Liberty Latin America Ltd. Class A Common Stock(LILA)
Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
- 52-Week Range
- $4.77 – $8.90
- YTD
- +29.09%
- IV Rank (30D)
- 21.52
- Straddle Price
- $3.58
- P/C Vol Ratio
- 2.10
- Market Cap
- $1.7B
A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.
- DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
- Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
- DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
- P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
- Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
- Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
- Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
- Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
| 10-yr Treasury (rf) | 4.79% |
| Beta vs SPY | 0.84 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM) | 9.00% (VRP-adj) |
| WACC | 5.92% |
| Volatility Risk Premium | +165.4pp (IV − HV30) |
| Effective Tax Rate | 21.0% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input) | -0.9% |
| DCF Horizon | 10 years explicit + fade |
| Free Cash Flow (TTM) | $0.4B |
| Return on Equity (TTM) | -18.6% |
| Book / Price | 49.8% — banking bias active (P/B is primary) |
| Gross Margin (TTM) | 67.5% |
| FCF Margin (TTM) | 9.3% |
| Debt / Equity | 8.08 |
| Quality Score | 2/6 — normal (10y DCF) |
| Market-Implied Growth | -1.9% (reverse-DCF on current price) |
| SMA 50 | $8.07 (Market Anchor value) |
| SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid | $8.53 |
| Bollinger Width / SMA20 | 79.2% (drives anchor stability) |
| Net Debt | $7.3B |
| Market Cap | $2B |
| Method | Implied Price | Weight | Detail |
|---|---|---|---|
| DCF | $11.26 | 48% | |
| DDM (Gordon) | n/a | 0% | |
| Peer P/E | n/a | 0% | median 10.7× · 6 peers |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | $24.29 | 14% | median 7.9× · 7 peers |
| Peer P/B | $7.13 | 19% | median 1.7× · 7 peers |
| Peer P/S | $28.76 | 19% | median 1.5× · 7 peers |
| Market Anchor (SMA50) | $8.07 | 0% | stability 0% (BB-width) |
| Options Expected (B-L 30d) | n/a | 0% |
- Industry (SIC)
- CABLE & OTHER PAY TELEVISION SERVICES (4841)
- Exchange
- XNAS
- Market Cap
- $1.7B
Liberty Latin America Ltd is a telecommunications company. It is a provider of video, broadband internet, fixed-line telephony, and mobile services to residential and business customers. The company's reportable segments include C&W Caribbean, Liberty Networks, C&W Panama, VTR, Liberty Puerto Rico and Liberty Costa Rica. The company generates the majority of its revenue from C&W Caribbean, and Liberty Puerto Rico segments.
Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +1.76% | 11 |
| Feb | -0.83% | 11 |
| Mar | -2.51% | 11 |
| Apr | +0.84% | 11 |
| May | -0.09% | 11 |
| Jun | +0.28% | 11 |
| Jul | +3.30% | 12 |
| Aug | -1.75% | 12 |
| Sep | -3.15% | 12 |
| Oct | +1.11% | 11 |
| Nov | -4.31% | 11 |
| Dec | -2.50% | 11 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL with confidence level 6/10
Key Drivers:
- Technical signals indicate a neutral market, with no clear trend or momentum
- Recent news headlines suggest positive sentiment around John Malone's investment in Liberty Latin America
- Options market pricing shows a moderate volatility expectation and bearish sentiment
Primary Risks:
- Low volatility, which may reduce trading opportunities
- Potential for mean reversion as the stock has deviated from its longer-term trend
Investment Thesis: LILA presents a neutral investment opportunity with limited upside potential. The company's recent news headlines suggest a positive narrative around John Malone's investment, but this does not significantly impact the technical signals.
Recent News Sentiment Impact: The positive sentiment surrounding John Malone's investment has contributed to the stock's recent price appreciation, but this news is not strongly contradicted by technical signals.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term (1-4 weeks): Neutral
- Medium-term (1-3 months): Range-bound
- Long-term (3-12 months): Uptrend
Support/Resistance Levels: The stock's current price ($8.52) is near the upper end of its trading range, with resistance around $8.82 and support at $8.24.
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (53.40)
- MACD signal: Bullish (0.16 / Signal: -0.02 / Histogram: 0.19)
- Bollinger Bands position: Squeeze
Volume Analysis: The stock's volume has decreased, with a volume rate of change of -52.25%. This may indicate reduced trading activity.
