Adamas Trust, Inc. Common Stock(ADAM)

Stock quote, options chain, IV rank, technicals, AI analysis, and institutional ownership.

Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.

ADAM $8.85
Snapshot
$8.85
After hours $8.85 +0.00%
52-Week Range
$6.45 – $9.59
YTD
+18.95%
IV Rank (30D)
40.78
Straddle Price
$1.68
P/C Vol Ratio
0.09
Market Cap
$0.8B
Fair Value
MODEL: LONG

A blended fair-value estimate combining up to six valuation methods. Each method is weighted by how well it fits the company — DCF down-weights for unprofitable names; DDM only fires for steady dividend payers; comparables down-weight when peer multiples disagree.

  • DCF (quality-aware) — projects free cash flow with a horizon that scales to business quality. True compounders (quality 6/6) get 10 years explicit + 10 years fade before terminal; cyclical/struggling names (quality 0-1) get a 5-year terminal cliff. Quality is scored from ROE, gross margin, growth, FCF margin, debt load, and FCF consistency — the same factors that drive market premium for compounders.
  • Market-Implied Growth (in Model Inputs) — reverse-DCF that answers "what growth rate is the market pricing in?". Lets you sanity-check the deviation: if implied growth is plausible for the business, the model's bearish flag may be wrong; if implausible, the market may be over-extrapolating.
  • DDM (Gordon Growth Dividend Model) — values the stream of future dividends. Only used when trailing yield ≥ 2% and dividend payments are stable — below that the dividend is a token payout and Gordon (which values only the dividend stream) systematically underprices growth names, so those route to DCF + comparables + market anchor instead.
  • P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/B, P/S — applies the peer-group median multiple to this company's per-share metric. Peers come from the same set as the "Related symbols" card. Earnings/sales metrics are forward-tilted by the company's recent revenue growth (capped at 25%) so they're comparable to peers' growth-embedded multiples — mimics how analysts use NTM rather than TTM. Per-multiple weights are biased by company quality (e.g. P/B down-weighted for asset-light tech).
  • Market Anchor (SMA50) — the 50-day moving average, weighted by recent trading-range stability (tighter Bollinger bands → higher weight). Captures information fundamentals miss (forward consensus, sentiment, supply/demand) — but only when recent trading is steady enough that the market has converged on a view. During wild breakouts or breakdowns the anchor's weight collapses.
  • Options Expected (B-L 30d) — the risk-neutral expected stock price at 30-day options expiration, derived from the full implied-volatility surface via Breeden-Litzenberger (second derivative of call price wrt strike → implied PDF, then E[S_T]). Forward-looking, captures all options-implied information (smile, skew, term structure) in one number. Weighted by chain liquidity. SP500-only at present (pre-computed daily). Backtest evidence: adds modest alpha across most bucket × holding combos.
  • Blended value — weighted average. Confidence reflects how many methods fired and how tight peer dispersion is.
  • Deviation pill — green when blended FV ≥ 10% above current price (undervalued); red when ≥ 10% below; grey otherwise.
10-yr Treasury (rf)4.57%
Beta vs SPY1.00
Cost of Equity (CAPM)10.07% (VRP-adj)
WACC5.66%
Volatility Risk Premium+87.3pp (IV − HV30), ERP adj +50bps
Effective Tax Rate21.0%
Rev. Growth (YoY, DCF input)+3.0%
DCF Horizon5 years explicit + fade
Forward Tilt (NTM/TTM)×1.03 (applied to P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S)
Free Cash Flow (TTM)$0.1B
Return on Equity (TTM)7.4%
Book / Price180.2% — banking bias active (P/B is primary)
Debt / Equity2.84
Quality Score0/6 — cyclical/struggling (5y DCF)
Market-Implied Growth+14.9% (reverse-DCF on current price)
SMA 50$9.06 (Market Anchor value)
SMA 20 / Bollinger Mid$9.18
Bollinger Width / SMA2081.0% (drives anchor stability)
Net Debt$3.9B
Market Cap$1B
Peers used for multiples: ABR, AGNC, ARR, DX, IVR, NLY, RWT, TWO
Model Conviction
76%
20-Day Fair Value
≈ by Aug 19, 2026
$9.27
α +4.7% rank 88%
40-Day Fair Value
≈ by Sep 17, 2026
$9.11
α +2.9% rank 86%
60-Day Fair Value
≈ by Oct 16, 2026
$9.78
α +10.5% rank 85%
MethodImplied PriceWeightDetail
DCF $-12.14 0%
DDM (Gordon) $13.99 57%
Peer P/E $13.44 21% median 11.2× · 6 peers
Peer EV/EBITDA n/a 0%
Peer P/B $14.56 21% median 0.9× · 8 peers
Peer P/S n/a 0% median 6.9× · 3 peers
Market Anchor (SMA50) $9.06 0% stability 0% (BB-width)
Options Expected (B-L 30d) n/a 0%
As of 2026-07-21 · updated
Info
Industry (SIC)
REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (6798)
Exchange
XNAS
Market Cap
$0.8B

Adamas Trust Inc is an internally-managed REIT for U.S. federal income tax purposes, in the business of acquiring, investing in, financing, and managing mainly mortgage-related single-family and multi-family residential assets. Its objective is to deliver long-term stable distributions to its stockholders over changing economic conditions through a combination of net interest spread and capital gains from a diversified investment portfolio. The company's investment portfolio includes credit-sensitive single-family and multi-family assets.

