31 | $382.08M | $-17.06M | $-0.16 | $88.06M |
| Q2 '25 | 2024-10-31 | $365.36M | $-25.45M | $-0.25 | $38.38M |
| Q1 '25 | 2024-07-31 | $347.42M | $-49.23M | $-0.48 | $52.75M |
| Q4 '24 | 2024-04-30 | $335.00M | $-41.10M | $-0.41 | $60.95M |
| Q3 '24 | 2024-01-31 | $327.96M | $176.12M | $1.69 | $52.39M |
| Q2 '24 | 2023-10-31 | $310.61M | $-24.80M | $-0.25 | $-2.39M |
Ratios derived from TTM financials and the current market price, sampled daily. History chart shows how expensive the stock is today relative to its own recent past.
- P/E — price / TTM earnings. Rough market rule: 10–15 value, 15–25 market, >30 growth/premium. Negative when earnings are negative.
- P/B — price / book value. Useful for financials and asset-heavy names; meaningless for asset-light software.
- P/S — price / TTM revenue. Useful when earnings are negative or noisy (early-stage growth).
- EV/EBITDA — capital-structure-neutral. <10 cheap, 10–15 reasonable, >20 rich. Good for comparing across leverage profiles.
- EV/Sales — like P/S but accounts for debt + cash. Compare within sector.
- ROE — return on equity. >15% strong, >25% exceptional. Caution: high leverage inflates ROE.
- ROA — return on assets. Leverage-neutral; >5% solid, >10% exceptional.
- Div Yield — annual dividend / price. Compare to 10Y Treasury; sustained yield >6% often signals distress.
- FCF Yield — free cash flow / market cap. >5% is attractive; negative means burning cash.
- Debt/Equity — leverage. <1 conservative, >2 aggressive. Sector-dependent (utilities naturally high, tech low).
- Current Ratio — short-term liquidity. >1.5 comfortable, <1 raises short-term solvency flags.
- Compare current level to the 3-year band: near the high end = relatively expensive; near the low = relatively cheap.
- Multiples expanding while earnings are flat = sentiment-driven rally.
- Multiples compressing while earnings grow = value coming from fundamentals.
Regulatory short-interest reports publish on a bi-weekly settlement cadence; short-volume is reported daily by the trade-reporting facilities. Float is derived from insider-ownership filings.
- Short Interest — total shares currently sold short as of the settlement date. Lags real time by ~8 business days.
- SI % of Float — short interest / free float. The key crowding metric.
- Days to Cover — short interest / avg daily volume. How many full trading days it would take shorts to buy back. High DTC + catalyst = squeeze fuel.
- Short Vol Ratio — today's short-sale volume / total volume. Intraday selling pressure proxy (not the same as short interest).
- Free Float — shares available for public trading (total shares minus insider / restricted).
- Float % — free float / shares outstanding. <50% = tightly held, more prone to squeezes.
- SI % of Float < 5% — typical, no particular signal.
- 5–15% — elevated; watch for catalysts (earnings, guidance, macro).
- 15–30% — heavily shorted; tight-float names in this range have produced notable squeezes historically.
- >30% — extreme; borrow is likely expensive and squeeze risk is material.
- Days to Cover > 5 combined with high SI% amplifies squeeze potential.
- Trend matters more than level. Rapidly rising short interest often precedes negative catalysts or heavy hedging.
- A sudden drop in SI after a rally may indicate a squeeze in progress.
Short interest is reported mid-month and end-of-month; short volume is daily.