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary: The recent news headlines suggest positive sentiment around John Malone's investment in Liberty Latin America, which has contributed to the stock's price appreciation.
Sentiment Assessment: Positive (4/5)
Catalyst Identification: No specific catalysts identified, but ongoing investments and business developments may continue to influence the stock's price.
Market Narrative: The positive news around John Malone's investment is not strongly contradicted by technical signals, suggesting a neutral market with limited upside potential.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation: Low risk relative to market (beta 0.39)
Volatility Regime: Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Options Market Signals: IV rank: 21.5% (Low), current IV: 204.8%, expected move: $3.58 (42 DTE)
Downside Protection: Support levels at $8.24 and risk management considerations suggest potential for mean reversion.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance: Liberty Latin America is a media stock, which has performed relatively poorly in the past year (-30%).
Institutional Activity: No specific institutional activity identified, but ongoing investments may continue to influence the stock's price.
Correlation Analysis: The stock has low correlation with the broader market (R-squared interpretation).
Relative Valuation: The stock is trading near its upper end of its historical range, suggesting a potentially overbought market.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- Resistance: $8.82
- Support: $8.24
Breakout/Breakdown Levels: No specific levels identified, but technical signals suggest potential for mean reversion.
Time-Sensitive Catalysts: No specific catalysts identified, but ongoing investments and business developments may continue to influence the stock's price.
Risk Management: Stop-loss levels at $8.00 and position sizing considerations suggest potential for mean reversion.
Please note that this is just an example report based on the provided data.
| Earnings Date | Timing | Expected Move | Actual Move | Ratio | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-06 | After-Close | 11.82% | 18.13% | 1.53x | Exceeded |
| 2025-02-19 | Pre-Market | 10.93% | 1.56% | 0.14x | Within |
| 2025-05-07 | After-Close | 28.26% | 15.21% | 0.54x | Within |
| 2025-08-07 | After-Close | 35.76% | 0.51% | 0.01x | Within |
| 2025-11-05 | Pre-Market | 19.38% | 1.81% | 0.09x | Within |
| 2026-02-18 | After-Close | 18.92% | 3.42% | 0.18x | Within |
| 2026-05-06 | Pre-Market | 21.57% | 0.43% | 0.02x | Within |
| 2026-08-05 | Pre-Market | 13.72% | 0.00% | 0.00x | Within |
- IV Rank (30D)
- 21.52
- IV Rank (7D)
- 10.1
- Avg IV
- 204.8%
- Straddle (30D)
- $3.58
- Straddle (7D)
- $1.93
- P/C Volume
- 2.10
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.39
- Correlation (SPY)
- 9.9%
- R²
- 0.01
- Ann. Volatility
- 50.9%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.8%
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.
- Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
- Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
- % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
- Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.
Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $7.46K | 100.00% | 2026-06-30 |
| # | Filer | Notional Value | % of Total | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian | $79.18K | 99.02% | 2026-06-30 |
| 2 | SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian | $785 | 0.98% | 2026-06-30 |
| Filed | Reporter | Role | Action | Shares | Avg Price | Net $ | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | ALFONSO DE ANGOITIA | Director | Buy (P) | +476,190 | $20.95 | $9.98M | EDGAR |
| 2026-09-01 | JOHN C MALONE | 10%+ Owner | Buy (P) | +121,286 | $8.49 | $1.03M | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-18 | JOHN C MALONE | 10%+ Owner | Buy (P) | +6,761 | $8.50 | $57.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-13 | JOHN C MALONE | 10%+ Owner | Buy (P) | +50,696 | $8.50 | $430.9K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-13 | CHARLES H R BRACKEN | Director | Mixed | −25,550 | $12.13 | -$3.4K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-11 | JOHN C MALONE | 10%+ Owner | Buy (P) | +217,032 | $13.38 | $2.90M | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-03 | Aamir Hussain | SVP, CT&PO | Mixed | +3,416 | $7.32 | $18.3K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-03 | JOHN M WINTER | SVP, CLO AND SECRETARY | Mixed | +2,094 | $7.40 | $9.8K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-03 | Balan Nair | President and CEO | Mixed | +2,429 | $7.40 | $11.1K | EDGAR |