Summary
composite
No summary data available for this symbol yet.

Each spoke is this symbol's rank within its sector (0–100; the dotted ring marks the sector median at 50). Higher is more constructive for a long. One spoke — News sentiment — is an absolute reading, not a sector rank. Grayed spokes have no data. A fuller shape is a summary, not a recommendation.

Chart
Seasonality
MonthAvg ReturnYears of Data
Jan +8.84% 1
Feb +3.00% 1
Mar -9.02% 1
Apr +21.68% 1
May +2.11% 1
Jun +2.74% 1
Jul -5.35% 1
Aug 0
Sep +0.72% 1
Oct -2.63% 1
Nov +14.33% 1
Dec -3.82% 1
Technical Indicators

Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.

Trend Indicators
  • SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
  • EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
  • MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
  • ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
  • +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
Momentum Oscillators
  • RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
  • Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
  • Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.

Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.

Volume & Volatility
  • Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
  • OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
  • Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
  • ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
  • HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.

Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →

Trend Indicators
SMA 20: $9.18
SMA 50: $9.07
SMA 200: $7.97
Current: $8.85
EMA 12: $9.06
EMA 26: $9.09
MACD: -0.0243 | Signal: -0.0540
BULLISH
ADX (14): 14.78
RANGE
+DI: 16.08
−DI: 28.92
Momentum Oscillators
RSI (14): 41.95
NEUTRAL
Stoch %K: 9.23
Stoch %D: 20.46
Williams %R: -89.55
Volume & Volatility
BB Upper: $9.53
BB Lower: $8.82
NEUTRAL
OBV: 6,458,865
Vol SMA 20: 881,763
Vol ROC: -3.24%
ATR: $0.23
True Range: $0.12
HV 20: 23.2%
HV 30: 24.6%
HV 60: 40.4%

Data Summary
Data Points: 221
Last Updated:
Date Range: 2025-09-03T00:00:00 – 2026-07-21T00:00:00
AI Analysis

Choose Frenzy-Fast™ for quick analysis or Frenzy-Pro™ for comprehensive analysis.

Analysis includes technical indicators, news sentiment, risk assessment, and specific price levels to watch.

News
Earnings History
3 of 3 under expected move
Each row pairs the pre-earnings straddle-implied expected move with the realized close-to-close move. Sorted oldest first.
Earnings Date Timing Expected Move Actual Move Ratio Outcome
2025-10-29 After-Close 119.01% 4.50% 0.04x Within
2026-02-18 Pre-Market 11.39% 1.67% 0.15x Within
2026-04-29 Pre-Market 12.30% 4.67% 0.38x Within
Options Activity
IV Rank (30D)
40.78
IV Rank (7D)
40.78
Avg IV
117.4%
Straddle (30D)
$1.68
Straddle (7D)
$1.68
P/C Volume
0.09
Spread Scanner GPU

Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →

Stage 1 — Base Score (GPU scanner)

score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.

Stage 2 — Skew Adjustment (±25% cap)

RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.

Stage 3 — Technical Overlay (±50% cap, 5 groups)
Group 1 · Directional Bias (±0.25)
  • RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
  • MACD crossover + histogram trend
  • Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
Group 2 · Momentum (±0.10)
  • Stochastic %K <20 / >80
  • Williams %R <−80 / >−20
Group 3 · Volatility (up to −0.25 / +0.15)
  • Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
  • Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
  • BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
Group 4 · IV Regime (±0.15)
  • IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
  • IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
Group 5 · Liquidity (penalty up to −0.10)
  • Min open interest across all legs
  • OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05

score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →

Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.

Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.

Skew (Wing IV − ATM IV)
DTE:
Wing Δ:
Metric:
Wing vs ATM
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol points

How much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.

  • Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
  • Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
  • Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
  • Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
Risk Reversal
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each side

Which side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.

  • Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
  • Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
  • Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
  • Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Reading them together

Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:

  • High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
  • Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
  • Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
14 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —
30 DTE / 10d
pts EXTREME
ATM — / Wing —

Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.

Volatility Surface

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.

Volatility Smile

Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.

