Will Republicans win the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote?
chance of YES4%
-1.8pp in 24h
Price range (120d)
4–11%
24h volume
73.4K
Open interest
933.1K
Bid / ask
4¢ / 4¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3.8¢ | 31,848 | 3.9¢ | 358 |
| 3.7¢ | 2,349 | 4.0¢ | 183 |
| 3.5¢ | 1,188 | 4.1¢ | 2,462 |
| 3.3¢ | 2 | 4.3¢ | 0 |
| 3.2¢ | 2 | 4.4¢ | 10,000 |
Mid 3.9¢ · spread 0.1¢
Related stocks
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Democrats, 8 to 10%28%62.8K
Democrats, 10 to 12%24%18.3K
Democrats, 6 to 8%14%7.9K
Democrats, 12 to 14%14%9.5K
Democrats, 4 to 6%5%13.5K
Democrats, 14 to 16%4%5.0K
Democrats, 16% and above4%12.5K
Democrats, 2 to 4%3%21.5K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 96¢ | 13,261 | $13K | |
| NO | 96¢ | 1,309 | $1K | |
| NO | 94¢ | 2,491 | $2K | |
| NO | 94¢ | 2,500 | $2K | |
| NO | 94¢ | 1,769 | $2K | |
| YES | 6¢ | 30,609 | $2K | |
| YES | 6¢ | 42,927 | $2K | |
| NO | 95¢ | 2,000 | $2K | |
| NO | 94¢ | 1,600 | $2K | |
| NO | 94¢ | 8,000 | $8K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.