Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 16 and 100%?
chance of YES4%
Price range (120d)
0–5%
24h volume
12.5K
Open interest
198.7K
Bid / ask
2¢ / 2¢
Odds and volume
daily, 120 daysLine: daily closing YES price (= implied probability). Bars: contracts traded.
Order book
top 5| Bid | Size | Ask | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.6¢ | 1,932 | 1.8¢ | 284 |
| 1.4¢ | 247 | 1.9¢ | 2,655 |
| 1.3¢ | 2,000 | 2.0¢ | 2 |
| 1.2¢ | 64 | 2.1¢ | 0 |
| 1.1¢ | 9,898 | 2.2¢ | 0 |
Mid 1.7¢ · spread 0.2¢
Related stocks
Open on Kalshi
We don't execute trades; odds are aggregated from public data.
Other outcomes in this event
Democrats, 8 to 10%28%62.8K
Democrats, 10 to 12%24%18.3K
Democrats, 6 to 8%14%7.9K
Democrats, 12 to 14%14%9.5K
Democrats, 4 to 6%5%13.5K
Democrats, 14 to 16%4%5.0K
Republicans win4%73.4K
Democrats, 2 to 4%3%21.5K
Recent large orders
≥ $1K · 14 days| When | Side | Price | Contracts | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NO | 97¢ | 1,551 | $1K | |
| NO | 96¢ | 3,500 | $3K |
Orders stitched together from Kalshi's anonymous fills.