IV Rank (7 DTE)
IV Rank (30 DTE)
Straddle Price (30 DTE)
Beta Analysis
Beta (1Y vs SPY)
0.94
Correlation (SPY)
37.4%
0.14
Ann. Volatility
32.6%
SPY Volatility
12.9%

Moderate volatility - stock generally follows market

Beta & Alpha Over Time
Institutional Ownership (13F)
Latest filings — 2026-06-30
Diluted shares outstanding: 91,377,000 (as of 2026-03-31)

Institutional managers with $100M+ AUM file Form 13F-HR quarterly, due 45 days after quarter end. Holdings are reported gross at quarter-end market value — they are a snapshot, not a real-time position.

  • Shares — long equity positions in this name, aggregated across share classes.
  • Calls / Puts — notional value of long call / put exposure where this ticker is the underlying.
  • % of Float — holder's reported shares divided by the latest diluted shares outstanding. Sums above 100% indicate large custodian / prime broker positions where the same shares are reported by multiple filers.
  • Custodian badge — filers with more than 5,000 holdings are typically broker-dealers / custodians reporting customer-held shares, not active managers.

Each filer is counted once at its latest 13F-HR filing. New filings are ingested on a weekly cadence.

187 filers45,567,089 shares$314.42M value49.87% of float
# Filer Shares Value % of Total % of Float Period
1 BlackRock, Inc. Custodian 13,272,581 $97.69M 31.07% 14.53% 2026-03-31
2 VANGUARD GROUP INC Custodian 6,035,999 $44.06M 14.01% 6.61% 2025-12-31
3 STATE STREET CORP 3,345,336 $25.38M 8.07% 3.66% 2026-03-31
4 Allspring Global Investments Holdings, LLC 2,867,614 $21.08M 6.70% 3.14% 2026-03-31
5 MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd. 2,563,900 $18.87M 6.00% 2.81% 2026-03-31
6 GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC Custodian 2,239,700 $16.49M 5.24% 2.45% 2026-03-31
7 CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC 1,633,004 $12.02M 3.82% 1.79% 2026-03-31
8 NORTHERN TRUST CORP Custodian 992,133 $7.30M 2.32% 1.09% 2026-03-31
9 MORGAN STANLEY Custodian 889,297 $6.49M 2.06% 0.97% 2025-12-31
10 GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC Custodian 499,082 $3.67M 1.17% 0.55% 2026-03-31
11 Bank of New York Mellon Corp Custodian 493,292 $3.63M 1.15% 0.54% 2026-03-31
12 JPMORGAN CHASE & CO Custodian 428,827 $3.07M 0.98% 0.47% 2026-03-31
13 BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/ Custodian 416,064 $3.06M 0.97% 0.46% 2026-03-31
14 PRINCIPAL FINANCIAL GROUP INC 408,275 $3.00M 0.96% 0.45% 2026-03-31
15 WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC 312,958 $2.30M 0.73% 0.34% 2026-03-31
16 Qube Research & Technologies Ltd 300,847 $2.21M 0.70% 0.33% 2026-03-31
17 PUBLIC SECTOR PENSION INVESTMENT BOARD 300,431 $2.21M 0.70% 0.33% 2026-03-31
18 JANE STREET GROUP, LLC Custodian 270,527 $1.99M 0.63% 0.30% 2026-03-31
19 RHUMBLINE ADVISERS 227,057 $1.67M 0.53% 0.25% 2026-03-31
20 AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC Custodian 225,313 $1.66M 0.53% 0.25% 2026-03-31
21 WELLS FARGO & COMPANY/MN Custodian 206,912 $1.52M 0.48% 0.23% 2026-03-31
22 UBS Group AG Custodian 201,029 $1.48M 0.47% 0.22% 2026-03-31
23 Legal & General Group Plc Custodian 197,141 $1.45M 0.46% 0.22% 2026-03-31
24 Nuveen, LLC Custodian 196,946 $1.45M 0.46% 0.22% 2026-03-31
25 Swiss National Bank 169,230 $1.25M 0.40% 0.19% 2026-03-31
5 filers$2.07M notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian $976.67K 47.21% 2026-03-31
2 SUSQUEHANNA INTERNATIONAL GROUP, LLP Custodian $546.11K 26.40% 2026-03-31
3 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian $413.63K 20.00% 2026-03-31
4 WOLVERINE TRADING, LLC Custodian $131.52K 6.36% 2025-09-30
5 SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian $736 0.04% 2026-03-31
3 filers$357.70K notional
# Filer Notional Value % of Total Period
1 CITADEL ADVISORS LLC Custodian $316.48K 88.48% 2026-03-31
2 SIMPLEX TRADING, LLC Custodian $40.48K 11.32% 2026-03-31
3 GROUP ONE TRADING LLC Custodian $736 0.21% 2026-03-31
Insider Activity
Latest: 2011-02-08
Form 4 filings — insider beneficial-ownership changes by officers, directors, and 10%+ holders. Filed within 2 business days of transaction.
Filed Reporter Role Action Shares Avg Price Net $ Link
2011-02-08 MARK KISHEL Director Disp (D) −15,726 EDGAR
2011-02-08 CHRISTOPHER R JOE Chief Financial Officer Disp (D) −10,000 opt EDGAR
2011-02-08 DANIEL S HOWE Director Disp (D) −3,571 EDGAR
2011-02-08 ROBERT S JR CRAMER Director Disp (D) −263,225 EDGAR
2011-02-08 Clay E Scarborough Director Disp (D) −10,726 EDGAR
2011-02-08 Mark B Adams Chief Executive Officer Sell (S) −2,000 $6.53 -$13.1K EDGAR
2010-12-09 Mark B Adams Chief Executive Officer Mixed $6.42 -$10.9K EDGAR
2010-12-09 CHRISTOPHER R JOE Chief Financial Officer Mixed $6.36 -$1.2K EDGAR
2010-12-07 Clay E Scarborough Director Mixed $5.40 -$55.4K EDGAR
2010-12-07 Mark B Adams Chief Executive Officer Mixed $6.00 -$106.7K EDGAR
2010-12-07 ROBERT S JR CRAMER Director Mixed $4.84 -$97.3K EDGAR
2010-12-03 ROBERT S JR CRAMER Director Mixed $4.01 -$502.2K EDGAR
2010-12-03 Mark B Adams Chief Executive Officer Mixed $5.94 -$58.0K EDGAR
2010-12-03 ROBERT S JR CRAMER Director Mixed $4.01 -$502.2K EDGAR
2010-12-01 ROBERT S JR CRAMER Director Mixed $3.34 -$194.8K EDGAR
Codes: P = open-market purchase · S = open-market sale · A = grant/award · M = option exercise · F = tax withholding at vest · G = bona-fide gift · D = disposition to issuer · J = other (described in filing footnote — typically 401(k), trust, inheritance) · W = will/inheritance. Only P / S codes carry directional signal.
Insider Holdings
4 insiders · @ $8.85
Officers, directors, and 10%+ owners ranked by current disclosed exposure (shares × today's price). Shares are direct + indirect (via trusts / LLCs / spouse). Excludes unvested RSU and option grants — those aren't beneficially owned until vest.
# Insider Role Shares Disclosed Exposure Lifetime OM Net Filings Last Filed
1 Blue TSV I, Ltd. 10%+ Owner 1,185,788 $10.49M $162.1K 2 2009-11-04
2 BlueLine Capital Partners II, L.P. 10%+ Owner 1,173,303 $10.38M $618.1K 2 2009-11-02
3 BlueLine Partners, L.L.C. 10%+ Owner 1,039,224 $9.20M $1.16M 1 2009-09-18
4 Kevin S Noland President & CEO 47,000 $415.9K $0 3 2008-04-18
Lifetime OM Net = signed sum of open-market buys (P) and sells (S) over their career; excludes grants, tax withholdings, and dispositions to issuer. A large negative number is normal for long-tenured executives — they've sold compensation grants over many years.
ETF Holders
# ETF Provider Weight $ Exposure ETF AUM As Of
Fundamentals