| 2026-08-03 | CHRISTOPHER J NOYES | SVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | Mixed | +2,665 | $7.42 | $12.5K | EDGAR |
| 2026-07-17 | PAUL A GOULD | Director | Other (J) | +81,300 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-17 | Roberta S. Jacobson | Director | Other (J) | +4,927 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-17 | ALFONSO DE ANGOITIA | Director | Other (J) | +14,894 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-17 | MIRANDA CURTIS | Director | Other (J) | +12,216 | — | EDGAR | |
| 2026-07-17 | MICHAEL T FRIES | Executive Chairman | Mixed | +149,335 | $20.39 | $1.01M | EDGAR |
| # | Insider | Role | Shares | Disclosed Exposure | Lifetime OM Net | Filings | Last Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JOHN C MALONE | 10%+ Owner | 4,032,384 | $34.36M | $35.75M | 6 | 2026-09-01 |
| 2 | Balan Nair | President and CEO | 3,359,241 | $28.62M | $1.00M | 4 | 2026-08-03 |
| 3 | CHRISTOPHER J NOYES | SVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER | 629,611 | $5.36M | $0 | 2 | 2026-08-03 |
| 4 | JOHN M WINTER | SVP, CLO AND SECRETARY | 468,839 | $3.99M | $0 | 2 | 2026-08-03 |
| 5 | Aamir Hussain | SVP, CT&PO | 397,087 | $3.38M | $0 | 2 | 2026-08-03 |
| 6 | BRENDAN J PADDICK | Director | 344,367 | $2.93M | $488.2K | 3 | 2026-07-17 |
| 7 | ALFONSO DE ANGOITIA | Director | 177,980 | $1.52M | $9.98M | 3 | 2026-09-04 |
| 8 | MICHAEL T FRIES | Executive Chairman | 149,335 | $1.27M | $1.01M | 1 | 2026-07-17 |
| 9 | PAUL A GOULD | Director | 81,300 | $692.7K | $0 | 3 | 2026-07-17 |
| 10 | MIRANDA CURTIS | Director | 12,216 | $104.1K | $0 | 1 | 2026-07-17 |
What is Form 144? A notice of intent to sell restricted or control stock under Rule 144. Affiliates (officers, directors, 10%+ owners) and holders of restricted shares must file Form 144 when planning to sell more than 5,000 shares or $50,000 in any 3-month rolling window.
How it relates to Form 4: Form 144 is filed before the trade (up to 90 days in advance); Form 4 is filed within 2 business days after the trade executes. Not every Form 144 results in a sale — the filer may cancel or delay. Look for the corresponding Form 4 on the Insider Activity card to confirm a sale actually happened.
10b5-1 plans: Trades made under a pre-scheduled Rule 10b5-1 plan are not discretionary — they execute automatically on dates set months earlier, regardless of news. High 10b5-1 percentages mean less per-filing signal value, though cumulative selling volume still matters.
"Notice value": Aggregate market value the filer wrote into the Form 144 — i.e. the size of the planned sale, not necessarily the executed dollars. Amendments (Form 144/A) and post-cancellation refilings can inflate this if you sum naively; the rollup above excludes filings with zero stated value.
Source & freshness: Sourced from public Form 144 filings. Refreshed daily; new filings typically appear here the morning after they are filed.
| Filed | Filer | Role | Shares | Notice Value | Planned Sale | Broker | Plan | Link |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Charles H.R. Bracken | Director | 42,975 | $368.1K | 2026-08-11 | HSBC UK Bank plc | — | EDGAR |
| 2025-03-26 | ROBERTA JACOBSON | Director | 9,600 | $62.3K | 2025-03-26 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| 2023-08-30 | John M. Winter | Officer | 21,646 | $198.5K | 2023-08-30 | Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC … | — | EDGAR |
| # | ETF | Provider | Weight | $ Exposure | ETF AUM | As Of |
|---|
Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.
- Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
- Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
- Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
- Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
- Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
- YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
- Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
- Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.
TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.
| P/B Ratio | 3.2 |
| P/S Ratio | 0.4 |
| EV/EBITDA | 5.8 |
| TTM Revenue | $4.5B |
| TTM Net Income | $-0.1B |
| TTM EPS | $-0.49 |
| ROE | -18.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 5.71% |
| Debt/Equity | 16.28 |