Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF - October(POCT · ETF)
ETF quote, holdings, sector allocation, technicals, and options analytics.
Market data may be delayed, incomplete, or inaccurate. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security. Verify quotes with your broker before trading. See Terms §17.
Innovator U.S. Equity Power Buffer ETF - October (POCT) ETF
- Exchange
- BATS
- Inception
- 2018-09-28
- Has Options
- No
| Symbol | Name | Weight % | Asset Class | Country |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | TREASURY BILL | 82.79% | Debt | US |
| — | N/A | 18.70% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| — | US BANK MMDA - USBGFS 9 | 0.02% | Short-term investment | US |
| — | N/A | -1.45% | Derivative (equity) | US |
| Category | Weight | Value | Positions |
|---|---|---|---|
| US Treasury | 82.79% | $15.3M | 1 |
| Derivative (equity) | 17.25% | $3.2M | 2 |
| Short-term investment | 0.02% | $4330 | 1 |
| Month | Avg Return | Years of Data |
|---|---|---|
| Jan | +1.22% | 6 |
| Feb | -0.40% | 6 |
| Mar | +0.09% | 6 |
| Apr | +0.79% | 6 |
| May | +0.93% | 6 |
| Jun | +0.40% | 6 |
| Jul | +1.43% | 6 |
| Aug | +0.61% | 6 |
| Sep | +0.29% | 6 |
| Oct | +0.65% | 5 |
| Nov | +2.37% | 5 |
| Dec | +0.10% | 5 |
Quick-reference for reading the values below. Indicators combine to confirm a view — no single one is a trade signal on its own.
- SMA 20 / 50 / 200 — price above = uptrend, below = downtrend. SMA 50 crossing SMA 200 is the golden/death cross.
- EMA 12 / 26 — faster-reacting averages; 12 above 26 is short-term bullish.
- MACD — bullish when MACD > signal (green badge), bearish when below. Divergence from price often precedes reversals.
- ADX (14) — trend strength regardless of direction. <20 range, 20–25 weak trend, 25–50 trend, >50 strong trend.
- +DI / −DI — +DI > −DI favors bulls; the reverse favors bears. Read alongside ADX.
- RSI (14) — <30 oversold, >70 overbought. 40–60 is neutral; trending names can stay extreme.
- Stochastic %K / %D — <20 oversold, >80 overbought. %K crossing %D is an early momentum signal.
- Williams %R — inverted scale: <−80 oversold, >−20 overbought.
Oscillators work best in range-bound markets; in strong trends they give premature reversal signals.
- Bollinger Bands — price at upper band = overbought, lower = oversold. Narrow bands (squeeze) often precede expansion.
- OBV — cumulative volume; rising OBV confirms uptrend, falling OBV confirms downtrend. Divergence from price is a warning.
- Vol SMA 20 / Vol ROC — today's volume vs. 20-day average. Positive ROC with price move = conviction.
- ATR / True Range — average daily $ move; sizing and stop-loss reference.
- HV 20 / 30 / 60 — realized (historical) volatility. Compare to IV on the options cards: IV > HV = rich premium.
Confluence matters: trend + momentum + volume agreeing carries far more weight than any single indicator. For how these feed the spread scanner score, see the algorithm docs →
Trend Indicators
Momentum Oscillators
Volume & Volatility
Data Summary
LLM Stock Analysis Report: POCT
Executive Summary
Overall Assessment: NEUTRAL (Confidence Level: 6/10)
Key Drivers:
- Trend Direction: Weakened uptrend, with short-term momentum signaling a potential pullback.
- Support/Resistance Levels: Key levels include the SMA 20 ($47.34) and the upper Bollinger Band ($47.53).
- Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (69.20)
- MACD signal: Bullish
- Bollinger Bands position: Overbought
Primary Risks:
- Recent news sentiment impact: No significant news events or earnings announcements affecting the stock.
Investment Thesis:
POCT appears to be in a weakened uptrend, with short-term momentum signaling a potential pullback. The stock is trading near its upper Bollinger Band and RSI is neutral, suggesting a pause or consolidation phase. While the MACD signal remains bullish, the overall trend direction is unclear. We recommend monitoring key support levels and assessing recent news sentiment for any catalysts that could impact the stock's trajectory.
Recent News Sentiment Impact:
The recent news headlines are neutral, with no significant events or earnings announcements affecting the stock.
Technical Analysis
Trend Direction:
- Short-term (1-4 weeks): Weakened uptrend
- Medium-term (1-3 months): Consolidation phase
- Long-term (3-12 months): Bullish trend
Support/Resistance Levels:
- SMA 20 ($47.34)
- Upper Bollinger Band ($47.53)
Momentum Signals:
- RSI interpretation: Neutral (69.20)
- MACD signal: Bullish
- Bollinger Bands position: Overbought
Volume Analysis:
- Volume trends: No significant changes in volume patterns
- Institutional interest signals: No unusual activity or institutional participation
News & Sentiment Analysis
Recent Headlines Summary:
Two recent news headlines were analyzed, both with a neutral sentiment. There are no significant events or earnings announcements affecting the stock.
Sentiment Assessment:
Aggregate news sentiment is neutral (50% positive, 50% negative).
Catalyst Identification:
No upcoming events, earnings, product launches, or regulatory changes that could impact the stock's trajectory.
Market Narrative:
The market narrative remains unclear due to the lack of significant news events and earnings announcements. The stock appears to be in a consolidation phase, with short-term momentum signaling a potential pullback.