Quarterly filings sourced from SEC 10-Q / 10-K reports. TTM tiles aggregate the most recent four quarters; bars show the last ~12 quarters oldest → newest.

Metrics
  • Revenue — top-line sales. Look for consistent YoY growth; seasonal businesses need same-quarter comparisons (Q4 '24 vs Q4 '23).
  • Net Income — bottom-line profit after all expenses. Can be volatile from one-time items; red bars = net loss.
  • Diluted EPS — net income per share assuming options/converts are exercised. Direct input to the P/E ratio.
  • Operating Cash Flow — cash generated from core operations, before capex and financing. Harder to manipulate than net income; growing OCF is a quality signal.
How to read the bars
  • Sequential growth — quarter-over-quarter trend. Accelerating bars are a momentum signal.
  • YoY growth — compare to the same quarter a year earlier to remove seasonality.
  • Quality — OCF should roughly track Net Income over time. Large divergence (net income ≫ OCF) flags accruals risk.
  • Margins — scan the bar ratios: Net Income / Revenue tells you margin trend without needing a separate chart.

TTM (trailing-twelve-month) smooths seasonality and is used for the P/E calculation. Filings appear 30–90 days after the period closes.

P/E Ratio7.3
P/B Ratio0.5
EV/EBITDA-30.8
TTM Net Income$0.1B
TTM EPS$1.21
ROE7.4%
Dividend Yield15.93%
Debt/Equity2.84