Risk & Volatility Assessment
Beta Interpretation:
Risk relative to market (beta 0.45) is low, indicating that the stock moves less than the broader market.
Volatility Regime:
Current volatility levels are low compared to historical norms.
Options Market Signals:
IV rank: N/A Put/call ratios: No unusual activity or institutional participation
Downside Protection:
Support levels include the SMA 20 ($47.34) and the lower Bollinger Band ($47.16). Risk management considerations include setting stop-loss levels below these support levels.
Market Context & Positioning
Sector Performance:
POCT's sector (Healthcare Technology) is trading in line with the broader market.
Institutional Activity:
No unusual institutional activity or participation was observed.
Correlation Analysis:
The stock's movement relative to the market (R-squared interpretation) indicates a low correlation, suggesting that the stock may not be highly influenced by market movements.
Relative Valuation:
POCT appears fairly valued within its trading range.
Key Levels & Action Items
Critical Price Levels:
- SMA 20 ($47.34)
- Upper Bollinger Band ($47.53)
Breakout/Breakdown Levels:
- Lower Bollinger Band ($47.16) - potential support level
- SMA 50 ($46.90) - potential resistance level
Time-Sensitive Catalysts:
No upcoming events, earnings, product launches, or regulatory changes that could impact the stock's trajectory.
Risk Management:
Set stop-loss levels below the support levels (SMA 20 and lower Bollinger Band) to manage risk.
Please note that this report is based on the provided data and may not reflect your actual analysis.
Each spread is ranked by a composite score built in three stages. Full documentation →
score = P(profit) × (credit / spread_width)
P(profit) from short leg delta (1 − |delta|), penalised above 85%. Credit uses mid-price to handle illiquid chains fairly.
RR and BF (30-delta) from the persisted per-symbol skew snapshot — wing strikes picked by real greeks.delta, not a moneyness proxy. Put skew boosts bull puts, penalises bear calls. High butterfly boosts iron condors. Calendars are skew-neutral.
- RSI <40 bullish / >60 bearish
- MACD crossover + histogram trend
- Price vs SMA 50 & SMA 200
- Stochastic %K <20 / >80
- Williams %R <−80 / >−20
- Blended ATR + straddle expected-move penalty
- Bollinger Band signal (+ counter-trend penalty)
- BB width — vol contraction boost for ICs
- IV rank ≥ 75 → strong boost for credit spreads
- IV rank < 25 → penalty (selling cheap vol)
- Min open interest across all legs
- OI < 100 → −0.10 · OI < 500 → −0.05
score = base_score × skew_multiplier × tech_multiplier
Both multipliers are shown per spread. Beta is informational only — ATR already captures realized vol. Full algorithm documentation →
Enter a ticker to scan for optimal spread opportunities.
Evaluates all bull put, bear call, iron condor, and calendar spread combinations using GPU-accelerated analysis.
IV(put wing) − IV(ATM), in vol pointsHow much the OTM put trades above (or below) the at-the-money strike. Measures the height of the put-side tail relative to ATM — i.e. how expensive crash insurance is on this name.
- Positive (typical) — wing IV > ATM IV. Standard equity put skew: portfolios bid up crash protection, so OTM puts trade richer than ATM.
- Near zero or negative (unusual) — wing IV ≤ ATM IV. Flat or inverted put side. Common when there's no fear demand, in tightly mean-reverting names, or right after an earnings catalyst clears.
- Percentile vs own 3-yr history: high = wings rich (good time to sell wing premium); low = wings cheap (good time to buy protection).
- Not directional — high or low wings don't predict up or down moves. It's a price tag on tail insurance, not a forecast.
IV(call wing) − IV(put wing), equal delta on each sideWhich side of the smile is the market paying up for? Measures the tilt of the surface — call skew vs put skew at matched deltas.
- Negative (typical) — puts richer than calls. Standard equity behavior: hedging demand makes puts carry a premium. Most large-caps sit in the −1 to −5 vol-point range.
- Strongly negative (< −5 pts) — heavy downside hedging, elevated fear, or an upcoming catalyst (earnings, FDA, macro event). Worth flagging.
- Positive — calls richer than puts. Unusual for equities; signals bullish momentum, short-squeeze positioning, or takeover/M&A speculation.
- Near zero — symmetric surface. Market sees roughly equal up/down risk. Rare for large-caps; more common in commodities and FX.
Wing-vs-ATM tells you how expensive the tails are. Risk Reversal tells you which side is favored. Combined:
- High wing percentile + deeply negative RR → strong put bid; stress or major event priced in. Owning protection costs a premium; selling put premium is dangerous.
- Low wing percentile + near-zero RR → complacency; insurance cheap and balanced. Good environment to add cheap downside hedges.
- Positive RR + elevated wings → call-side fear-of-missing-out; common in squeeze setups. Upside calls expensive, downside puts not bid.
Percentile is the rank of today's reading within ~3 years of this symbol's own history. High percentile = wings are rich relative to history; not a directional signal. Skew is read off the chain in real time, not from CBOE SKEW.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility surface.
Enter a ticker to render the implied volatility smile.
- Beta (1Y vs SPY)
- 0.45
- Correlation (SPY)
- 94.7%
- R²
- 0.90
- Ann. Volatility
- 6.1%
- SPY Volatility
- 12.8%
Low volatility - stock moves less than market
Click any bar to view the full quote for that stock.
| Symbol | Name | Weight % | Price | 1 Day | 1 Week | 1 Month |
|---|